Switzerland - Challenge LeagueStadion SchützenwieseData current as of November 03, 2026

Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Winterthur plays Étoile Carouge in Challenge League (Switzerland). The game is scheduled for November 7, 2026. Venue: Stadion Schützenwiese.

Recent form

Winterthur has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Étoile Carouge has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Winterthur scores 2.17 goals per game and allows 0.92. Étoile Carouge scores 1.00 and allows 1.42. Games in this league average 3.13 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 33% of Winterthur's games and 50% of Étoile Carouge's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 50%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Winterthur has the higher season xG average, 1.87 to 1.77 per game. Winterthur takes 17.5 shots per game, while Étoile Carouge takes 16.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Winterthur leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. Étoile Carouge leads at halftime in 8% and scores 0.58 after halftime.

When the teams score

Winterthur's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). For Étoile Carouge, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Challenge League games average 3.13 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.57)
(4.34)
(4.66)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
2.17Goals scored / game1
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
0.92Goals allowed / game1.42
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
55%Average possession55%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
5.67Shots on target / game4.58
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

17.5Shots per game16.83
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
5.67Shots on target4.58
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
12.4%Shot conversion5.9%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
55%Possession55%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
1.87xG for1.77
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
1.4xG against1.43
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge

Shooting quality

Winterthur: DominantÉtoile Carouge: Dominant
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
Accuracy (shots on target)32%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Winterthur is 200% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / game - Winterthur · 0.8 pts / game - Étoile Carouge

Winterthur
WWLWW
Season result split
58% W25% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-3-2
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.88Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 80%
Étoile Carouge
LLLWD
Season result split
25% W33% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-5
1.08 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-2
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DDLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Winterthur is 117% better for: goals scored per game.

2.17 goals / game - Winterthur · 1 goals / game - Étoile Carouge

Winterthur is 54% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.92 goals / game - Winterthur · 1.42 goals / game - Étoile Carouge

Winterthur scoring profile: very strong

Winterthur scores in 83% of games (10 of 12 games), while Étoile Carouge keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 games).

Étoile Carouge scoring profile: mixed

Étoile Carouge scores in 58% of games (7 of 12 games), while Winterthur keeps a clean sheet in 50% (6 of 12 games).

26Goals scored (season)12
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
11Goals conceded (season)17
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
3.08Average goals per game2.42
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
10Goals scored (last 5)5
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
4Goals conceded (last 5)10
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal58%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
67%2 goals33%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
33%3 goals8%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
25%4 goals0%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal83%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
33%2 goals33%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
8%3 goals17%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
0%4 goals8%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time33%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
0%BTTS in both halves8%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
50%Scored in both halves17%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
42%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
20%BTTS - last 560%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Winterthur is 111% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.75 pts / game - Winterthur · 0.83 pts / game - Étoile Carouge

Winterthur - half-time state
50% leading25% draw25% trailing
Étoile Carouge - half-time state
8% leading58% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.75Points per game (1st half)0.83
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
1.25Goals scored (1st half)0.42
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
0.42Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
1.67Average goals (1st half)1.08
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
58%Clean sheet before half-time42%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
42%No goal before half-time58%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge

After half-time (2nd half)

2.08Points per game (2nd half)1.08
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
0.92Goals scored (2nd half)0.58
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.75
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
1.42Average goals (2nd half)1.33
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
67%Clean sheet after half-time50%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge
25%No goal after half-time67%
WinterthurÉtoile Carouge

Winterthur - second-half results

67% W8% D25% L
21
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding116%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 58%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Étoile Carouge - second-half results

25% W33% D42% L
10
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding313%

Leads at halftime in 8% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Winterthur - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.602.40
Goals scored / game1.20.8
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game1.61.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6
Étoile Carouge - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.600.80
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.81.2
Average goals per game1.21.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Winterthur
ScoredConceded
6
1
0-15
5
2
16-30
4
2
31-45
4
2
46-60
3
3
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Étoile Carouge
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
2
3
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
3
46-60
2
3
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-64%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Winterthur

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
122%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Étoile Carouge

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.76
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.77
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Challenge League).

Teams vs league

WinterthurLigaÉtoile Carouge
Average goals per game• 3.083.13▼ 2.42
Both teams scored▼ 33%57%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%65%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 50%24%▼ 17%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%78%▼ 67%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%88%▼ 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.13
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.78
Home goals / game
1.35
Away goals / game
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Winterthur's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Étoile Carouge. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

When do Winterthur and Étoile Carouge play?

Winterthur face Étoile Carouge on November 7, 2026 in Challenge League at Stadion Schützenwiese. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge?

Winterthur score 2.17 goals per game on average and Étoile Carouge 1.00. The Challenge League average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Winterthur's matches and 50% of Étoile Carouge's.

What form are Winterthur and Étoile Carouge in?

Over the last 5 games Winterthur have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Étoile Carouge 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge?

The statistical background for Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.