England - ChampionshipMolineux StadiumData current as of October 21, 2026

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Wolverhampton Wanderers plays Watford in Championship (England). The game is scheduled for October 24, 2026. Venue: Molineux Stadium.

Recent form

Wolverhampton Wanderers has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Watford has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Wolverhampton Wanderers scores 1.73 goals per game and allows 1.45. Watford scores 0.91 and allows 1.73. Games in this league average 2.88 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 73% of Wolverhampton Wanderers's games and 55% of Watford's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 45%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Wolverhampton Wanderers has the higher season xG average, 1.66 to 1.41 per game. Wolverhampton Wanderers takes 16.2 shots per game, while Watford takes 13.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Wolverhampton Wanderers leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Watford leads at halftime in 9% and scores 0.55 after halftime.

When the teams score

Wolverhampton Wanderers's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). For Watford, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Championship games average 2.88 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.37)
(4.85)
(7.39)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
1.73Goals scored / game0.91
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
1.45Goals allowed / game1.73
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
54%Average possession47%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
4.27Shots on target / game4.36
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

16.18Shots per game13
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
4.27Shots on target4.36
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
10.7%Shot conversion7%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
54%Possession47%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
1.66xG for1.41
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
1.27xG against1.72
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford

Shooting quality

Wolverhampton Wanderers: AttackingWatford: Balanced
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
Accuracy (shots on target)26%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.21

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Wolverhampton Wanderers is 133% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Wolverhampton Wanderers · 0.6 pts / game - Watford

Wolverhampton Wanderers
WLLWD
Season result split
45% W27% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-3
1.64 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWWLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Watford
LLLLW
Season result split
27% W18% D55% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-6
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-4
Last 5 away
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.90BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Wolverhampton Wanderers is 90% better for: goals scored per game.

1.73 goals / game - Wolverhampton Wanderers · 0.91 goals / game - Watford

Wolverhampton Wanderers is 19% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.45 goals / game - Wolverhampton Wanderers · 1.73 goals / game - Watford

Wolverhampton Wanderers scoring profile: very strong

Wolverhampton Wanderers scores in 91% of games (10 of 11 games), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 games).

Watford scoring profile: very strong

Watford scores in 64% of games (7 of 11 games), while Wolverhampton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 games).

19Goals scored (season)10
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
16Goals conceded (season)19
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
3.18Average goals per game2.64
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
5Goals scored (last 5)4
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
6Goals conceded (last 5)12
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford

How often they score at least...

91%1 goal64%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
55%2 goals27%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
18%3 goals0%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
9%4 goals0%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal91%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
36%2 goals36%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
18%3 goals18%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
9%4 goals18%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

73%
Wolverhampton Wanderers - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.8 of 11 games
64%
League average

Goal patterns

45%BTTS at half-time18%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
18%BTTS in both halves0%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
45%Scored in both halves0%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford

BTTS and goal count

64%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
60%BTTS - last 540%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time91%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
45%Min. 2 goals before half-time55%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
27%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford

2nd half

91%Min. 1 goal after half-time55%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
27%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Wolverhampton Wanderers is 115% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.18 pts / game - Wolverhampton Wanderers · 0.55 pts / game - Watford

Wolverhampton Wanderers - half-time state
18% leading64% draw18% trailing
Watford - half-time state
9% leading27% draw64% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.18Points per game (1st half)0.55
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
0.73Goals scored (1st half)0.36
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
0.73Goals conceded (1st half)1.36
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
1.45Average goals (1st half)1.73
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
45%Clean sheet before half-time18%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
45%No goal before half-time73%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford

After half-time (2nd half)

1.64Points per game (2nd half)1.18
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.55
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
0.73Goals conceded (2nd half)0.36
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
1.73Average goals (2nd half)0.91
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
45%Clean sheet after half-time64%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
18%No goal after half-time64%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford

Wolverhampton Wanderers - second-half results

45% W27% D27% L
13
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding250%

Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Watford - second-half results

18% W64% D18% L
6
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-1.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Wolverhampton Wanderers - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.40
Goals scored / game0.20.8
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game0.61.6
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Watford - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.201.20
Goals scored / game0.00.8
Goals allowed / game1.80.6
Average goals per game1.81.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-9+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Wolverhampton Wanderers
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
3
4
16-30
3
3
31-45
3
3
46-60
4
2
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Watford
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
2
5
16-30
0
6
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
0
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.91
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.7 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Watford

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.50
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Wolverhampton WanderersLigaWatford
Average goals per game▲ 3.182.88▼ 2.64
Both teams scored▲ 73%64%▼ 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 64%61%▼ 45%
Clean sheets▼ 18%21%▼ 9%
Goal before half-time▼ 64%77%▲ 91%
Goal after half-time▲ 91%79%▼ 55%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.88
Average goals per game
64%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / game
1.30
Away goals / game
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defensive advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Wolverhampton Wanderers and Watford play?

Wolverhampton Wanderers face Watford on October 24, 2026 in Championship at Molineux Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford?

Wolverhampton Wanderers score 1.73 goals per game on average and Watford 0.91. The Championship average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Wolverhampton Wanderers's matches and 55% of Watford's.

What form are Wolverhampton Wanderers and Watford in?

Over the last 5 games Wolverhampton Wanderers have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Watford 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford?

The statistical background for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.