Yelimay Semey vs Astana: match statistics
Yelimay Semey vs Astana: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Yelimay Semey played against Astana in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The game was played on April 18, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Yelimay Semey has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Astana has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Yelimay Semey scores 1.60 goals per game and allows 0.60. Astana scores 1.40 and allows 1.20. Games in this league average 2.15 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Yelimay Semey's games and 40% of Astana's. The Over 2.5 rates are 20% and 40%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Yelimay Semey has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.50 per game. Yelimay Semey takes 13.2 shots per game, while Astana takes 12.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Yelimay Semey leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 1.20 goals per game after halftime. Astana leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.60 after halftime.
When the teams score
Yelimay Semey's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Astana, it is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kazakhstan Premier League games average 2.15 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Yelimay Semey sit 2nd in the table with a 3-2-0 record this season, scoring 8 and conceding 3, while Astana are 7th with a 2-2-1 record, 7 goals for and 6 against. In their last 5 matches the hosts have scored 11 goals, won 4 of 5 and average 2.6 points per game, whereas Astana have 5 goals, 2 wins and average 1.6 points in the same period. At home Yelimay average 1.0 goals and 0.5 conceded with xG for 1.4 and xG against 1.19, 50% clean sheets and 0% defeats; the visitors away average 0.0 goals and 2.0 conceded with xG for 1.11 and xG against 1.37 and 0% away wins. Shooting stats show a hosts’ volume advantage in attempts (12.5 vs 9.5) and a solid 3.5 shots on target versus Astana’s 4.5, but the decisive factor is the visitors’ poor efficiency — away conversion listed as 0% and 100% of away matches without a goal. Considering Yelimay’s flawless home run (0 defeats, 11 goals in 5 matches) and Astana’s significant finishing issues away from home, I forecast a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Yelimay has a significantly stronger attack: averaging 2.33 goals per match and xG 1.76, with 14.67 shots and 7.0 shots on target per game and a conversion rate of 16.0%. Astana averages 0.0 goals per match seasonally, but in the last 5 matches scored 5 goals (1.0 per match) and has a recent xG_for of 1.52, while conceding on average 2.0 goals per match seasonally. Season BTTS rate for Yelimay is 67% (last 5: 60%) versus 0% seasonally for Astana (last 5: 40%) with a league BTTS average of 50%, which gives mixed signals but an edge to the home side. xG comparison shows Yelimay xG_for 1.76 vs Astana xG_against 1.37 and Astana xG_for 1.11 vs Yelimay xG_against 0.99, suggesting both teams create chances and have realistic scoring opportunities. For these reasons I rate BTTS - Yes as the stronger signal: 70% vs 30% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects a total of 2.62 goals (home xG 1.76 vs. Astana's conceded xG 1.37 → forecast 1.57 for Yelimay; Astana xG 1.11 vs. hosts' conceded xG 0.99 → forecast 1.05 for Astana). Hosts average 2.33 goals per game (last 5: 2.2) and register 14.7 shots with 7.0 on target, while visitors have 1.0 goals in the last 5 matches and 9.5 shots with 4.5 on target. Under a Poisson distribution with λ=2.62 the probability of Over 1.5 is ~74% (1−P(0)−P(1)), Over 2.5 ~49%, and Over 3.5 ~27%. Additionally, the hosts have 67% of matches with both teams scoring this season, which increases the chance of at least two goals. As a result, the strongest and best-justified signal from the data is a bet on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Yelimay Semey holds a clear advantage: they score an average of 2.33 goals per match and concede 0.67, while Astana have 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on the road. At half-time the hosts led in 2 of the 3 matches so far (67%), and the hosts’ mean goals by the break are 1.33 versus 0.0 for the visitors, suggesting a high probability of a lead at the break. Offensive metrics further confirm the edge: xG 1.76 for Yelimay versus 1.11 for Astana, 7.0 shots on target versus 4.5 and conversion 16% versus 0%, so the hosts create and convert more chances. Additionally, Yelimay score early (1 goal in 0–15 and 2 goals in 16–30), therefore the strongest scenario is a Half-Time/Full-Time 1/1 (lead at the break and home win), with a draw to the end (X/X) as the only significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Yelimay Semey | Astana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Yelimay Semey is 38% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Yelimay Semey · 1.6 pts / game - Astana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Yelimay Semey is 14% better for: goals scored per game.
1.6 goals / game - Yelimay Semey · 1.4 goals / game - Astana
Yelimay Semey is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.6 goals / game - Yelimay Semey · 1.2 goals / game - Astana
Yelimay Semey scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 meczów), while Astana keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 meczów).
Astana scores in 60% of games (3 of 5 meczów), while Yelimay Semey keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Yelimay Semey
Over / Under - Astana
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Yelimay Semey - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Astana - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Yelimay Semey
Astana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Yelimay Semey | Liga | Astana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.20 | 2.15 | ▲ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 51% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 34% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 32% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | • 60% | 59% | • 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 66% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Yelimay Semey's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Astana. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Yelimay Semey vs Astana?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Yelimay Semey 2:2 Astana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Yelimay Semey and Astana?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Yelimay Semey won 0, Astana won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Yelimay Semey vs Astana?
Yelimay Semey score 1.60 goals per game on average and Astana 1.40. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Yelimay Semey's matches and 40% of Astana's.
What form are Yelimay Semey and Astana in?
Over the last 5 games Yelimay Semey have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Astana 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Yelimay Semey vs Astana?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.