Winterthur vs Wil: match statistics

Wil have a slightly better record over their last five matches, averaging 1.2 points per game compared with Winterthur’s 0.8, while also scoring 11 goals during this period against their opponents’ 6. Away from home, the visitors won their only match so far, averaging 5 goals, 16 shots and as many as 9 shots on target per game. Winterthur remain unbeaten at home, but drew their only home match 2:2 and failed to keep a clean sheet, while conceding 11 goals in their last five matches. The hosts enjoy greater possession, 56% compared with 40%, but Wil create more high-quality chances, as reflected by an xG of 1.91 versus Winterthur’s 1.49. Both defenses are prone to errors, so goals should be expected, but the visitors’ greater attacking power makes them the more likely winners.

The BTTS signal is very strong because both teams have recorded a 100% “both teams to score” rate this season, and neither has kept a clean sheet. In their last five matches, Winterthur averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded, while Wil scored 2.2 goals and conceded 2.4. Wil possess a clearly stronger attack, as confirmed by an average xG of 1.91 and 9 shots on target per match, but Winterthur should be able to exploit the visitors’ defensive weakness, with Wil allowing opponents an xG of 1.94. The hosts themselves generate an average of 1.27 xG, while their opponents have not recorded a single clean sheet, making a Winterthur goal a realistic scenario. Recent BTTS form, standing at 60% for Winterthur and 80% for Wil, remains in line with the high league average of 70% and supports the BTTS - Yes pick.

Both teams have a very clear goals profile: in their matches so far, each has recorded 100% of games finishing Over 2.5 goals and 100% of matches in which both sides scored. In their last five appearances, Winterthur averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded, while Wil scored 2.2 and conceded 2.4 goals per game, pointing to an open-game scenario. The visitors’ attacking potential is supported by an average xG of 1.74 across their last five matches, while the hosts’ defense allowed an average of 1.98 xG. The projected total of 3.50 goals is only level with the league average of 3.5, but the Over 1.5 line offers by far the strongest safety margin and is backed by 100% of both teams’ results.

Wil have a clearly superior record in the available seasonal data: they have won 100% of their matches, averaging 5.0 goals scored and 9.0 shots on target per game, while Winterthur have not won a single match and average 1.0 goal scored. The visitors were leading at the break in 100% of their matches so far, scoring an average of 3.0 goals before half-time, while the hosts were level after 45 minutes in their only match. Wil’s attacking superiority is also evident in the quality of their chances, with average xG of 1.91 compared with Winterthur’s 1.27, while their shot conversion rate is as high as 31%, compared with 6% for the hosts. In their last five matches, Winterthur lost 60% of their games and conceded an average of 1.8 goals after half-time, which favors Wil maintaining or extending their lead. The most likely outcome, therefore, remains an HT/FT scenario in which the visitors take the lead before the break and secure the win by the final whistle.