Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli: match statistics
Wolfsburg sits in a better league position (14th place) than St. Pauli (16th place), and their home offense is significantly more effective – averaging 1.63 goals per match compared to St. Pauli's mere 0.63 goals on the road. The visitors suffer from very poor shooting efficiency in away matches (7% shot conversion, 50% of matches without scoring), providing a significant advantage for the hosts. Although both teams share an identical goal difference (-6), Wolfsburg has demonstrated better scoring form in recent fixtures (11 goals in 5 matches versus 5 for St. Pauli). However, St. Pauli has shown improvement in their last five games (1.8 points per match), suggesting the possibility of a draw. Considering all statistics, a Wolfsburg victory is predicted, though the hosts' weak defense (0% clean sheets at home) and the visitors' rising form mean the result is not guaranteed.
Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Wolfsburg played against St. Pauli in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on January 14, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Wolfsburg has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. St. Pauli has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Wolfsburg scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 2.25. St. Pauli scores 0.87 and allows 1.73. Games in this league average 3.26 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 75% of Wolfsburg's games and 47% of St. Pauli's. The Over 2.5 rates are 69% and 53%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Wolfsburg has the higher season xG average, 1.33 to 1.24 per game. Wolfsburg takes 11.8 shots per game, while St. Pauli takes 10.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Wolfsburg leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.69 goals per game after halftime. St. Pauli leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.53 after halftime.
When the teams score
Wolfsburg's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). For St. Pauli, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.26 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wolfsburg sits in a better league position (14th place) than St. Pauli (16th place), and their home offense is significantly more effective – averaging 1.63 goals per match compared to St. Pauli's mere 0.63 goals on the road. The visitors suffer from very poor shooting efficiency in away matches (7% shot conversion, 50% of matches without scoring), providing a significant advantage for the hosts. Although both teams share an identical goal difference (-6), Wolfsburg has demonstrated better scoring form in recent fixtures (11 goals in 5 matches versus 5 for St. Pauli). However, St. Pauli has shown improvement in their last five games (1.8 points per match), suggesting the possibility of a draw. Considering all statistics, a Wolfsburg victory is predicted, though the hosts' weak defense (0% clean sheets at home) and the visitors' rising form mean the result is not guaranteed.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Wolfsburg | St. Pauli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Wolfsburg is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Wolfsburg · 1 pts / game - St. Pauli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wolfsburg is 72% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Wolfsburg · 0.87 goals / game - St. Pauli
St. Pauli is 30% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.25 goals / game - Wolfsburg · 1.73 goals / game - St. Pauli
Wolfsburg scores in 81% of games (13 of 16 meczów), while St. Pauli keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 meczów).
St. Pauli scores in 53% of games (8 of 15 meczów), while Wolfsburg keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wolfsburg
Over / Under - St. Pauli
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wolfsburg is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - Wolfsburg · 0.8 pts / game - St. Pauli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wolfsburg - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 25%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
St. Pauli - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Wolfsburg
St. Pauli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Wolfsburg | Liga | St. Pauli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.75 | 3.26 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 57% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 63% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 24% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 94% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 82% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli?
The Bundesliga match finished Wolfsburg 2:1 St. Pauli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli?
Wolfsburg score 1.50 goals per game on average and St. Pauli 0.87. The Bundesliga average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Wolfsburg's matches and 47% of St. Pauli's.
What form are Wolfsburg and St. Pauli in?
Over the last 5 games Wolfsburg have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and St. Pauli 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.