Wrexham vs Millwall: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced encounter between two sides from the top half of the table. Wrexham displays solid home form with a 40% win rate and an average of 1.73 goals per match, yet as many as 40% of their games end in a draw. Millwall in away matches achieves an identical win percentage (36%) and draw rate (36%), confirming their stability on the road. The key factor is Wrexham's advantage in ball possession (52% vs 44%) and a higher xG (1.64 vs 1.27), but Millwall is characterized by a better away defense (1.29 goals conceded vs the hosts' 1.47). The recent form of both teams is similar (1.6 vs 1.4 points per match), and the goal difference suggests a draw is possible. Considering all factors, I predict a tight match with a slight home advantage, yet Wrexham's high percentage of home draws makes this outcome the most probable.
Wrexham vs Millwall: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Wrexham played against Millwall in Championship (England). The game was played on February 7, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Wrexham has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Millwall has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Wrexham scores 1.47 goals per game and allows 1.23. Millwall scores 1.23 and allows 1.20. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Wrexham's games and 47% of Millwall's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 47%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Millwall has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.30 per game. Wrexham takes 11.4 shots per game, while Millwall takes 13.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Wrexham leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.87 goals per game after halftime. Millwall leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.70 after halftime.
When the teams score
Wrexham's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Millwall, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a balanced encounter between two sides from the top half of the table. Wrexham displays solid home form with a 40% win rate and an average of 1.73 goals per match, yet as many as 40% of their games end in a draw. Millwall in away matches achieves an identical win percentage (36%) and draw rate (36%), confirming their stability on the road. The key factor is Wrexham's advantage in ball possession (52% vs 44%) and a higher xG (1.64 vs 1.27), but Millwall is characterized by a better away defense (1.29 goals conceded vs the hosts' 1.47). The recent form of both teams is similar (1.6 vs 1.4 points per match), and the goal difference suggests a draw is possible. Considering all factors, I predict a tight match with a slight home advantage, yet Wrexham's high percentage of home draws makes this outcome the most probable.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Wrexham | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wrexham is 20% better for: goals scored per game.
1.47 goals / game - Wrexham · 1.23 goals / game - Millwall
Wrexham scores in 87% of games (26 of 30 meczów), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 meczów).
Millwall scores in 77% of games (23 of 30 meczów), while Wrexham keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wrexham
Over / Under - Millwall
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Millwall is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - Wrexham · 1.4 pts / game - Millwall
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wrexham - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Millwall - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Wrexham
Millwall
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Wrexham | Liga | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.70 | 2.57 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 50% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 25% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 71% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Wrexham's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Millwall. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Wrexham vs Millwall?
The Championship match finished Wrexham 0:2 Millwall. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wrexham vs Millwall?
Wrexham score 1.47 goals per game on average and Millwall 1.23. The Championship average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Wrexham's matches and 47% of Millwall's.
What form are Wrexham and Millwall in?
Over the last 5 games Wrexham have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Millwall 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wrexham vs Millwall?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.