England - National LeagueData current as of 23 July 2026

York City vs Forest Green Rovers: match statistics

155%(1.73)
X28%(3.70)
217%(3.70)

York City displays impressive home form with a 60% win rate and an average of 3.13 goals per match at home, making them a formidable opponent on their own ground. The hosts are in excellent condition, winning 4 of their last 5 matches overall and scoring 13 goals in this period. Forest Green Rovers is going through a weaker spell, earning only 1 point per game in their last five matches and conceding as many as 10 goals. The difference in offensive quality is clear – York averages 7.73 shots on target per home match compared to Forest Green's 5.57 away. The hosts' high possession rate (62%) and their shooting efficiency (18% conversion) combined with the visitors' poor form suggest a York City victory, although Forest Green has a solid away record this season (43% wins), which could make the match more balanced than recent form suggests.

York City vs Forest Green Rovers: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

York City play Forest Green Rovers in National League (England). The match date is 7 February 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

York City: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Forest Green Rovers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

York City scores 2.48 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Forest Green Rovers scores 1.74 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.92 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: York City 57%, Forest Green Rovers 64%. Over 2.5: York City 72%, Forest Green Rovers 51%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

York City has higher xG: 2.09 vs 1.95. York City: 17.0 shots per match, Forest Green Rovers: 16.2.

Match halves

York City: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.41. Forest Green Rovers: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.02.

Goals by minute

York City: 76-90+ (36 goals). Forest Green Rovers: 46-60 (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

York City displays impressive home form with a 60% win rate and an average of 3.13 goals per match at home, making them a formidable opponent on their own ground. The hosts are in excellent condition, winning 4 of their last 5 matches overall and scoring 13 goals in this period. Forest Green Rovers is going through a weaker spell, earning only 1 point per game in their last five matches and conceding as many as 10 goals. The difference in offensive quality is clear – York averages 7.73 shots on target per home match compared to Forest Green's 5.57 away. The hosts' high possession rate (62%) and their shooting efficiency (18% conversion) combined with the visitors' poor form suggest a York City victory, although Forest Green has a solid away record this season (43% wins), which could make the match more balanced than recent form suggests.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
York CityForest Green Rovers
9Shots11
York CityForest Green Rovers
3Shots on target3
York CityForest Green Rovers
1.06xG1.37
York CityForest Green Rovers
3Corners8
York CityForest Green Rovers
38Dangerous attacks64
York CityForest Green Rovers
11Fouls11
York CityForest Green Rovers
4Cards1
York CityForest Green Rovers

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

York CityForest Green Rovers
2.48Goals scored / match1.74
York CityForest Green Rovers
0.89Goals conceded / match1.13
York CityForest Green Rovers
62%Average possession54%
York CityForest Green Rovers
7.52Shots on target / match5.94
York CityForest Green Rovers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17Shots per match16.19
York CityForest Green Rovers
7.52Shots on target5.94
York CityForest Green Rovers
14.6%Shot conversion10.8%
York CityForest Green Rovers
62%Possession54%
York CityForest Green Rovers
2.09xG for1.95
York CityForest Green Rovers
1.19xG against1.19
York CityForest Green Rovers

Shooting quality

York City: DominantForest Green Rovers: Attacking
York CityForest Green Rovers
Accuracy (shots on target)44%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

York City is 86% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - York City · 1.4 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers

York City
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
72% W20% R9% P
Season (W-D-L)
33-9-4
2.35 pts / match · goal difference +73
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
17-4-2
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 2.27Opponent xG: 0.80BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Forest Green Rovers
DWLWL
Season result split
49% W26% R26% P
Season (W-D-L)
23-12-12
1.72 pts / match · goal difference +29
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-7-9
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LWDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.80Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

York City is 43% better for: goals scored per match.

2.48 goals / match - York City · 1.74 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers

York City is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.89 goals / match - York City · 1.13 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers

York City scoring profile: very strong

York City scores in 96% of matches (44 of 46 matches), while Forest Green Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 47 matches).

Forest Green Rovers scoring profile: strong

Forest Green Rovers scores in 85% of matches (40 of 47 matches), while York City keeps a clean sheet in 41% (19 of 46 matches).

