Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan: match statistics
Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Yunnan Yukun played against Beijing Guoan in Chinese Super League (China). The game was played on May 2, 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Recent form
Yunnan Yukun has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Beijing Guoan has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Yunnan Yukun scores 2.13 goals per game and allows 1.75. Beijing Guoan scores 1.13 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 2.90 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 75% of Yunnan Yukun's games and 63% of Beijing Guoan's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 50%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Yunnan Yukun has the higher season xG average, 1.74 to 1.50 per game. Yunnan Yukun takes 16.6 shots per game, while Beijing Guoan takes 12.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Yunnan Yukun leads at halftime in 63% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Beijing Guoan leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.88 after halftime.
When the teams score
Yunnan Yukun's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Beijing Guoan, it is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Chinese Super League games average 2.90 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Yunnan Yukun holds a clear offensive advantage: the hosts average 2.33 goals at home versus 1.00 goals that Beijing Guoan score away. Additionally, Yunnan averages 18.67 shots (6 on target) per home match with a 13% conversion rate, while the visitors average 11.2 shots (3.6 on target) and 9% efficiency. In terms of chance quality Yunnan records 1.96 xG at home versus 1.42 xG for the visitors on the road, but Beijing appear very compact defensively away — only 0.8 goals conceded and 60% clean sheets. Over the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 9 and conceded 11 (PPG 1.2), while the visitors have scored 5 and conceded 8 (PPG 0.8), which indicates greater goal-scoring potential for the hosts despite inconsistent form. Therefore I tip the home win, with estimated probabilities: home 60%, draw 20%, away 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal for BTTS - Yes is the home form: Yunnan Yukun have 100% home matches with both teams scoring this season and 0% clean sheets, with BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches and an average of 2.2 goals conceded. Visitors Beijing Guoan record 60% clean sheets on the road this season and 40% BTTS overall, but their BTTS rose to 60% in the last 5 fixtures and they concede 1.6 goals on average, indicating defensive weakening. xG metrics confirm both sides' goal potential: Yunnan have xG_for 1.62 versus the opponent's xG_against 1.27, while Beijing have xG_for 1.42 versus the home xG_against 1.17, so both teams generate more expected goals than the opponent typically defends. Similar chance creation (14.33 vs 11.2 shots and shots on target 3.67 vs 3.6) and a league BTTS rate of 53% further support a Goal/Goal scenario. Considering 100% BTTS for the hosts, 80% in the last 5 and rising BTTS for the visitors, I assign BTTS - Yes an 80% probability versus 20% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG-based estimate: Yunnan Yukun’s attacking xG 1.62 and Beijing’s conceded xG 1.27 imply 1.45 goals for the home side, while Beijing’s attacking xG 1.42 and Yunnan’s conceded xG 1.17 imply 1.30 for the away side, totaling 2.75. A Poisson model for a mean of 2.75 yields probabilities of roughly 76% for Over 1.5 goals, 52% for Over 2.5 goals and 30% for Over 3.5 goals. Season data confirm a higher scoring tendency from the home team: Yunnan has 100% of matches Over 1.5 and 67% Over 2.5, while Beijing records 60% and 40% respectively; additionally Yunnan concedes on average 2.33 goals per game versus 0.8 conceded by Beijing. In the last 5 matches Yunnan scored 9 goals (1.8 avg) and conceded 11 (2.2 avg), and Beijing scored 5 (1.0 avg) and conceded 8 (1.6 avg), which increases the likelihood of goals particularly from the home side. Based on this, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (≈76%) — Over 2.5 is moderate (52%), while Over 3.5 is too risky (30%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is HT/FT 1/2 — the home team leads at half-time and the visitors complete a turnaround in the second half. In the last 5 matches the home side led at the break in 3 of 5 games (60%) and averaged 1.4 goals by half-time, while the visitors averaged 0.0 goals by half-time in those 5 matches. In the second half the visitors average 1.0 goal (last 5), win 60% of second halves, and the home team concedes an average of 1.67 goals after the break, which favors turnarounds. On the season the visitors win 40% of away matches versus 0% home wins for the hosts, and xG shows 1.62 xG for the home side versus 1.42 xG for the visitors — this explains the home lead at half-time but also the likelihood of relinquishing that lead.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Yunnan Yukun | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Yunnan Yukun is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Yunnan Yukun · 0.8 pts / game - Beijing Guoan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Yunnan Yukun is 88% better for: goals scored per game.
2.13 goals / game - Yunnan Yukun · 1.13 goals / game - Beijing Guoan
Beijing Guoan is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.75 goals / game - Yunnan Yukun · 1.38 goals / game - Beijing Guoan
Yunnan Yukun scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 meczów), while Beijing Guoan keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 meczów).
Beijing Guoan scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 meczów), while Yunnan Yukun keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Yunnan Yukun
Over / Under - Beijing Guoan
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Yunnan Yukun is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.88 pts / game - Yunnan Yukun · 1.25 pts / game - Beijing Guoan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Yunnan Yukun - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 63% of games and wins 50%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Beijing Guoan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Chinese Super League).
Teams vs league
| Yunnan Yukun | Liga | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.88 | 2.90 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 55% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 25% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 66% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 87% | • 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Yunnan Yukun's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Beijing Guoan. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan?
The Chinese Super League match finished Yunnan Yukun 3:3 Beijing Guoan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Yunnan Yukun and Beijing Guoan?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Yunnan Yukun won 0, Beijing Guoan won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan?
Yunnan Yukun score 2.13 goals per game on average and Beijing Guoan 1.13. The Chinese Super League average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Yunnan Yukun's matches and 63% of Beijing Guoan's.
What form are Yunnan Yukun and Beijing Guoan in?
Over the last 5 games Yunnan Yukun have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Beijing Guoan 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.