Zagłębie Lubin vs Lech Poznań: match statistics
Zagłębie Lubin is in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches and securing 2.6 points per game. The hosts are highly effective at home, winning 50% of their home fixtures and conceding just 0.92 goals per match while keeping clean sheets in 42% of them. Lech Poznań, on the other hand, is going through a clear crisis, having lost their last three matches and earning only 1.2 points per game over the last five rounds. Although the visitors have better possession statistics (54%) and away xG (1.73), their current form and defensive issues (9 goals conceded in the last 5 games) favor the home side. Considering Zagłębie's home advantage and Lech's slump in form, I expect a home win, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
Zagłębie Lubin vs Lech Poznań: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Zagłębie Lubin played against Lech Poznań in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The game was played on March 15, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Zagłębie Lubin has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Lech Poznań has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Zagłębie Lubin scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 1.17. Lech Poznań scores 1.71 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.74 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 58% of Zagłębie Lubin's games and 71% of Lech Poznań's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 71%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lech Poznań has the higher season xG average, 1.88 to 1.45 per game. Zagłębie Lubin takes 11.8 shots per game, while Lech Poznań takes 16.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Zagłębie Lubin leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.88 goals per game after halftime. Lech Poznań leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
Zagłębie Lubin's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Lech Poznań, it is minutes 16-30 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ekstraklasa games average 2.74 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Zagłębie Lubin is in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches and securing 2.6 points per game. The hosts are highly effective at home, winning 50% of their home fixtures and conceding just 0.92 goals per match while keeping clean sheets in 42% of them. Lech Poznań, on the other hand, is going through a clear crisis, having lost their last three matches and earning only 1.2 points per game over the last five rounds. Although the visitors have better possession statistics (54%) and away xG (1.73), their current form and defensive issues (9 goals conceded in the last 5 games) favor the home side. Considering Zagłębie's home advantage and Lech's slump in form, I expect a home win, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Zagłębie Lubin | Lech Poznań | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Zagłębie Lubin is 8% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Zagłębie Lubin · 2.4 pts / game - Lech Poznań
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zagłębie Lubin is 28% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.17 goals / game - Zagłębie Lubin · 1.5 goals / game - Lech Poznań
Zagłębie Lubin scores in 79% of games (19 of 24 meczów), while Lech Poznań keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 meczów).
Lech Poznań scores in 88% of games (21 of 24 meczów), while Zagłębie Lubin keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Zagłębie Lubin
Over / Under - Lech Poznań
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lech Poznań is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - Zagłębie Lubin · 1.58 pts / game - Lech Poznań
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Zagłębie Lubin - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Lech Poznań - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Zagłębie Lubin
Lech Poznań
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Zagłębie Lubin | Liga | Lech Poznań | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.83 | 2.74 | ▲ 3.21 |
| Both teams scored | • 58% | 58% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 52% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 25% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Zagłębie Lubin's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Lech Poznań. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Zagłębie Lubin vs Lech Poznań?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Zagłębie Lubin 0:1 Lech Poznań. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Zagłębie Lubin vs Lech Poznań?
Zagłębie Lubin score 1.67 goals per game on average and Lech Poznań 1.71. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Zagłębie Lubin's matches and 71% of Lech Poznań's.
What form are Zagłębie Lubin and Lech Poznań in?
Over the last 5 games Zagłębie Lubin have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Lech Poznań 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zagłębie Lubin vs Lech Poznań?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Zagłębie Lubin vs Lech Poznań: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.