Yongin City vs Suwon: match statistics

Suwon sit 2nd in the table and have a significantly stronger season record: 12 wins and just 3 defeats, while Yongin City have won 5 of their 22 matches. Away from home, the visitors average 1.92 goals scored with an xG of 1.61, whereas the hosts score 1.27 goals at home and create chances worth just 1.17 xG. Suwon’s advantage is also evident in their attacking output: they average 13.5 shots and 5.08 shots on target per match, compared with Yongin City’s 8.36 shots and 3.64 on target. Both teams have conceded 5 goals in their last five matches, but Suwon have won 3 games in that period and averaged 2 points per match, compared with Yongin City’s 2 wins and 1.6 points per match. A draw remains a realistic possibility, as the hosts draw as many as 45% of their home matches; however, greater attacking consistency and higher-quality chances point towards an away win.

BTTS - Yes is strongly supported by the season data: Yongin City has seen this outcome in 70% of its matches, while Suwon has recorded it in as many as 83%, compared with the league average of 63%. Both sides are consistently effective in front of goal, averaging 2.20 and 1.92 goals per match, with only 10% and 8% of their games ending without scoring. Suwon keeps a clean sheet in just 8% of its appearances and concedes an average of 1.50 goals, significantly increasing the hosts’ chances of finding the net. In their last five matches, the teams averaged 1.8 and 1.6 goals, while their xG stood at 1.30 and 1.57, indicating that both attacks continue to create a sufficient number of chances. Although Yongin City is slightly more solid defensively, conceding an average of 0.90 goals, Suwon produces 5.08 shots on target per match, making Goal/Goal the most likely outcome.

Yongin City score an average of 2.2 goals per match, while Suwon average 1.92, with the visitors conceding 1.5 goals per game. The 1.5-goal line was covered in 90% of Yongin City’s matches and 92% of Suwon’s, which is a significantly stronger signal than the league average of 2.72 goals. In their last five appearances, both teams recorded matches averaging 2.8 and 2.6 goals, respectively, with each side scoring 9 and 8 goals. Their attacking potential is also supported by xG: 1.49 for the hosts and 1.61 for the visitors, while both teams average more than 12 shots per match. Over 1.5 offers the greatest edge, as even under a more cautious scenario, the projected total of 2.85 goals clearly exceeds this line.

Yongin City have a clear first-half advantage: they have led at the break in 7 of their 10 matches, while Suwon have been behind after 45 minutes in 42% of their games. The hosts average 1.1 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded before half-time, whereas Suwon’s away figures stand at 0.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Across the season, Yongin remain unbeaten, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Suwon concede an average of 1.5 goals. The last five appearances of both teams more frequently produced a half-time draw, at 60% each, making the X/1 scenario an important alternative; however, the hosts’ long-term advantage from the start of the match provides the strongest support for the 1/1 option.