England - National LeagueData current as of October 23, 2026

Worthing vs Southend United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Worthing vs Southend United: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Worthing plays Southend United in National League (England). The game is scheduled for October 27, 2026.

Recent form

Worthing has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Southend United has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Worthing scores 2.08 goals per game and allows 1.38. Southend United scores 2.38 and allows 1.46. Games in this league average 3.10 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 77% of Worthing's games and 92% of Southend United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 77% and 77%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Southend United has the higher season xG average, 1.75 to 1.53 per game. Worthing takes 11.3 shots per game, while Southend United takes 12.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Worthing leads at halftime in 77% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Southend United leads at halftime in 54% and scores 1.15 after halftime.

When the teams score

Worthing's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Southend United, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

National League games average 3.10 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

WorthingSouthend United
2.08Goals scored / game2.38
WorthingSouthend United
1.38Goals allowed / game1.46
WorthingSouthend United
52%Average possession62%
WorthingSouthend United
5.77Shots on target / game6.31
WorthingSouthend United

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.31Shots per game12
WorthingSouthend United
5.77Shots on target6.31
WorthingSouthend United
18.4%Shot conversion19.9%
WorthingSouthend United
52%Possession62%
WorthingSouthend United
1.53xG for1.75
WorthingSouthend United
1.5xG against1.28
WorthingSouthend United

Shooting quality

Worthing: Efficient finishingSouthend United: Efficient finishing
WorthingSouthend United
Accuracy (shots on target)51%53%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Worthing is 30% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / game - Worthing · 2 pts / game - Southend United

Worthing
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
54% W23% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-3-3
1.85 pts / game · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LDWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Southend United
WLDWW
Season result split
62% W23% D15% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-3-2
2.08 pts / game · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-3-0
Last 5 away
2-3-0
DDWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Southend United is 14% better for: goals scored per game.

2.08 goals / game - Worthing · 2.38 goals / game - Southend United

Worthing is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.38 goals / game - Worthing · 1.46 goals / game - Southend United

Worthing scoring profile: very strong

Worthing scores in 100% of games (13 of 13 games), while Southend United keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 games).

Southend United scoring profile: very strong

Southend United scores in 100% of games (13 of 13 games), while Worthing keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 games).

27Goals scored (season)31
WorthingSouthend United
18Goals conceded (season)19
WorthingSouthend United
3.46Average goals per game3.85
WorthingSouthend United
13Goals scored (last 5)14
WorthingSouthend United
4Goals conceded (last 5)8
WorthingSouthend United

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
WorthingSouthend United
69%2 goals69%
WorthingSouthend United
23%3 goals46%
WorthingSouthend United
8%4 goals8%
WorthingSouthend United

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal92%
WorthingSouthend United
46%2 goals31%
WorthingSouthend United
15%3 goals15%
WorthingSouthend United
0%4 goals8%
WorthingSouthend United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

63%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time31%
WorthingSouthend United
0%BTTS in both halves0%
WorthingSouthend United
46%Scored in both halves31%
WorthingSouthend United

BTTS and goal count

69%Min. 3 goals and BTTS77%
WorthingSouthend United
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
WorthingSouthend United
80%BTTS - last 5100%
WorthingSouthend United

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
WorthingSouthend United
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
WorthingSouthend United
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
WorthingSouthend United

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time92%
WorthingSouthend United
62%Min. 2 goals after half-time46%
WorthingSouthend United
38%Min. 3 goals after half-time38%
WorthingSouthend United

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Worthing is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.38 pts / game - Worthing · 1.92 pts / game - Southend United

Worthing - half-time state
77% leading8% draw15% trailing
Southend United - half-time state
54% leading31% draw15% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.38Points per game (1st half)1.92
WorthingSouthend United
1.08Goals scored (1st half)1.23
WorthingSouthend United
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)0.46
WorthingSouthend United
1.46Average goals (1st half)1.69
WorthingSouthend United
69%Clean sheet before half-time54%
WorthingSouthend United
15%No goal before half-time31%
WorthingSouthend United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per game (2nd half)1.69
WorthingSouthend United
1Goals scored (2nd half)1.15
WorthingSouthend United
1Goals conceded (2nd half)1
WorthingSouthend United
2Average goals (2nd half)2.15
WorthingSouthend United
46%Clean sheet after half-time38%
WorthingSouthend United
38%No goal after half-time38%
WorthingSouthend United

Worthing - second-half results

38% W23% D38% L
31
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding70%

Leads at halftime in 77% of games and wins 54%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Southend United - second-half results

54% W8% D38% L
25
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.92
PPG before half-time
Lead holding115%

Leads at halftime in 54% of games and wins 62%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Worthing - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.602.00
Goals scored / game1.61.0
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game2.01.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+6+3
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 8
Southend United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.20
Goals scored / game2.00.8
Goals allowed / game0.41.2
Average goals per game2.42.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+8-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 10

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Worthing
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
5
3
16-30
6
2
31-45
2
4
46-60
5
2
61-75
6
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Southend United
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
6
1
16-30
6
0
31-45
3
3
46-60
3
4
61-75
9
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.65
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
118%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
85%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Worthing

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.67
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
124%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.75
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Southend United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.63
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
168%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

WorthingLigaSouthend United
Average goals per game▲ 3.463.10▲ 3.85
Both teams scored▲ 77%63%▲ 92%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 77%61%▲ 77%
Clean sheets▲ 23%19%▼ 8%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%74%▲ 85%
Goal after half-time▼ 77%87%▲ 92%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.10
Average goals per game
63%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
1.68
Home goals / game
1.42
Away goals / game
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Worthing and Southend United play?

Worthing face Southend United on October 27, 2026 in National League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Worthing vs Southend United?

Worthing score 2.08 goals per game on average and Southend United 2.38. The National League average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 77% of Worthing's matches and 92% of Southend United's.

What form are Worthing and Southend United in?

Over the last 5 games Worthing have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Southend United 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Worthing vs Southend United?

The statistical background for Worthing vs Southend United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.