Wil vs Étoile Carouge: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very evenly matched chances for both teams, which points towards a draw. Wil displays poor home form with only 31% wins and a negative goal difference (-6), and their last five matches are a series of draws and defeats. Étoile Carouge also struggles away from home, losing over half of their matches (54%), although their recent form is slightly better with two wins in their last five games. Both teams share an identical average of goals conceded (1.38) and a similar percentage of matches without scoring (38%), suggesting a defensive encounter. Considering the hosts' high draw rate (31%) and the balanced xG values of both sides, the most likely outcome is a draw, although the slight home advantage gives Wil a minimally greater chance of winning.
Wil vs Étoile Carouge: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Wil played against Étoile Carouge in Challenge League (Switzerland). The game was played on March 22, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Wil has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Étoile Carouge has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Wil scores 0.88 goals per game and allows 1.46. Étoile Carouge scores 1.08 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.80 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 46% of Wil's games and 50% of Étoile Carouge's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 54%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Wil has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.37 per game. Wil takes 12.3 shots per game, while Étoile Carouge takes 12.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Wil leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.54 goals per game after halftime. Étoile Carouge leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.65 after halftime.
When the teams score
Wil's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Étoile Carouge, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Challenge League games average 2.80 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very evenly matched chances for both teams, which points towards a draw. Wil displays poor home form with only 31% wins and a negative goal difference (-6), and their last five matches are a series of draws and defeats. Étoile Carouge also struggles away from home, losing over half of their matches (54%), although their recent form is slightly better with two wins in their last five games. Both teams share an identical average of goals conceded (1.38) and a similar percentage of matches without scoring (38%), suggesting a defensive encounter. Considering the hosts' high draw rate (31%) and the balanced xG values of both sides, the most likely outcome is a draw, although the slight home advantage gives Wil a minimally greater chance of winning.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Wil | Étoile Carouge | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Étoile Carouge is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Wil · 1.4 pts / game - Étoile Carouge
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Étoile Carouge is 23% better for: goals scored per game.
0.88 goals / game - Wil · 1.08 goals / game - Étoile Carouge
Wil scores in 62% of games (16 of 26 meczów), while Étoile Carouge keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 meczów).
Étoile Carouge scores in 65% of games (17 of 26 meczów), while Wil keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wil
Over / Under - Étoile Carouge
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wil is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / game - Wil · 1.04 pts / game - Étoile Carouge
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wil - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Étoile Carouge - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Wil
Étoile Carouge
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Challenge League).
Teams vs league
| Wil | Liga | Étoile Carouge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.35 | 2.80 | ▼ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 51% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 54% | • 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 28% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 67% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 79% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Wil's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Étoile Carouge. Games average 0.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Wil vs Étoile Carouge?
The Challenge League match finished Wil 1:3 Étoile Carouge. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Wil and Étoile Carouge?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Wil won 1, Étoile Carouge won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Wil vs Étoile Carouge?
Wil score 0.88 goals per game on average and Étoile Carouge 1.08. The Challenge League average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Wil's matches and 50% of Étoile Carouge's.
What form are Wil and Étoile Carouge in?
Over the last 5 games Wil have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Étoile Carouge 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wil vs Étoile Carouge?
The statistical background for Wil vs Étoile Carouge — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.