Wil vs Aarau: match statistics
Wil vs Aarau: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wil play Aarau in Challenge League (Switzerland). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Wil: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Aarau: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wil scores 1.08 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Aarau scores 2.14 and concedes 1.31. League average: 3.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wil 47%, Aarau 64%. Over 2.5: Wil 47%, Aarau 69%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Aarau has higher xG: 1.89 vs 1.54. Wil: 13.6 shots per match, Aarau: 17.1.
Match halves
Wil: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.58. Aarau: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.14.
Goals by minute
Wil: 76-90+ (10 goals). Aarau: 0-15 (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Challenge League: 3.06 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-1-2. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Aarau is the clear favorite: they sit 2nd in the table versus Wil in 8th and have 22 wins this season compared to the home side’s 8 wins, with Aarau scoring 63 goals versus Wil’s 31. In the last 5 matches the visitors have scored 10 goals and average 2.0 points per match (record 3-1-1), while Wil have 8 goals and 1.2 points per match (record 2-0-3). Aarau’s offensive superiority is supported by the data: goals per match 2.27 vs 1.20 for Wil, average xG 1.70 vs 1.49, 5.73 shots on target per match vs 4.07 and conversion 15% vs 9%. Wil do however have the advantage of a slightly better home defence — conceding 1.53 goals per match on average and recording clean sheets in 40% of matches versus Aarau’s 20% — which increases the chance of a close scoreline. Considering Aarau’s edge in number of wins, goals and attacking efficiency, I estimate the probability of a visitors’ win at 65%, draw 20% and a Wil win 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wil | Aarau | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aarau is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Wil · 2.2 pts / match - Aarau
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aarau is 98% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Wil · 2.14 goals / match - Aarau
Aarau is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Wil · 1.31 goals / match - Aarau
Wil scores in 64% of matches (23 of 36 matches), while Aarau keeps a clean sheet in 33% (12 of 36 matches).
Aarau scores in 94% of matches (34 of 36 matches), while Wil keeps a clean sheet in 33% (12 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Wil
Over / Under — Aarau
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aarau is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Wil · 1.64 pts / match - Aarau
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wil - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Aarau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 3.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (19 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wil
Aarau
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Challenge League).
Teams vs league
| Wil | Liga | Aarau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.61 | 3.06 | ▲ 3.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 57% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 62% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 25% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 72% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 80% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Wil 0 - 1 - 2 Aarau. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wil vs Aarau?
The Challenge League match finished Wil 2:2 Aarau. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Wil and Aarau?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Wil won 0, Aarau won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Wil vs Aarau?
Wil score 1.08 goals per game on average and Aarau 2.14. The Challenge League average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Wil's matches and 64% of Aarau's.
What form are Wil and Aarau in?
Over the last 5 games Wil have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Aarau 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wil vs Aarau?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.