West Ham United vs Nottingham Forest: match statistics
A clash between two sides in crisis, languishing near the bottom of the table. West Ham is enduring a catastrophic home run with a 70% loss rate, zero clean sheets, and conceding an average of 2.3 goals per game. Nottingham Forest also struggles on the road (60% loss rate, failing to score in 50% of matches), though slightly better defensive numbers (1.6 goals conceded) offer a glimmer of hope. Both teams possess negative goal differences and are on losing streaks across their last five matches, pointing towards a balanced contest. Given the poor form of both squads, similar xG metrics, and the history of H2H clashes between relegation candidates, a draw stands out as the most probable outcome.
West Ham United vs Nottingham Forest: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
West Ham United play Nottingham Forest in Premier League (England). The match date is 6 January 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
West Ham United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Nottingham Forest: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
West Ham United scores 1.21 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Nottingham Forest scores 1.26 and concedes 1.34. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: West Ham United 53%, Nottingham Forest 47%. Over 2.5: West Ham United 61%, Nottingham Forest 53%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Nottingham Forest has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.24. West Ham United: 10.6 shots per match, Nottingham Forest: 12.5.
Match halves
West Ham United: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.66. Nottingham Forest: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
West Ham United: 76-90+ (13 goals). Nottingham Forest: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
A clash between two sides in crisis, languishing near the bottom of the table. West Ham is enduring a catastrophic home run with a 70% loss rate, zero clean sheets, and conceding an average of 2.3 goals per game. Nottingham Forest also struggles on the road (60% loss rate, failing to score in 50% of matches), though slightly better defensive numbers (1.6 goals conceded) offer a glimmer of hope. Both teams possess negative goal differences and are on losing streaks across their last five matches, pointing towards a balanced contest. Given the poor form of both squads, similar xG metrics, and the history of H2H clashes between relegation candidates, a draw stands out as the most probable outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| West Ham United | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nottingham Forest is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - West Ham United · 1.6 pts / match - Nottingham Forest
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nottingham Forest is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - West Ham United · 1.34 goals / match - Nottingham Forest
West Ham United scores in 66% of matches (25 of 38 matches), while Nottingham Forest keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
Nottingham Forest scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while West Ham United keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — West Ham United
Over / Under — Nottingham Forest
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
West Ham United is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - West Ham United · 1 pts / match - Nottingham Forest
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
West Ham United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nottingham Forest - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
West Ham United
Nottingham Forest
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| West Ham United | Liga | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.92 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 56% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 26% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 79% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: West Ham United 1 - 0 - 0 Nottingham Forest. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of West Ham United vs Nottingham Forest?
The Premier League match finished West Ham United 1:2 Nottingham Forest. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before West Ham United vs Nottingham Forest?
West Ham United score 1.21 goals per game on average and Nottingham Forest 1.26. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 53% of West Ham United's matches and 47% of Nottingham Forest's.
What form are West Ham United and Nottingham Forest in?
Over the last 5 games West Ham United have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Nottingham Forest 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for West Ham United vs Nottingham Forest?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.