Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Widzew Łódź II: match statistics

Widzew Łódź II are showing clearly better current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 2.6 goals per game during that run, while Ząbkovia Ząbki have recorded just 1 victory. The visitors conceded only 5 goals over this period, averaging 1.0 per match, whereas the hosts allowed 11 goals, or 2.2 per game. The start of the season also favors Widzew II, who won their only match 5:1, while Ząbkovia lost their fixture 0:5. The hosts have managed to score 9 goals in their last five appearances, but a two-match losing streak and a vulnerable defense limit their chances. Given the significant difference in attacking efficiency and defensive organization, an away win is the most likely outcome.

The BTTS pick is supported by the highly attacking profile of the teams’ recent matches: Ząbkovia averaged 1.8 goals, while Widzew II scored as many as 2.6 goals in their previous five games. At the same time, the hosts conceded 2.2 goals per match, whereas the visitors allowed their opponents an average of 1.0 goal, giving both sides a realistic route to finding the net. In their last five appearances, both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of matches, while their average xG stood at 1.63 for Ząbkovia and 1.25 for Widzew II. An additional argument is the nature of the league, where both teams score in 78% of matches, with a high average of 3.89 goals per game. Although the season data is very limited and uneven, current form and the goal-scoring numbers point more clearly towards both teams scoring than towards a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

Ząbkovia’s last five matches produced an average of 4.0 goals, as the team scored 1.8 and conceded 2.2. Widzew II is even more goal-oriented: they averaged 2.6 goals scored, while their matches featured 3.6 goals in total. Both teams recorded Over 2.5 goals in 80% of their last five appearances, and the league posts a very high average of 3.89 goals per match. The estimated xG points to chances at both ends, with the home side creating opportunities worth 1.63 xG, while the home defense allows opponents 1.63 xG. The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as even with a more cautious form adjustment, the projected 3.20 goals comfortably exceeds this line.

Widzew Łódź II are showing significantly better current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and averaged 2.6 goals scored, while Ząbkovia have won only 1 of their 5 games and conceded an average of 2.2 goals. The visitors held the lead at the break in 50% of their recent appearances, scoring an average of 1.25 goals before half-time, whereas the hosts were not ahead at the interval in any of those matches and conceded an average of 1.0 goal. Widzew’s advantage is also clear after the break, as they won the second half in 75% of their matches, averaging 0.75 goals scored and just 0.25 conceded. The most likely scenario is therefore for the visitors to take the lead before half-time and maintain their advantage until the final whistle, making the HT/FT pick 2/2.