Netherlands - Eerste DivisieData current as of 23 July 2026

Willem II vs PSV II: match statistics

Willem II crest
Willem II
1 : 0half-time 1:0
PSV II crest
PSV II

Willem II vs PSV II: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Willem II play PSV II in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match date is 3 April 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Willem II: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. PSV II: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Willem II scores 1.55 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. PSV II scores 1.74 and concedes 1.68. League average: 3.19 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Willem II 55%, PSV II 61%. Over 2.5: Willem II 55%, PSV II 66%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Willem II has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.64. Willem II: 14.6 shots per match, PSV II: 14.3.

Match halves

Willem II: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.71. PSV II: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.82.

Goals by minute

Willem II: 16-30 (14 goals). PSV II: 46-60 (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eerste Divisie: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

I back the home win: Willem II have scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches (W D W W L) and average 2.0 points per game, whereas PSV II have scored only 4 goals in their last 5 (D W L L L) and average 0.8 points per game. Home defensive form is solid — Willem II concede 0.94 goals per home game and keep a clean sheet in 25% of home matches, while PSV II concede 2.13 goals on the road and keep a clean sheet in just 13% of away games. In terms of chance quality, Willem II produce an average home xG of 1.78 and 5.25 shots on target, whereas PSV II have an away xG against of 2.22 and average 6.0 shots on target against, indicating the visitors create chances but are also more defensively vulnerable. Season figures show PSV have scored more goals overall (62 vs 50 for Willem), but their away goal difference is -3 versus the hosts’ +4 at home, and PSV’s shot conversion of 14% compared to Willem’s 8% does not compensate for their poor current form. Based on this I assign Willem II a 62% probability of a home win, 20% for a draw and 18% for an away win.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

37Possession (%)63
Willem IIPSV II
17Shots13
Willem IIPSV II
8Shots on target2
Willem IIPSV II
1.89xG1.46
Willem IIPSV II
3Corners8
Willem IIPSV II
36Dangerous attacks68
Willem IIPSV II
9Fouls12
Willem IIPSV II
2Cards1
Willem IIPSV II

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.55Goals scored / match1.74
Willem IIPSV II
1.11Goals conceded / match1.68
Willem IIPSV II
48%Average possession52%
Willem IIPSV II
5.53Shots on target / match5.39
Willem IIPSV II

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.63Shots per match14.32
Willem IIPSV II
5.53Shots on target5.39
Willem IIPSV II
10.6%Shot conversion12.1%
Willem IIPSV II
48%Possession52%
Willem IIPSV II
1.68xG for1.64
Willem IIPSV II
1.66xG against1.9
Willem IIPSV II

Shooting quality

Willem II: AttackingPSV II: Attacking
Willem IIPSV II
Accuracy (shots on target)38%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Willem II is 150% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - Willem II · 1.2 pts / match - PSV II

Willem II
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
53% W21% R26% P
Season (W-D-L)
20-8-10
1.79 pts / match · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-4-5
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
PSV II
LWWLL
Season result split
45% W13% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
17-5-16
1.47 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-2-9
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

PSV II is 12% better for: goals scored per match.

1.55 goals / match - Willem II · 1.74 goals / match - PSV II

Willem II is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.11 goals / match - Willem II · 1.68 goals / match - PSV II

Willem II scoring profile: very strong

Willem II scores in 87% of matches (33 of 38 matches), while PSV II keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).

PSV II scoring profile: very strong

PSV II scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Willem II keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).

59Goals scored (season)66
Willem IIPSV II
42Goals conceded (season)64
Willem IIPSV II
2.66Average goals in match3.42
Willem IIPSV II
9Goals scored (last 5)4
Willem IIPSV II
2Goals conceded (last 5)6
Willem IIPSV II

How often they score at least...

87%1 goal82%
Willem IIPSV II
47%2 goals58%
Willem IIPSV II
16%3 goals29%
Willem IIPSV II
3%4 goals5%
Willem IIPSV II

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal79%
Willem IIPSV II
29%2 goals50%
Willem IIPSV II
5%3 goals24%
Willem IIPSV II
5%4 goals11%
Willem IIPSV II

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

61%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time24%
Willem IIPSV II
5%BTTS in both halves3%
Willem IIPSV II
39%Scored in both halves39%
Willem IIPSV II

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS55%
Willem IIPSV II
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Willem IIPSV II
40%BTTS - last 520%
Willem IIPSV II

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time84%
Willem IIPSV II
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
Willem IIPSV II
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Willem IIPSV II

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time87%
Willem IIPSV II
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
Willem IIPSV II
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time32%
Willem IIPSV II

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Willem II - half-time state
45% leading39% draw16% trailing
PSV II - half-time state
50% leading24% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.74Points per match (1st half)1.74
Willem IIPSV II
0.84Goals scored (1st half)0.92
Willem IIPSV II
0.42Goals conceded (1st half)0.66
Willem IIPSV II
1.26Average goals (1st half)1.58
Willem IIPSV II
66%Clean sheet before half-time55%
Willem IIPSV II
32%No goal before half-time37%
Willem IIPSV II

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)1.16
Willem IIPSV II
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.82
Willem IIPSV II
0.68Goals conceded (2nd half)1.03
Willem IIPSV II
1.39Average goals (2nd half)1.84
Willem IIPSV II
50%Clean sheet after half-time39%
Willem IIPSV II
42%No goal after half-time42%
Willem IIPSV II

Willem II - second-half results

26% W50% R24% P
66
Half-time points
32
Half-time goals
+16
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.74
PPG before half-time
Lead holding118%

Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

PSV II - second-half results

32% W21% R47% P
66
Half-time points
35
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.74
PPG before half-time
Lead holding90%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 45%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Willem II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.001.40
Goals scored / match1.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal100%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+6+1
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6
PSV II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Willem II
ScoredConceded
5
5
0-15
14
3
16-30
13
8
31-45
10
6
46-60
4
9
61-75
13
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

PSV II
ScoredConceded
11
6
0-15
14
9
16-30
10
10
31-45
15
17
46-60
10
4
61-75
6
18
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.04
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-1%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Willem II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.55
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
76%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

PSV II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
119%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
9% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
9%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

Willem IILigaPSV II
Average goals in match 2.663.19 3.42
Both teams scored 55%61% 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 55%63% 66%
Clean sheets 32%21% 21%
Goal before half-time 79%77% 84%
Goal after half-time 76%86% 87%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.19
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.74
Home goals / match
1.46
Away goals / match
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Willem II 0 - 0 - 1 PSV II. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

PSV Eindhoven II
2 : 1
Willem II

FAQ

What was the result of Willem II vs PSV II?

The Eerste Divisie match finished Willem II 1:0 PSV II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Willem II vs PSV II?

Willem II score 1.55 goals per game on average and PSV II 1.74. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Willem II's matches and 61% of PSV II's.

What form are Willem II and PSV II in?

Over the last 5 games Willem II have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and PSV II 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Willem II vs PSV II?

The statistical background for Willem II vs PSV II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.