Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Bełchatów: match statistics
Ząbkovia Ząbki demonstrates impressive efficiency at home with a 67% home win rate and an average of 2.67 goals per match, supported by a 15% conversion rate and dominant possession (52%), providing a solid foundation for victory. Bełchatów performs significantly worse in away matches, conceding an average of 2.09 goals per game with only a 27% win rate and a zero clean sheet percentage. However, the concerning recent form of the hosts, who have lost all of their last five matches, may affect the team's confidence. The xG advantage (2.11 vs 1.14) and goal difference (+15 vs -9) in home matches favor the hosts, but the poor run could make the match more balanced than the seasonal statistics suggest. Considering all factors, Ząbkovia should leverage the home advantage and end their losing streak, although Bełchatów has shown signs of improvement in their last two matches.
Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Bełchatów: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ząbkovia Ząbki played against Bełchatów in 3 Liga Group 1 (Poland). The game was played on March 28, 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Recent form
Ząbkovia Ząbki has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.00 points per game. Bełchatów has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Ząbkovia Ząbki scores 2.52 goals per game and allows 1.74. Bełchatów scores 1.61 and allows 2.17. Games in this league average 3.42 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 83% of Ząbkovia Ząbki's games and 65% of Bełchatów's. The Over 2.5 rates are 83% and 74%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 67% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ząbkovia Ząbki has the higher season xG average, 1.87 to 1.15 per game. Ząbkovia Ząbki takes 11.8 shots per game, while Bełchatów takes 7.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Ząbkovia Ząbki leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 1.70 goals per game after halftime. Bełchatów leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.87 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ząbkovia Ząbki's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (17 goals). For Bełchatów, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
3 Liga Group 1 games average 3.42 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 67% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 9.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ząbkovia Ząbki demonstrates impressive efficiency at home with a 67% home win rate and an average of 2.67 goals per match, supported by a 15% conversion rate and dominant possession (52%), providing a solid foundation for victory. Bełchatów performs significantly worse in away matches, conceding an average of 2.09 goals per game with only a 27% win rate and a zero clean sheet percentage. However, the concerning recent form of the hosts, who have lost all of their last five matches, may affect the team's confidence. The xG advantage (2.11 vs 1.14) and goal difference (+15 vs -9) in home matches favor the hosts, but the poor run could make the match more balanced than the seasonal statistics suggest. Considering all factors, Ząbkovia should leverage the home advantage and end their losing streak, although Bełchatów has shown signs of improvement in their last two matches.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal data strongly supports BTTS - Yes: Ząbkovia boasts a 58% BTTS rate, while Bełchatów reaches a high 73%, coupled with exceptionally high average goals conceded (2.25 for the hosts and 2.09 for the guests). Bełchatów has recorded 0% clean sheets this season, which drastically boosts the likelihood of Ząbkovia scoring (1.92 goals scored per match; xG 1.15, versus Bełchatów's xGA of 1.92). Conversely, Ząbkovia's defense is leaky (40 GA in the season; 2.2 conceded in the last 5), enhancing Bełchatów's chances of finding the net despite their 27% FTS rate. The goals market aligns with this outlook: Over 2.5 goals lands at 75% for Ząbkovia and 73% for Bełchatów, and the league averages a high 3.41 goals per game. Although the last 5 matches for both teams show only 40% BTTS, given such frail defenses and the away team's clean sheet drought, the strongest indicator still points decisively to BTTS "yes".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Seasonal data strongly supports a goals scenario: Over 1.5 has occurred in 83% of Ząbkovia's matches and 91% of Bełchatów's. Both defenses are leaky (Ząbkovia concedes an average of 2.25 goals/match, Bełchatów 2.09), with Bełchatów having 0% clean sheets and 100% of matches with at least 1 goal conceded. Furthermore, the league profile is high-scoring (average 3.41 goals/match, 67% of matches with Over 2.5), which boosts the baseline goal expectations. On the other hand, the last 5 matches lower the peak expectations (Ząbkovia 0.4 goals scored/match, Bełchatów 0.8), so higher lines like 3.5 have lower confidence. The strongest and most stable signal remains Over 1.5, supported by both seasonal frequency and defensive weaknesses.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is the clear difference in form: Ząbkovia is on a 5-match losing streak (PPG 0.0), while Bełchatów has earned 1.4 PPG in their last 5 matches (dllww). Ząbkovia starts matches very poorly recently: in their last5, they have averaged 0.0 goals scored by half-time and in as many as 80% of cases when they trail at the break, which increases the likelihood of a 2/2 scenario. Over the course of the season, both defenses are leaky (Ząbkovia 2.25 goals conceded per match, Bełchatów 2.09), and Bełchatów has not kept a single clean sheet (0%), so the visitors' lead may hold despite expected scoring chances for both sides. High BTTS rates (58% vs 73%) and the hosts' high second-half goal productivity (AVG_2hg 2.5; 92% over 0.5) suggest an open match, but given Ząbkovia's poor recent scoring efficiency (0.4 goals per match), Bełchatów is more likely to control the scoreline. Therefore, the most probable outcome is the visitors leading at the break and winning the match overall (2/2), with the alternative being a draw at half-time and a Bełchatów win (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ząbkovia Ząbki | Bełchatów | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.47 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ząbkovia Ząbki is 57% better for: goals scored per game.
2.52 goals / game - Ząbkovia Ząbki · 1.61 goals / game - Bełchatów
Ząbkovia Ząbki is 25% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.74 goals / game - Ząbkovia Ząbki · 2.17 goals / game - Bełchatów
Ząbkovia Ząbki scores in 87% of games (20 of 23 meczów), while Bełchatów keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 meczów).
Bełchatów scores in 74% of games (17 of 23 meczów), while Ząbkovia Ząbki keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ząbkovia Ząbki
Over / Under - Bełchatów
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ząbkovia Ząbki - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Bełchatów - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 30%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ząbkovia Ząbki
Bełchatów
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 1).
Teams vs league
| Ząbkovia Ząbki | Liga | Bełchatów | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.26 | 3.42 | ▲ 3.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 63% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 67% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 4% | 20% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 87% | ▼ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- BełchatówGoalKacper Poplawski
- BełchatówGoalMateusz Szymorek
Head-to-head
Record from Ząbkovia Ząbki's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Bełchatów. Games average 9.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Bełchatów?
The 3 Liga Group 1 match finished Ząbkovia Ząbki 1:4 Bełchatów. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Bełchatów?
Ząbkovia Ząbki score 2.52 goals per game on average and Bełchatów 1.61. The 3 Liga Group 1 average is 3.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Ząbkovia Ząbki's matches and 65% of Bełchatów's.
What form are Ząbkovia Ząbki and Bełchatów in?
Over the last 5 games Ząbkovia Ząbki have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Bełchatów 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Bełchatów?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Bełchatów: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.