Wisła Płock II vs ŁKS Łódź II: match statistics

Wisła Płock II have a clearly superior season record, with 4 wins, 2 draws and just 1 defeat, while ŁKS Łódź II have lost 5 of their 7 matches. At home, the hosts win 67% of their games and average 2.67 goals, whereas the visitors concede an average of 2.00 goals away from home and lose 75% of their away fixtures. Wisła create slightly fewer high-quality chances than their opponents, with an average xG of 1.77 compared to ŁKS’s 1.92 away from home, but they are more clinical, converting 19% of their shots compared to the visitors’ 14%. Both defenses allow opponents to generate a high xG, at 1.86 and 1.85 respectively, so ŁKS should create chances; however, the hosts have scored in every home match. Recent form is similar, but Wisła’s strong home record and ŁKS’s poor away defense point towards a home win.

Recent form clearly supports goals at both ends: in their last 5 matches, Wisła Płock II averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while ŁKS Łódź II averaged 2.0 scored and 2.2 conceded. During this period, both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of their matches, which is a significantly stronger signal than their seasonal rates of 33% and 50%. The hosts have kept a clean sheet in none of their matches, while the visitors concede an average of 2.0 goals per game, giving both attacks favorable conditions to find the net. The creative potential is also high: average xG stands at 1.72 for Wisła and 1.92 for ŁKS, with 6.0 and 5.67 shots on target per match, respectively. BTTS - Yes is more likely, although the key risk is that Wisła have failed to score in 67% of their matches this season.

The signal for at least two goals is very clear: Over 1.5 goals has landed in 67% of Wisła Płock II’s matches and in all of ŁKS Łódź II’s games. Both teams also produce high-quality chances, with average xG of 1.72 for the home side and 1.92 for the visitors, while their xG conceded stands at 1.63 and 1.85 respectively. In their last five matches, Wisła averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while ŁKS scored 2.0 and conceded 2.2 goals per game. Both defenses allow opponents plenty of chances, although caution around higher lines is warranted by the season-long record of Under 3.5 goals in 67% of Wisła’s matches and 75% of ŁKS’s games. Therefore, Over 1.5 is the strongest selection, offering a clear edge over the risk associated with requiring three or four goals.

The strongest scenario is for ŁKS Łódź II to lead at the break and secure an away win, as Wisła Płock II were trailing at half-time in 2 of their 3 matches so far and have not led in any of them. The visitors have averaged 0.33 goals before the break, while the hosts have conceded as many as 1.33 goals per match during this phase, clearly increasing the visitors’ chances of taking an early lead. ŁKS also have the better post-half-time record: they won the second half in 67% of their matches and averaged 1.67 goals in that period, compared with Wisła’s 1.00. The visitors’ attacking potential is further supported by an xG of 1.92, higher than the hosts’ 1.72, while their shot conversion rate stands at 14%, compared with Wisła’s 10%. Both teams concede an average of 2.00 goals per match, so the risk of turnarounds remains high, but ŁKS’s superiority in the second halves strengthens the 2/2 HT/FT option.