WSPG Wels vs Rapid Wien II: match statistics

Rapid Wien II hold a slight edge in the table, sitting 8th compared with WSPG Wels in 10th, while both teams have collected 9 points across their last five matches. However, the key data comes from matches in the relevant roles: WSPG Wels lost their only home game so far 0:2, failed to score and generated just 0.80 xG. Rapid Wien II won their only away match 1:0, kept a clean sheet, averaged 11 shots per game compared with the hosts’ 3 attempts, and recorded 1.26 xG. The hosts enjoy greater possession, 53% to 43%, but this has not translated into attacking quality, whereas the visitors have scored in every away match. Rapid’s defense does concede an average of 2.25 xG to opponents, so a draw remains a realistic outcome, but the visitors’ more efficient profile points towards an away win.

The signal for both teams to score is moderately positive, as WSPG Wels recorded BTTS in 40% of their last five matches, while Rapid Wien II did so in 60%. Both teams scored regularly during this period, averaging 1.4 and 1.2 goals respectively, while each conceded 1.2 goals per match. Their attacking potential is supported by xG: 1.37 for the hosts and 1.64 for the visitors, alongside high xG values conceded by their opponents, at 1.43 and 1.84 respectively. The main argument against this is Rapid Wien II’s seasonal clean-sheet record, having conceded no goals in their only match so far; however, the sample is very small, and their xG against of 2.25 indicates defensive vulnerability. Therefore, the scenario in which both sides score at least one goal is more likely, although the edge over BTTS - Yes is not substantial.

The latest form of both teams points to a match with scoring potential: WSPG Wels have averaged 1.4 goals in their last five matches, while Rapid Wien II have averaged 1.2. At the same time, both teams conceded 1.2 goals per match during this period, supporting the scenario of at least two goals. The quality of chances created is even higher, as the average xG over the last five matches stands at 1.37 for Wels and 1.64 for Rapid, while their opponents have conceded 1.84 and 1.43 xG respectively. Austria's 2. Liga averages 3.38 goals per match, with 69% of games finishing Over 2.5 goals. However, the strongest selection remains Over 1.5 goals, as it combines the attacking numbers of both sides with significantly lower risk than higher goal lines.

The latest form of both teams is similar, as each has won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.4 and 1.2 goals respectively, but Wels have shown a clearly stronger start to matches. The hosts were leading at the break in 40% of their last five appearances, have not trailed at half-time in any of them, and recorded a 7:2 goal difference in the first half; Rapid II did lead in 60% of those matches, but were behind at half-time in 20%. Wels scored an average of 1.0 goals before the break while conceding just 0.4, whereas Rapid II scored 0.6, reinforcing the scenario of a home advantage already in the first half. After the break, the hosts concede an average of 0.8 goals, but Rapid II also score only 0.6, making it more likely that the home lead will be maintained than that there will be a complete turnaround. The seasonal sample is very small and produces extreme results, so the forecast is based primarily on the last five matches; the most likely outcome remains Wels leading at half-time and securing the full-time win.