Wolfsburg vs Werder Bremen: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams in this match. Wolfsburg is in a dramatic situation in 17th place in the table with only a 15% win rate at home and catastrophic form in the last five matches (0 wins, 0.4 PPG). Werder Bremen presents identical away statistics - also 15% wins away and 62% losses. The key factor is that both teams have very similar xG indicators (Wolfsburg 1.54 vs Bremen 1.30) and similar averages of goals scored and conceded. Werder shows slightly better form in the last five matches (1.2 PPG vs 0.4 PPG) and marginally higher possession (52% vs 49%), which gives them a slight advantage. Considering the weak defense of both teams, a match with goals is expected, but neither team has a clear advantage to secure three points, making a draw the most probable result.
Wolfsburg vs Werder Bremen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wolfsburg play Werder Bremen in Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 21 March 2026 at 15:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Wolfsburg: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Werder Bremen: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wolfsburg scores 1.32 and concedes 2.03 goals per match. Werder Bremen scores 1.09 and concedes 1.76. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wolfsburg 74%, Werder Bremen 47%. Over 2.5: Wolfsburg 65%, Werder Bremen 53%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Werder Bremen has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.37. Wolfsburg: 11.9 shots per match, Werder Bremen: 13.1.
Match halves
Wolfsburg: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.68. Werder Bremen: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Wolfsburg: 0-15 (9 goals). Werder Bremen: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams in this match. Wolfsburg is in a dramatic situation in 17th place in the table with only a 15% win rate at home and catastrophic form in the last five matches (0 wins, 0.4 PPG). Werder Bremen presents identical away statistics - also 15% wins away and 62% losses. The key factor is that both teams have very similar xG indicators (Wolfsburg 1.54 vs Bremen 1.30) and similar averages of goals scored and conceded. Werder shows slightly better form in the last five matches (1.2 PPG vs 0.4 PPG) and marginally higher possession (52% vs 49%), which gives them a slight advantage. Considering the weak defense of both teams, a match with goals is expected, but neither team has a clear advantage to secure three points, making a draw the most probable result.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wolfsburg | Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wolfsburg is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Wolfsburg · 0.8 pts / match - Werder Bremen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wolfsburg is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Wolfsburg · 1.09 goals / match - Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.03 goals / match - Wolfsburg · 1.76 goals / match - Werder Bremen
Wolfsburg scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Werder Bremen keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
Werder Bremen scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while Wolfsburg keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Wolfsburg
Over / Under — Werder Bremen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wolfsburg is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / match - Wolfsburg · 0.85 pts / match - Werder Bremen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wolfsburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 21%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Werder Bremen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Wolfsburg | Liga | Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.35 | 3.24 | ▼ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 62% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 65% | 64% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 21% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 86% | • 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Wolfsburg 0 - 0 - 1 Werder Bremen. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wolfsburg vs Werder Bremen?
The Bundesliga match finished Wolfsburg 0:1 Werder Bremen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wolfsburg vs Werder Bremen?
Wolfsburg score 1.32 goals per game on average and Werder Bremen 1.09. The Bundesliga average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Wolfsburg's matches and 47% of Werder Bremen's.
What form are Wolfsburg and Werder Bremen in?
Over the last 5 games Wolfsburg have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Werder Bremen 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wolfsburg vs Werder Bremen?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.