Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Dire Dawa Kenema: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates evenly matched chances for both teams, with a slight edge towards a draw. Welwalo Adigrat Uni has shown solid form in their last five matches (1.8 PPG, unbeaten), but their poor home record (only an 18% home win rate) is a significant liability. Dire Dawa Kenema features a high away draw percentage (55%), confirming their defensive efficiency (36% clean sheets). Both teams share identical shot conversion rates (12%) and similar xG values, suggesting evenly matched offensive potential. Considering the hosts' weak scoring form at home (0.64 goals/match) and the visitors' tendency to draw, a share of the points is the most likely outcome.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Dire Dawa Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Welwalo Adigrat Uni played against Dire Dawa Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Welwalo Adigrat Uni has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Dire Dawa Kenema has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.67 goals per game and allows 1.04. Dire Dawa Kenema scores 0.70 and allows 1.09. Games in this league average 1.75 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 46% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's games and 39% of Dire Dawa Kenema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 30%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 26% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Dire Dawa Kenema has the higher season xG average, 1.03 to 0.98 per game. Welwalo Adigrat Uni takes 5.3 shots per game, while Dire Dawa Kenema takes 6.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Welwalo Adigrat Uni leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.29 goals per game after halftime. Dire Dawa Kenema leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.43 after halftime.
When the teams score
Welwalo Adigrat Uni's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). For Dire Dawa Kenema, it is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.75 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 26% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates evenly matched chances for both teams, with a slight edge towards a draw. Welwalo Adigrat Uni has shown solid form in their last five matches (1.8 PPG, unbeaten), but their poor home record (only an 18% home win rate) is a significant liability. Dire Dawa Kenema features a high away draw percentage (55%), confirming their defensive efficiency (36% clean sheets). Both teams share identical shot conversion rates (12%) and similar xG values, suggesting evenly matched offensive potential. Considering the hosts' weak scoring form at home (0.64 goals/match) and the visitors' tendency to draw, a share of the points is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni | Dire Dawa Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 1 pts / game - Dire Dawa Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.04 goals / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 1.09 goals / game - Dire Dawa Kenema
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 54% of games (13 of 24 meczów), while Dire Dawa Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 meczów).
Dire Dawa Kenema scores in 48% of games (11 of 23 meczów), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Over / Under - Dire Dawa Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 1 pts / game - Dire Dawa Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Dire Dawa Kenema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Dire Dawa Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni | Liga | Dire Dawa Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.71 | 1.75 | • 1.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 46% | 41% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▲ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 40% | ▼ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 58% | 53% | ▲ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 42% | 58% | ▲ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Welwalo Adigrat Uni's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Dire Dawa Kenema. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Dire Dawa Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1:0 Dire Dawa Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Dire Dawa Kenema?
Welwalo Adigrat Uni score 0.67 goals per game on average and Dire Dawa Kenema 0.70. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's matches and 39% of Dire Dawa Kenema's.
What form are Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Dire Dawa Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Welwalo Adigrat Uni have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Dire Dawa Kenema 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Dire Dawa Kenema?
The statistical background for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Dire Dawa Kenema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.