Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe: match statistics
Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Yelimay Semey played against Aktobe in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Yelimay Semey has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Aktobe has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Yelimay Semey scores 1.40 goals per game and allows 1.32. Aktobe scores 1.46 and allows 1.19. Games in this league average 2.49 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Yelimay Semey's games and 58% of Aktobe's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 50%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Yelimay Semey has the higher season xG average, 1.67 to 1.53 per game. Yelimay Semey takes 14.0 shots per game, while Aktobe takes 13.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Yelimay Semey leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.84 goals per game after halftime. Aktobe leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.88 after halftime.
When the teams score
Yelimay Semey's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Aktobe, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kazakhstan Premier League games average 2.49 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Although Aktobe sit 5th and have won 3 of their last 5 matches, they win just 23% of their away games and lose 54%. Yelimay Semey win 42% of their home matches and create more chances, averaging 1.75 xG compared with Aktobe’s 1.35 away from home. The hosts average 15.18 shots at home, including 5.64 on target, while the visitors record 11.62 and 3.77 respectively on the road. Aktobe’s defensive record also favors the hosts: the visitors concede an average of 1.62 goals away from home and have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road, although Yelimay have conceded 9 goals in their last 5 matches. Home advantage therefore gives Yelimay a slight edge, but Aktobe’s recent form leaves the visitors with a realistic chance of taking points.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Yelimay averages 1.69 goals per match, while Aktobe concede 1.62 and have yet to keep a clean sheet, making a home goal likely. An away goal may be harder to come by, as Yelimay kept a clean sheet in 54% of their matches and Aktobe failed to score in 31%. Recent form weakens this argument, however: across their last five matches, the hosts conceded an average of 1.8 goals, while the visitors scored 1.6 and BTTS - Yes landed in 80% of their games. With season-long BTTS rates of 46% for Yelimay and 69% for Aktobe, the case for both teams to score is moderate but clear.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Yelimay score an average of 1.69 goals, while Aktobe concede 1.62, giving the hosts a solid platform to find the net. Aktobe, meanwhile, average 1.23 goals, although Yelimay’s defense restricts opponents to 0.77; accordingly, I expect around 1.68 goals from the hosts and 1.02 from the visitors. At least two goals were scored in 69% of Yelimay’s matches and 77% of Aktobe’s, while in their last five appearances, both teams went Over 2.5 goals in 60% and 80% of cases, respectively. Over 1.5 goals is therefore the strongest pick: it requires just two goals and is backed more convincingly by the data than the higher lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Yelimay win 69% of their home matches, while Aktobe lose 54% of their away games, which points to a home win. Yelimay led at the break in 46% of their matches, while Aktobe were trailing at that stage in 38% of their away games; the hosts score an average of 0.62 goals in the first half, matching the number the visitors concede. The advantage could be maintained after the break, as Yelimay average 1.08 goals in the second half and Aktobe concede 1.00. However, the 1/1 HT/FT pick is far from a certainty: Aktobe have won three of their last five meetings, compared with two for Yelimay, so a draw at half-time followed by a home win remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Yelimay Semey | Aktobe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Aktobe is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Yelimay Semey · 2 pts / game - Aktobe
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aktobe is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.32 goals / game - Yelimay Semey · 1.19 goals / game - Aktobe
Yelimay Semey scores in 80% of games (20 of 25 games), while Aktobe keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 games).
Aktobe scores in 81% of games (21 of 26 games), while Yelimay Semey keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Yelimay Semey
Over / Under - Aktobe
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aktobe is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / game - Yelimay Semey · 1.46 pts / game - Aktobe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Yelimay Semey - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Aktobe - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Yelimay Semey
Aktobe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Yelimay Semey | Liga | Aktobe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.72 | 2.49 | ▲ 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 54% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 67% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 74% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Yelimay Semey's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Aktobe. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Yelimay Semey 1:3 Aktobe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Yelimay Semey and Aktobe?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Yelimay Semey won 2, Aktobe won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe?
Yelimay Semey score 1.40 goals per game on average and Aktobe 1.46. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Yelimay Semey's matches and 58% of Aktobe's.
What form are Yelimay Semey and Aktobe in?
Over the last 5 games Yelimay Semey have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Aktobe 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe?
The statistical background for Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.