Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Jarosław: match statistics

Jarosław arrive in significantly better form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 15 goals in that run, while Wiślanie Jaśkowice have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, scoring just 6 goals. The visitors are also more clinical away from home, averaging 2.00 goals with a 14% shot-conversion rate, compared with the hosts’ 1.33 goals and 7%. The quality of chances created is fairly even, although Jarosław hold a slight edge: their average xG stands at 1.71 compared with 1.65, and the visitors have failed to score in none of their away matches. Wiślanie may exploit weaknesses in the opposition’s defense, as Jarosław concede an average of 2.00 goals away from home and have yet to keep a clean sheet. However, their recent form and lower efficiency point towards a narrow Jarosław victory.

Seasonally, both sides clearly support goals: BTTS - Yes occurred in 60% of Wiślan Jaśkowice’s matches and as many as 100% of Jarosław’s games, compared with the league average of 51%. Jarosław have not kept a single clean sheet, while averaging 2.0 goals per match; Wiślan score even more frequently, at 2.8 goals per game. Their attacking potential is confirmed by average xG figures of 1.59 for the hosts and 1.71 for the visitors, along with 5.0 and 6.0 shots on target per match, respectively. In their last five appearances, Jarosław scored 15 goals, while Wiślan conceded an average of 1.2, strengthening the visitors’ chances of finding the net. The hosts’ recent form is slightly less convincing, as they average 1.2 goals, but their xG of 1.86 and the fact that they have not failed to score in any match this season support a BTTS - Yes scenario.

Both teams’ goal profiles are clearly above the league average of 2.84 goals: Wiślanie average 2.8 goals, while Jarosław average 2.0. Each team has exceeded the 1.5-goal threshold in 100% of their matches so far, while Jarosław have kept no clean sheets and concede an average of 2.0 goals. In their last five matches, Jarosław scored 15 goals, or 3.0 per game, and 80% of their matches produced at least three goals. The potential for creating chances remains high on both sides, with average xG figures of 1.59 for the home team and 1.71 for the visitors. Over 1.5 goals is the strongest selection, as even with a more cautious projection of 3.20 total goals, the risk of the match ending with no more than one goal is limited.

The strongest signal comes from Jarosław’s current form: the visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 3.0 goals and conceding just 1.0. During this run, Jarosław averaged 1.2 goals before half-time and held the lead at the break in 60% of matches, while Wiślanie scored only 0.75 goals in the first halves and were behind at half-time in 50% of cases. After the break, the visitors’ form advantage remains clear, as they won the second half in 80% of their last matches, with an average goal balance of 1.8:0.2. Wiślanie do have a 60% home win rate and historically held the lead at half-time in 3 of 5 matches, but their last five games yielded only 1.4 points per match compared with Jarosław’s 2.4. The most likely scenario is therefore an HT/FT outcome of 2/2, with the visitors leading at the break and securing the final victory, although the hosts’ strong home efficiency leaves a significant chance of a turnaround.