Wolfsburg vs Hamburger SV: match statistics
Wolfsburg finds themselves in a dramatic situation in 17th place, with a mere 17% home win rate and catastrophic form—zero wins in the last 5 matches. Hamburger SV performs little better on the road, with only 9% away wins and failing to score in 45% of matches. Both teams are characterized by a negative goal difference (Wolfsburg -7 at home, HSV -12 away), suggesting problems in both defense and attack. Wolfsburg scores an average of 1.58 goals at home, while HSV manages just 0.64 goals away, indicating a potentially low-scoring affair. Considering the poor form of both sides, the high probability of a draw (36% for HSV away), and the fact that both teams are desperate for points, I predict a draw as the most likely outcome of this clash between two relegation-battling sides.
Wolfsburg vs Hamburger SV: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Wolfsburg played against Hamburger SV in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on March 7, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Wolfsburg has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Hamburger SV has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Wolfsburg scores 1.38 goals per game and allows 2.21. Hamburger SV scores 1.08 and allows 1.46. Games in this league average 3.18 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 75% of Wolfsburg's games and 54% of Hamburger SV's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 50%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Hamburger SV has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 1.32 per game. Wolfsburg takes 11.5 shots per game, while Hamburger SV takes 12.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Wolfsburg leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Hamburger SV leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Wolfsburg's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). For Hamburger SV, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.18 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wolfsburg finds themselves in a dramatic situation in 17th place, with a mere 17% home win rate and catastrophic form—zero wins in the last 5 matches. Hamburger SV performs little better on the road, with only 9% away wins and failing to score in 45% of matches. Both teams are characterized by a negative goal difference (Wolfsburg -7 at home, HSV -12 away), suggesting problems in both defense and attack. Wolfsburg scores an average of 1.58 goals at home, while HSV manages just 0.64 goals away, indicating a potentially low-scoring affair. Considering the poor form of both sides, the high probability of a draw (36% for HSV away), and the fact that both teams are desperate for points, I predict a draw as the most likely outcome of this clash between two relegation-battling sides.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Wolfsburg | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hamburger SV is 600% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Wolfsburg · 1.4 pts / game - Hamburger SV
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wolfsburg is 28% better for: goals scored per game.
1.38 goals / game - Wolfsburg · 1.08 goals / game - Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV is 51% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.21 goals / game - Wolfsburg · 1.46 goals / game - Hamburger SV
Wolfsburg scores in 79% of games (19 of 24 meczów), while Hamburger SV keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 meczów).
Hamburger SV scores in 63% of games (15 of 24 meczów), while Wolfsburg keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wolfsburg
Over / Under - Hamburger SV
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wolfsburg is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / game - Wolfsburg · 1.08 pts / game - Hamburger SV
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wolfsburg - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 21%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Hamburger SV - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Wolfsburg
Hamburger SV
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Wolfsburg | Liga | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.58 | 3.18 | ▼ 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 58% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 4% | 23% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 76% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 83% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Wolfsburg's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Hamburger SV. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Wolfsburg vs Hamburger SV?
The Bundesliga match finished Wolfsburg 1:2 Hamburger SV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wolfsburg vs Hamburger SV?
Wolfsburg score 1.38 goals per game on average and Hamburger SV 1.08. The Bundesliga average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Wolfsburg's matches and 54% of Hamburger SV's.
What form are Wolfsburg and Hamburger SV in?
Over the last 5 games Wolfsburg have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Hamburger SV 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wolfsburg vs Hamburger SV?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Wolfsburg vs Hamburger SV: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.