Woking vs Sutton United: match statistics

Woking are showing clearly better current form: over their last five matches, they have scored 8 goals, recorded 2 wins and averaged 1.6 points per game. The hosts’ defensive performance has been particularly impressive, conceding just 2 goals during this period, or 0.4 per match on average. Sutton United have failed to win any of their last five games, losing 4 of them, while their goal record over that span stands at just 3 scored and 11 conceded. The visitors are therefore averaging only 0.6 goals per match while conceding 2.2, which, combined with Woking’s more stable defense, significantly increases the hosts’ chances of victory. The teams are close in the table, but the current trend and the difference in attacking efficiency point towards a Woking win.

The stronger signal points towards at least one team failing to score, primarily due to Sutton United’s weak attacking output. The visitors have scored just 3 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.6 per game, while BTTS landed in only 40% of those fixtures. Woking conceded just 2 goals during this period, an average of 0.4 per match, which significantly increases the likelihood of Sutton failing to find the net. The hosts are considerably more effective, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and creating 1.43 xG, while their opponents concede as many as 2.2 goals per game. Therefore, the most likely outcome is Woking scoring one or more goals while the visitors fail to score — BTTS - No.

Woking have scored 8 goals in their last five matches, averaging 1.6 per game, while Sutton United have conceded as many as 11 goals during this period, an average of 2.2. The hosts are also significantly more solid defensively, having conceded just 2 goals in five appearances, while the visitors have scored only 3 times. Woking’s xG stands at 1.43, while Sutton United concede chances worth an average of 1.62 xG, supporting the forecast of at least two goals, mainly from the hosts. Although only 40% of Woking’s recent matches went over 2.5 goals, as many as 80% of Sutton’s games during the same period featured at least three goals. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 2.40 goals and Sutton’s very poor recent defensive record clearly reduce the risk of a 0:0 or 1:0 result.

Woking have been clearly stronger over their last five matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored, conceding just 0.4, and losing only once, while Sutton have failed to win any of their matches and conceded an average of 2.2 goals. The hosts led at the break in 40% of these games and were never trailing at half-time, whereas Sutton were behind after the first half in 60% of their appearances. Woking’s defense further reinforces this difference, conceding an average of just 0.2 goals before the break, compared with Sutton’s 1.2 goals conceded during the same period. The most likely scenario is therefore Woking taking the lead before half-time and maintaining it until the final whistle, although Woking’s significant 60% rate of half-time draws also increases the likelihood of the draw/Woking outcome.