114Goals scored (season)82
York CityForest Green Rovers
41Goals conceded (season)53
York CityForest Green Rovers
3.37Average goals in match2.87
York CityForest Green Rovers
8Goals scored (last 5)10
York CityForest Green Rovers
2Goals conceded (last 5)5
York CityForest Green Rovers

How often they score at least...

96%1 goal85%
York CityForest Green Rovers
72%2 goals53%
York CityForest Green Rovers
48%3 goals21%
York CityForest Green Rovers
26%4 goals13%
York CityForest Green Rovers

How often they concede at least...

59%1 goal74%
York CityForest Green Rovers
24%2 goals28%
York CityForest Green Rovers
7%3 goals9%
York CityForest Green Rovers
0%4 goals2%
York CityForest Green Rovers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
Forest Green Rovers - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.30 of 47 matches
56%
League average

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time23%
York CityForest Green Rovers
9%BTTS in both halves6%
York CityForest Green Rovers
59%Scored in both halves38%
York CityForest Green Rovers

BTTS and goal count

46%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
York CityForest Green Rovers
26%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
York CityForest Green Rovers
40%BTTS - last 560%
York CityForest Green Rovers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
York CityForest Green Rovers
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
York CityForest Green Rovers
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
York CityForest Green Rovers

2nd half

93%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
York CityForest Green Rovers
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
York CityForest Green Rovers
26%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
York CityForest Green Rovers

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

York City is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.67 pts / match - York City · 1.4 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers

York City - half-time state
41% leading43% draw15% trailing
Forest Green Rovers - half-time state
36% leading32% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per match (1st half)1.4
York CityForest Green Rovers
1.07Goals scored (1st half)0.72
York CityForest Green Rovers
0.43Goals conceded (1st half)0.68
York CityForest Green Rovers
1.5Average goals (1st half)1.4
York CityForest Green Rovers
61%Clean sheet before half-time51%
York CityForest Green Rovers
35%No goal before half-time45%
York CityForest Green Rovers

After half-time (2nd half)

2.17Points per match (2nd half)1.87
York CityForest Green Rovers
1.41Goals scored (2nd half)1.02
York CityForest Green Rovers
0.46Goals conceded (2nd half)0.45
York CityForest Green Rovers
1.87Average goals (2nd half)1.47
York CityForest Green Rovers
65%Clean sheet after half-time62%
York CityForest Green Rovers
11%No goal after half-time32%
York CityForest Green Rovers

York City - second-half results

65% W22% R13% P
77
Half-time points
49
Half-time goals
+29
Goal difference (1st half)
100
Second-half points
+44
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding176%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Forest Green Rovers - second-half results

55% W21% R23% P
66
Half-time points
34
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
88
Second-half points
+27
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding136%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 49%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

York City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.20
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+3+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Forest Green Rovers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.00
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

York City
ScoredConceded
10
6
0-15
22
4
16-30
17
10
31-45
18
4
46-60
11
4
61-75
36
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (36 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +23 - wins late phases.

Forest Green Rovers
ScoredConceded
9
11
0-15
13
8
16-30
12
13
31-45
16
3
46-60
16
10
61-75
16
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (16 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.12
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-36%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
82%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

York City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.90
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.69
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-14.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
157%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
67%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Forest Green Rovers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.76
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-18.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
131%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

York CityLigaForest Green Rovers
Average goals in match 3.372.92 2.87
Both teams scored 57%56% 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 72%57% 51%
Clean sheets 41%24% 26%
Goal before half-time 78%71% 81%
Goal after half-time 93%80% 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.92
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: York City 0 - 1 - 0 Forest Green Rovers. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Forest Green Rovers FC
1 : 1
York City FC

FAQ

What was the result of York City vs Forest Green Rovers?

The National League match finished York City 2:1 Forest Green Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before York City vs Forest Green Rovers?

York City score 2.48 goals per game on average and Forest Green Rovers 1.74. The National League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 57% of York City's matches and 64% of Forest Green Rovers's.

What form are York City and Forest Green Rovers in?

Over the last 5 games York City have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Forest Green Rovers 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for York City vs Forest Green Rovers?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for York City vs Forest Green Rovers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.