Germany - BundesligaWohninvest WeserstadionData current as of October 15, 2026

Werder Bremen vs Paderborn: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Werder Bremen vs Paderborn: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Werder Bremen plays Paderborn in Bundesliga (Germany). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Wohninvest Weserstadion.

Recent form

Werder Bremen has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Paderborn has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Werder Bremen scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 2.00. Paderborn scores 0.60 and allows 1.40. Games in this league average 3.82 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 100% of Werder Bremen's games and 20% of Paderborn's. The Over 2.5 rates are 80% and 40%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 78% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Werder Bremen has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.44 per game. Werder Bremen takes 13.2 shots per game, while Paderborn takes 14.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Werder Bremen leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 1.80 goals per game after halftime. Paderborn leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.20 after halftime.

When the teams score

Werder Bremen's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Paderborn, it is minutes 16-30 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Bundesliga games average 3.82 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 78% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.87)
(4.21)
(4.11)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Werder BremenPaderborn
2Goals scored / game0.6
Werder BremenPaderborn
2Goals allowed / game1.4
Werder BremenPaderborn
45%Average possession48%
Werder BremenPaderborn
6Shots on target / game2.8
Werder BremenPaderborn

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.2Shots per game14.2
Werder BremenPaderborn
6Shots on target2.8
Werder BremenPaderborn
15.2%Shot conversion4.2%
Werder BremenPaderborn
45%Possession48%
Werder BremenPaderborn
1.49xG for1.44
Werder BremenPaderborn
1.88xG against1.97
Werder BremenPaderborn

Shooting quality

Werder Bremen: Counter-attackingPaderborn: Attacking
Werder BremenPaderborn
Accuracy (shots on target)45%20%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.21

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Werder Bremen is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Werder Bremen · 0.8 pts / game - Paderborn

Werder Bremen
LWDWD
Season result split
40% W40% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 at home
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.88BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Paderborn
DLLWL
Season result split
20% W20% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 away
0-1-1
DL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.97BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Werder Bremen is 233% better for: goals scored per game.

2 goals / game - Werder Bremen · 0.6 goals / game - Paderborn

Paderborn is 43% better for: goals allowed per game.

2 goals / game - Werder Bremen · 1.4 goals / game - Paderborn

Werder Bremen scoring profile: very strong

Werder Bremen scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 games), while Paderborn keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 games).

Paderborn scoring profile: mixed

Paderborn scores in 20% of games (1 of 5 games), while Werder Bremen keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 games).

10Goals scored (season)3
Werder BremenPaderborn
10Goals conceded (season)7
Werder BremenPaderborn
4Average goals per game2
Werder BremenPaderborn
10Goals scored (last 5)3
Werder BremenPaderborn
10Goals conceded (last 5)7
Werder BremenPaderborn

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal20%
Werder BremenPaderborn
60%2 goals20%
Werder BremenPaderborn
40%3 goals20%
Werder BremenPaderborn
0%4 goals0%
Werder BremenPaderborn

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal80%
Werder BremenPaderborn
60%2 goals40%
Werder BremenPaderborn
20%3 goals20%
Werder BremenPaderborn
20%4 goals0%
Werder BremenPaderborn

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Werder BremenPaderborn
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Werder BremenPaderborn
20%Scored in both halves20%
Werder BremenPaderborn

BTTS and goal count

80%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
Werder BremenPaderborn
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
Werder BremenPaderborn
100%BTTS - last 520%
Werder BremenPaderborn

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Werder BremenPaderborn
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
Werder BremenPaderborn
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Werder BremenPaderborn

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%
Werder BremenPaderborn
80%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Werder BremenPaderborn
80%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Werder BremenPaderborn

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Werder Bremen - half-time state
20% leading20% draw60% trailing
Paderborn - half-time state
20% leading20% draw60% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.8Points per game (1st half)0.8
Werder BremenPaderborn
0.2Goals scored (1st half)0.4
Werder BremenPaderborn
0.8Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
Werder BremenPaderborn
1Average goals (1st half)1
Werder BremenPaderborn
40%Clean sheet before half-time40%
Werder BremenPaderborn
80%No goal before half-time80%
Werder BremenPaderborn

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per game (2nd half)0.6
Werder BremenPaderborn
1.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.2
Werder BremenPaderborn
1.2Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
Werder BremenPaderborn
3Average goals (2nd half)1
Werder BremenPaderborn
20%Clean sheet after half-time40%
Werder BremenPaderborn
0%No goal after half-time80%
Werder BremenPaderborn

Werder Bremen - second-half results

60% W20% D20% L
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Paderborn - second-half results

0% W60% D40% L
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Werder Bremen - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.802.00
Goals scored / game0.21.8
Goals allowed / game0.81.2
Average goals per game1.03.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%80%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%0%
Goal difference-3+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Paderborn - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.60
Goals scored / game0.40.2
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game1.01.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Werder Bremen
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
0
1
31-45
0
3
46-60
3
0
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Paderborn
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
0
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.7 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
79%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
20%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Werder Bremen

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
136%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.6
Late goals
60% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
60%

Paderborn

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.84
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.57
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
41%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
59%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

Werder BremenLigaPaderborn
Average goals per game▲ 4.003.82▼ 2.00
Both teams scored▲ 100%60%▼ 20%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 80%78%▼ 40%
Clean sheets▼ 0%23%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▼ 80%87%▼ 80%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%89%▼ 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.82
Average goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
78%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
2.36
Home goals / game
1.47
Away goals / game
+61%
Home attack advantage
+38%
Home defensive advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
71%
2 goals
49%
3 goals
22%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Werder Bremen and Paderborn play?

Werder Bremen face Paderborn on October 17, 2026 in Bundesliga at Wohninvest Weserstadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Werder Bremen vs Paderborn?

Werder Bremen score 2.00 goals per game on average and Paderborn 0.60. The Bundesliga average is 3.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 78% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Werder Bremen's matches and 20% of Paderborn's.

What form are Werder Bremen and Paderborn in?

Over the last 5 games Werder Bremen have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Paderborn 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Werder Bremen vs Paderborn?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Werder Bremen vs Paderborn: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.