Wrexham vs Watford: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Wrexham play Watford in Championship (England). The match date is 13 December 2025 at 16:00. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Wrexham: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Watford: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Wrexham scores 1.50 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Watford scores 1.15 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.59 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Wrexham 65%, Watford 59%. Over 2.5: Wrexham 50%, Watford 48%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Watford has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.29. Wrexham: 11.3 shots per match, Watford: 13.8.

Match halves

Wrexham: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.80. Watford: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Wrexham: 76-90+ (17 goals). Watford: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 2
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
WrexhamWatford
16Shots12
WrexhamWatford
3Shots on target3
WrexhamWatford
1.64xG1.2
WrexhamWatford
7Corners1
WrexhamWatford
58Dangerous attacks30
WrexhamWatford
10Fouls9
WrexhamWatford
3Cards5
WrexhamWatford

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.5Goals scored / match1.15
WrexhamWatford
1.41Goals conceded / match1.41
WrexhamWatford
48%Average possession51%
WrexhamWatford
3.78Shots on target / match4.43
WrexhamWatford

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.33Shots per match13.85
WrexhamWatford
3.78Shots on target4.43
WrexhamWatford
13.2%Shot conversion8.3%
WrexhamWatford
48%Possession51%
WrexhamWatford
1.29xG for1.49
WrexhamWatford
1.53xG against1.38
WrexhamWatford

Shooting quality

Wrexham: Efficient finishingWatford: Balanced
WrexhamWatford
Accuracy (shots on target)33%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Wrexham
LWWLD
Season result split
41% W30% R28% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-14-13
1.54 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-7-6
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Watford
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
30% W33% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-15-17
1.24 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-8-11
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 3.2xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.76BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Wrexham is 30% better for: goals scored per match.

1.5 goals / match - Wrexham · 1.15 goals / match - Watford

Wrexham scoring profile: very strong

Wrexham scores in 87% of matches (40 of 46 matches), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 15% (7 of 46 matches).

Watford scoring profile: strong

Watford scores in 70% of matches (32 of 46 matches), while Wrexham keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 46 matches).

69Goals scored (season)53
WrexhamWatford
65Goals conceded (season)65
WrexhamWatford
2.91Average goals in match2.57
WrexhamWatford
6Goals scored (last 5)1
WrexhamWatford
7Goals conceded (last 5)16
WrexhamWatford

How often they score at least...

87%1 goal70%
WrexhamWatford
43%2 goals35%
WrexhamWatford
11%3 goals11%
WrexhamWatford
4%4 goals0%
WrexhamWatford

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal85%
WrexhamWatford
48%2 goals39%
WrexhamWatford
15%3 goals11%
WrexhamWatford
2%4 goals4%
WrexhamWatford

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time24%
WrexhamWatford
4%BTTS in both halves0%
WrexhamWatford
20%Scored in both halves17%
WrexhamWatford

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
WrexhamWatford
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
WrexhamWatford
40%BTTS - last 520%
WrexhamWatford

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
WrexhamWatford
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
WrexhamWatford
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
WrexhamWatford

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
WrexhamWatford
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time37%
WrexhamWatford
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
WrexhamWatford

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Wrexham is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.39 pts / match - Wrexham · 0.98 pts / match - Watford

Wrexham - half-time state
35% leading35% draw30% trailing
Watford - half-time state
17% leading46% draw37% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.39Points per match (1st half)0.98
WrexhamWatford
0.7Goals scored (1st half)0.48
WrexhamWatford
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.74
WrexhamWatford
1.33Average goals (1st half)1.22
WrexhamWatford
57%Clean sheet before half-time41%
WrexhamWatford
46%No goal before half-time65%
WrexhamWatford

After half-time (2nd half)

1.37Points per match (2nd half)1.41
WrexhamWatford
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
WrexhamWatford
0.78Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
WrexhamWatford
1.59Average goals (2nd half)1.35
WrexhamWatford
43%Clean sheet after half-time48%
WrexhamWatford
48%No goal after half-time48%
WrexhamWatford

Wrexham - second-half results

35% W33% R33% P
64
Half-time points
32
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
63
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.39
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Watford - second-half results

37% W30% R33% P
45
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
65
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.98
PPG before half-time
Lead holding176%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Wrexham - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.60
Goals scored / match1.20.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.80.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%100%
Goal difference+3-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
Watford - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.200.00
Goals scored / match0.00.2
Goals conceded / match1.41.8
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%0%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference-7-8
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Wrexham
ScoredConceded
9
8
0-15
11
9
16-30
12
12
31-45
13
8
46-60
7
9
61-75
17
19
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Watford
ScoredConceded
5
9
0-15
6
13
16-30
11
12
31-45
9
10
46-60
8
8
61-75
14
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.73
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+46%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Wrexham

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Watford

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

WrexhamLigaWatford
Average goals in match 2.912.59 2.57
Both teams scored 65%57% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%50% 48%
Clean sheets 26%25% 15%
Goal before half-time 78%71% 70%
Goal after half-time 80%76% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.59
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.39
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+16%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Wrexham 0 - 0 - 1 Watford. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Wrexham vs Watford?

The Championship match finished Wrexham 2:2 Watford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Wrexham vs Watford?

Wrexham score 1.50 goals per game on average and Watford 1.15. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Wrexham's matches and 59% of Watford's.

What form are Wrexham and Watford in?

Over the last 5 games Wrexham have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Watford 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wrexham vs Watford?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.