Willem II vs RKC Waalwijk: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely balanced, which is confirmed by both teams' identical goal difference (+3) in their matches. Willem II shows solid home form with a 45% win rate and an average of 1.18 goals per match, however, RKC Waalwijk is more effective away, scoring an average of 1.75 goals with a 42% win rate. The key factor is the visitors' higher shot conversion (12% vs 7%) and better form in the last five matches (1.6 PPG vs 1.4 PPG). The xG values are similar, further highlighting the balanced nature of the encounter. Taking into account both teams' statistics and the fact that the hosts have a tendency to draw (27% of home matches), the most probable outcome seems to be a draw, although a slight home advantage stems from playing on their own turf.
Willem II vs RKC Waalwijk: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Willem II played against RKC Waalwijk in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The game was played on February 8, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Willem II has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. RKC Waalwijk has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Willem II scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 1.38. RKC Waalwijk scores 1.68 and allows 1.52. Games in this league average 3.31 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Willem II's games and 72% of RKC Waalwijk's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 60%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 66% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
RKC Waalwijk has the higher season xG average, 1.70 to 1.64 per game. Willem II takes 14.1 shots per game, while RKC Waalwijk takes 15.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Willem II leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. RKC Waalwijk leads at halftime in 44% and scores 0.88 after halftime.
When the teams score
Willem II's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For RKC Waalwijk, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eerste Divisie games average 3.31 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 66% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely balanced, which is confirmed by both teams' identical goal difference (+3) in their matches. Willem II shows solid home form with a 45% win rate and an average of 1.18 goals per match, however, RKC Waalwijk is more effective away, scoring an average of 1.75 goals with a 42% win rate. The key factor is the visitors' higher shot conversion (12% vs 7%) and better form in the last five matches (1.6 PPG vs 1.4 PPG). The xG values are similar, further highlighting the balanced nature of the encounter. Taking into account both teams' statistics and the fact that the hosts have a tendency to draw (27% of home matches), the most probable outcome seems to be a draw, although a slight home advantage stems from playing on their own turf.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Willem II | RKC Waalwijk | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
RKC Waalwijk is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Willem II · 2.2 pts / game - RKC Waalwijk
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
RKC Waalwijk is 26% better for: goals scored per game.
1.33 goals / game - Willem II · 1.68 goals / game - RKC Waalwijk
Willem II is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.38 goals / game - Willem II · 1.52 goals / game - RKC Waalwijk
Willem II scores in 88% of games (21 of 24 meczów), while RKC Waalwijk keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 meczów).
RKC Waalwijk scores in 88% of games (22 of 25 meczów), while Willem II keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Willem II
Over / Under - RKC Waalwijk
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
RKC Waalwijk is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.54 pts / game - Willem II · 1.64 pts / game - RKC Waalwijk
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Willem II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
RKC Waalwijk - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 40%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Willem II
RKC Waalwijk
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Willem II | Liga | RKC Waalwijk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.71 | 3.31 | ▼ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | • 63% | 63% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 54% | 66% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 21% | • 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 78% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 86% | ▼ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Willem II's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against RKC Waalwijk. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Willem II vs RKC Waalwijk?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Willem II 2:1 RKC Waalwijk. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Willem II vs RKC Waalwijk?
Willem II score 1.33 goals per game on average and RKC Waalwijk 1.68. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Willem II's matches and 72% of RKC Waalwijk's.
What form are Willem II and RKC Waalwijk in?
Over the last 5 games Willem II have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and RKC Waalwijk 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Willem II vs RKC Waalwijk?
The statistical background for Willem II vs RKC Waalwijk — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.