Yelimay Semey vs Kyzyl-Zhar: match statistics
Yelimay Semey vs Kyzyl-Zhar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Yelimay Semey play Kyzyl-Zhar in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 27 June 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Yelimay Semey: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Kyzyl-Zhar: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Yelimay Semey scores 1.47 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Kyzyl-Zhar scores 1.00 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Yelimay Semey 65%, Kyzyl-Zhar 44%. Over 2.5: Yelimay Semey 53%, Kyzyl-Zhar 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Yelimay Semey has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.18. Yelimay Semey: 14.2 shots per match, Kyzyl-Zhar: 10.0.
Match halves
Yelimay Semey: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.94. Kyzyl-Zhar: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Yelimay Semey: 76-90+ (8 goals). Kyzyl-Zhar: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-1-0. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Match description
I back the home win (1) — Yelimay Semey holds a clear attacking edge: at home they average 1.14 goals per game versus Kyzyl-Zhar’s 0.29 on the road. The hosts produce more high-quality chances (average xG 1.71 and 5.14 shots on target per game) than the visitors (xG 0.98 and 2.57 shots on target), and the hosts’ shot conversion is 8% compared to 3% for the visitors. The away side have a severe finishing problem — in 71% of their away matches they fail to score — and over the last 5 fixtures they have netted only 5 goals versus 9 for the hosts; additionally Kyzyl-Zhar average 0.8 points per game in the last 5, while Yelimay collect 1.4 points per game. Defensively Kyzyl-Zhar concede 1.14 goals on the road, slightly better than the hosts (1.43), but their average xG against of 1.63 indicates they allow higher-quality chances than the goals conceded suggest. Considering league position (7 vs 11), the xG advantage (1.71 vs 0.98) and the gap in conversion and frequency of scoreless matches, I estimate probabilities of 62% for a home win, 22% for a draw and 16% for the away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Yelimay Semey | Kyzyl-Zhar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Yelimay Semey is 500% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Yelimay Semey · 0.2 pts / match - Kyzyl-Zhar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Yelimay Semey is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Yelimay Semey · 1 goals / match - Kyzyl-Zhar
Yelimay Semey is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - Yelimay Semey · 1.44 goals / match - Kyzyl-Zhar
Yelimay Semey scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Kyzyl-Zhar keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
Kyzyl-Zhar scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while Yelimay Semey keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Yelimay Semey
Over / Under — Kyzyl-Zhar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Yelimay Semey is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Yelimay Semey · 1.06 pts / match - Kyzyl-Zhar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Yelimay Semey - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kyzyl-Zhar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Yelimay Semey
Kyzyl-Zhar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Yelimay Semey | Liga | Kyzyl-Zhar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.76 | 2.31 | ▲ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 42% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 29% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 62% | ▼ 39% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 70% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Yelimay Semey 2 - 1 - 0 Kyzyl-Zhar. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Yelimay Semey vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Yelimay Semey 2:0 Kyzyl-Zhar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Yelimay Semey and Kyzyl-Zhar?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Yelimay Semey won 2, Kyzyl-Zhar won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Yelimay Semey vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
Yelimay Semey score 1.47 goals per game on average and Kyzyl-Zhar 1.00. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Yelimay Semey's matches and 44% of Kyzyl-Zhar's.
What form are Yelimay Semey and Kyzyl-Zhar in?
Over the last 5 games Yelimay Semey have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Kyzyl-Zhar 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Yelimay Semey vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
The statistical background for Yelimay Semey vs Kyzyl-Zhar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.