Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05: match statistics
Werder Bremen has looked significantly better recently, securing 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Mainz 05 remains winless in this period, recording 4 draws and 1 defeat. The hosts hold an advantage in ball possession (52% vs 40%) and boast a vastly superior xG in home games (1.7 vs the visitors' 1.14 xG away), indicating higher quality in chance creation. Mainz 05 has not kept a single clean sheet in away games this season and concedes an average of 2.08 goals per away match, marking a severe weakness. Werder possesses a 33% home win rate, whereas Mainz wins only 17% of their away matches. The form of both teams and xG stats strongly favor a home win, although their shaky defense raises concerns, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair. Taking all factors into consideration, Werder Bremen has a realistic chance to secure all three points in front of their home crowd.
Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Werder Bremen played against Mainz 05 in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on March 15, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Werder Bremen has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Mainz 05 has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Werder Bremen scores 1.16 goals per game and allows 1.80. Mainz 05 scores 1.16 and allows 1.64. Games in this league average 3.16 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Werder Bremen's games and 60% of Mainz 05's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 52%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Werder Bremen has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.36 per game. Werder Bremen takes 13.6 shots per game, while Mainz 05 takes 11.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Werder Bremen leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Mainz 05 leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.64 after halftime.
When the teams score
Werder Bremen's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Mainz 05, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.16 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Werder Bremen has looked significantly better recently, securing 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Mainz 05 remains winless in this period, recording 4 draws and 1 defeat. The hosts hold an advantage in ball possession (52% vs 40%) and boast a vastly superior xG in home games (1.7 vs the visitors' 1.14 xG away), indicating higher quality in chance creation. Mainz 05 has not kept a single clean sheet in away games this season and concedes an average of 2.08 goals per away match, marking a severe weakness. Werder possesses a 33% home win rate, whereas Mainz wins only 17% of their away matches. The form of both teams and xG stats strongly favor a home win, although their shaky defense raises concerns, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair. Taking all factors into consideration, Werder Bremen has a realistic chance to secure all three points in front of their home crowd.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Werder Bremen | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mainz 05 is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.8 goals / game - Werder Bremen · 1.64 goals / game - Mainz 05
Werder Bremen scores in 60% of games (15 of 25 meczów), while Mainz 05 keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 25 meczów).
Mainz 05 scores in 64% of games (16 of 25 meczów), while Werder Bremen keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Werder Bremen
Over / Under - Mainz 05
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mainz 05 is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / game - Werder Bremen · 1.28 pts / game - Mainz 05
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Werder Bremen - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Mainz 05 - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 20%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Werder Bremen
Mainz 05
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Werder Bremen | Liga | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.96 | 3.16 | ▼ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 59% | • 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 62% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 23% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 76% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | • 84% | 84% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Werder Bremen's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Mainz 05. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05?
The Bundesliga match finished Werder Bremen 0:2 Mainz 05. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05?
Werder Bremen score 1.16 goals per game on average and Mainz 05 1.16. The Bundesliga average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Werder Bremen's matches and 60% of Mainz 05's.
What form are Werder Bremen and Mainz 05 in?
Over the last 5 games Werder Bremen have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Mainz 05 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05?
The statistical background for Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05 — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.