Zagłębie Lubin vs Pogoń Szczecin: match statistics
Zagłębie Lubin vs Pogoń Szczecin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Zagłębie Lubin play Pogoń Szczecin in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match date is 15 May 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Zagłębie Lubin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Pogoń Szczecin: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Zagłębie Lubin scores 1.32 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Pogoń Szczecin scores 1.38 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Zagłębie Lubin 47%, Pogoń Szczecin 59%. Over 2.5: Zagłębie Lubin 44%, Pogoń Szczecin 53%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Pogoń Szczecin has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.42. Zagłębie Lubin: 12.1 shots per match, Pogoń Szczecin: 14.5.
Match halves
Zagłębie Lubin: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.71. Pogoń Szczecin: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Zagłębie Lubin: 0-15 (11 goals). Pogoń Szczecin: 31-45+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back the home win (1): Zagłębie Lubin score an average of 1.63 goals and concede only 0.88 per home match, whereas Pogoń away average 0.94 scored and 1.69 conceded. Zagłębie also have 44% of home games with a clean sheet and only 19% home losses, while Pogoń win only 19% of away matches and have just 13% clean sheets, indicating defensive vulnerability for the visitors. Offensively Pogoń have better recent output (9 goals in the last 5 matches versus Zagłębie’s 4), but they also concede twice as many goals in that period (6 vs 3), which negates their form advantage. Quality-of-chances analysis shows similar xG: 1.47 for Zagłębie at home and 1.45 for Pogoń away, yet the hosts convert those chances more efficiently (conversion 13% vs 7%) despite 38% possession versus 52% for Pogoń. Considering the hosts’ superior defense, higher efficiency with lower possession and Pogoń’s high away loss rate (63%), I assess probabilities as 60% home, 25% draw and 15% away.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Zagłębie Lubin | Pogoń Szczecin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pogoń Szczecin is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Zagłębie Lubin · 1.6 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pogoń Szczecin is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Zagłębie Lubin · 1.38 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin
Zagłębie Lubin is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.12 goals / match - Zagłębie Lubin · 1.44 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin
Zagłębie Lubin scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Pogoń Szczecin keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
Pogoń Szczecin scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Zagłębie Lubin keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Zagłębie Lubin
Over / Under — Pogoń Szczecin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Zagłębie Lubin is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Zagłębie Lubin · 1.26 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Zagłębie Lubin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Pogoń Szczecin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Zagłębie Lubin
Pogoń Szczecin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Zagłębie Lubin | Liga | Pogoń Szczecin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.44 | 2.74 | • 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 58% | • 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 52% | • 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 25% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 77% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Zagłębie Lubin 0 - 0 - 1 Pogoń Szczecin. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Zagłębie Lubin vs Pogoń Szczecin?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Zagłębie Lubin 0:1 Pogoń Szczecin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Zagłębie Lubin vs Pogoń Szczecin?
Zagłębie Lubin score 1.32 goals per game on average and Pogoń Szczecin 1.38. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Zagłębie Lubin's matches and 59% of Pogoń Szczecin's.
What form are Zagłębie Lubin and Pogoń Szczecin in?
Over the last 5 games Zagłębie Lubin have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Pogoń Szczecin 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zagłębie Lubin vs Pogoń Szczecin?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Zagłębie Lubin vs Pogoń Szczecin: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.