Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Sheger Ketema: match statistics
Welwalo Adigrat Uni occupies the last, 19th place in the table and presents very poor form, especially at their home stadium. The hosts have won just 11% of home matches this season, holding a negative -9 goal difference and scoring an average of only 0.44 goals per home game. In their last five matches, they scored just 1 goal and did not achieve a single victory. Sheger Ketema, despite sitting in 15th position, shows better efficiency on the road with 29% wins and a higher average of goals scored (0.71). The visitors also have better xG statistics (1.17 vs 0.97) and a higher percentage of away clean sheets (43% vs 22% for the hosts at home). Given Welwalo Adigrat's dramatically poor form, particularly in attack, and Sheger Ketema's relatively more solid away stance, the visitors are the favorites for this meeting.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Sheger Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Welwalo Adigrat Uni played against Sheger Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 21, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Welwalo Adigrat Uni has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Sheger Ketema has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.50 goals per game and allows 1.19. Sheger Ketema scores 0.86 and allows 1.07. Games in this league average 1.74 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's games and 50% of Sheger Ketema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 36%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 28% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sheger Ketema has the higher season xG average, 1.14 to 1.00 per game. Welwalo Adigrat Uni takes 5.4 shots per game, while Sheger Ketema takes 7.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Welwalo Adigrat Uni leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.19 goals per game after halftime. Sheger Ketema leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.43 after halftime.
When the teams score
Welwalo Adigrat Uni's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Sheger Ketema, it is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.74 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 28% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Welwalo Adigrat Uni occupies the last, 19th place in the table and presents very poor form, especially at their home stadium. The hosts have won just 11% of home matches this season, holding a negative -9 goal difference and scoring an average of only 0.44 goals per home game. In their last five matches, they scored just 1 goal and did not achieve a single victory. Sheger Ketema, despite sitting in 15th position, shows better efficiency on the road with 29% wins and a higher average of goals scored (0.71). The visitors also have better xG statistics (1.17 vs 0.97) and a higher percentage of away clean sheets (43% vs 22% for the hosts at home). Given Welwalo Adigrat's dramatically poor form, particularly in attack, and Sheger Ketema's relatively more solid away stance, the visitors are the favorites for this meeting.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni | Sheger Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 0.6 pts / game - Sheger Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sheger Ketema is 72% better for: goals scored per game.
0.5 goals / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 0.86 goals / game - Sheger Ketema
Sheger Ketema is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.19 goals / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 1.07 goals / game - Sheger Ketema
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 44% of games (7 of 16 meczów), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 meczów).
Sheger Ketema scores in 64% of games (9 of 14 meczów), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Over / Under - Sheger Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sheger Ketema is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 1.29 pts / game - Sheger Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 13%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Sheger Ketema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Sheger Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni | Liga | Sheger Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.69 | 1.74 | ▲ 1.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 43% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 28% | ▲ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 39% | ▼ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | • 56% | 56% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 44% | 58% | ▲ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Sheger KetemaGoalHenok Adugna
- Welwalo Adigrat UniGoalHafiz Wontah Konkoni
FAQ
What was the result of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Sheger Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1:1 Sheger Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Sheger Ketema?
Welwalo Adigrat Uni score 0.50 goals per game on average and Sheger Ketema 0.86. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's matches and 50% of Sheger Ketema's.
What form are Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Sheger Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Welwalo Adigrat Uni have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Sheger Ketema 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Sheger Ketema?
The statistical background for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Sheger Ketema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.