Yunnan Yukun vs Sichuan Jiuniu: match statistics
Yunnan Yukun vs Sichuan Jiuniu: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Yunnan Yukun played against Sichuan Jiuniu in Chinese Super League (China). The game was played on July 26, 2026. Final score: 4:3.
Recent form
Yunnan Yukun has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Sichuan Jiuniu has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Yunnan Yukun scores 1.89 goals per game and allows 1.84. Sichuan Jiuniu scores 1.32 and allows 1.74. Games in this league average 3.05 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 79% of Yunnan Yukun's games and 53% of Sichuan Jiuniu's. The Over 2.5 rates are 84% and 53%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Yunnan Yukun has the higher season xG average, 1.65 to 1.28 per game. Yunnan Yukun takes 15.4 shots per game, while Sichuan Jiuniu takes 12.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Yunnan Yukun leads at halftime in 37% of its games and scores 0.84 goals per game after halftime. Sichuan Jiuniu leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.58 after halftime.
When the teams score
Yunnan Yukun's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). For Sichuan Jiuniu, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Chinese Super League games average 3.05 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Yunnan Yukun sit 4th in the table and score an average of 2.0 goals per home match with an average xG of 1.75, while Sichuan Jiuniu are 10th and average 0.56 goals away with an xG of 1.02. The hosts register 16.11 shots per home match and 5.33 on target with a conversion rate of 12%, whereas the visitors average only 9 shots and 3.22 on target with a 6% conversion, indicating a clear superiority in chance creation for the hosts. Defensively the hosts concede 1.67 goals at home (22% clean sheets), while Sichuan concede 2.0 goals on the road and have no clean sheets away (0%); 56% of their away matches end with them failing to score, versus just 11% for the hosts. In the last 5 matches Yunnan have scored 12 and conceded 14 (form 1-2-2, 1.0 point per game), while Sichuan have 6 scored and 9 conceded (1-1-3, 0.8 points per game), showing better offensive momentum for the hosts despite some defensive issues. Given the advantage in shots (16.11 vs 9), accuracy (5.33 vs 3.22) and xG (1.75 vs 1.02), and the fact the visitors fail to score in 56% of away fixtures, I predict a Yunnan Yukun win (1).
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes — the league sees 65% of matches finishing with both teams scoring. Home team has a seasonal BTTS rate of 60% versus 44% for Sichuan. Yunnan averages 2.0 goals per match season-to-date with 14.7 shots and 4.5 on target and a 14% conversion rate, whereas Sichuan posts 0.56 goals with 9.0 shots, 3.22 on target and a 6% conversion. Despite the visitors’ low seasonal output, Sichuan have averaged 1.2 goals in their last 5 matches and the hosts have conceded 2.8 goals on average in their last 5, which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. xG analysis shows seasonal xG of 1.51 for Yunnan and 1.02 for Sichuan (combined ~2.53), and in the last 5 matches xG was 1.97 vs 1.34 (combined 3.31), so there are sufficient expected scoring chances. Considering the home 60% BTTS, 100% BTTS for the hosts in their last 5, and the fact Sichuan failed to score in 56% of their season matches, I estimate BTTS probability at about 65% for Yes and 35% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast is based on a clear goal-scoring potential: Yunnan averages 2.0 goals per match and has xG_for 1.51, while Sichuan has xG_against 1.95 and concedes on average 2.0 goals per match this season. In the last 5 matches Yunnan scored 12 goals (2.4 per match) and recorded 100% of games over 2.5 goals, whereas Sichuan’s recent xG_for is 1.34 with 60% of matches over 2.5 in the last five. Combined expected goals from xG and form are approximately 1.79 for the home side and 1.32 for the away side, totalling ≈3.11 goals. With such a total lambda the probability of over 1.5 goals is about 82%, over 2.5 ≈60% and over 3.5 ≈38%, which aligns with seasonal rates (Over1.5: 70% home vs 78% away; Over2.5: 60% home). The strongest signal is to play the Over at 1.5 — Yunnan’s high efficiency (shot conversion 14% on 14.7 shots) and Sichuan’s defensive vulnerability increase the likelihood of at least 2 goals in the match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Yunnan Yukun has a clear offensive edge: they average 2.0 goals per match this season versus Sichuan’s 0.56, with xG of 1.51 versus 1.02, indicating higher-quality chances for the hosts. At half-time the hosts have been leading in 40% of matches (leadingAtHTPercentage_home = 40.0, i.e. 4 instances in the data) and score on average 1.0 goals in the first half compared to 0.44 for the away side (scoredAVGHT_home = 1.0 vs scoredAVGHT_away = 0.44), so a scenario where Yunnan leads at the break is the most likely. The hosts average 14.7 shots and 4.5 on target per match with a conversion rate of 14% versus Sichuan’s 9.0 shots, 3.22 on target and 6%; the visitors have 0% clean sheets this season (seasonCSPercentage_away = 0.0), which raises the likelihood of goals for the hosts before and after the break. After the break Yunnan also scores more often — averaging 1.0 second-half goals (scored_2hg_avg_home = 1.0) and having over 0.5 goals in the second half in 80% of matches (over05_2hg_percentage_home = 80.0) — so maintaining or extending the lead to full-time is realistic. Given the hosts have won 50% of their matches this season (winPercentage_home = 50.0) and possess advantages in xG, shots and conversion, I select HT/FT 1/1 as the strongest scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Yunnan Yukun | Sichuan Jiuniu | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sichuan Jiuniu is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Yunnan Yukun · 1.2 pts / game - Sichuan Jiuniu
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Yunnan Yukun is 43% better for: goals scored per game.
1.89 goals / game - Yunnan Yukun · 1.32 goals / game - Sichuan Jiuniu
Sichuan Jiuniu is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.84 goals / game - Yunnan Yukun · 1.74 goals / game - Sichuan Jiuniu
Yunnan Yukun scores in 89% of games (17 of 19 meczów), while Sichuan Jiuniu keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 meczów).
Sichuan Jiuniu scores in 68% of games (13 of 19 meczów), while Yunnan Yukun keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Yunnan Yukun
Over / Under - Sichuan Jiuniu
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Yunnan Yukun is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / game - Yunnan Yukun · 1.21 pts / game - Sichuan Jiuniu
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Yunnan Yukun - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Sichuan Jiuniu - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -7 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Chinese Super League).
Teams vs league
| Yunnan Yukun | Liga | Sichuan Jiuniu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.74 | 3.05 | • 3.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 79% | 63% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 84% | 58% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 20% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 89% | 88% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Yunnan Yukun's perspective: 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Sichuan Jiuniu. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Yunnan Yukun vs Sichuan Jiuniu?
The Chinese Super League match finished Yunnan Yukun 4:3 Sichuan Jiuniu. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Yunnan Yukun and Sichuan Jiuniu?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Yunnan Yukun won 3, Sichuan Jiuniu won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Yunnan Yukun vs Sichuan Jiuniu?
Yunnan Yukun score 1.89 goals per game on average and Sichuan Jiuniu 1.32. The Chinese Super League average is 3.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 79% of Yunnan Yukun's matches and 53% of Sichuan Jiuniu's.
What form are Yunnan Yukun and Sichuan Jiuniu in?
Over the last 5 games Yunnan Yukun have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Sichuan Jiuniu 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Yunnan Yukun vs Sichuan Jiuniu?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.