Zamalek vs Al Ittihad: match statistics

Al Ittihad sit 3rd in the table, while Zamalek are in 20th place, which clearly favors the visitors in the broader context of the matchup. In their last five matches, Al Ittihad have scored 6 goals and conceded only 3, whereas Zamalek have scored 3 and conceded 4, giving the visitors the more favorable record at both ends of the pitch. Zamalek have won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.8 points per game, compared with Al Ittihad’s 2 wins and 1.6 points per game, but their attacking efficiency was clearly lower. Al Ittihad’s two draws in their last five outings increase the likelihood of a closely contested match; however, the visitors’ superior league position and more solid defense give them a slight edge.

The strongest signal points toward at least one team failing to score: Zamalek have recorded BTTS - No in each of their last 5 matches, while Al Ittihad have done so in only 20% of such games. The hosts have scored just 3 goals during this period, averaging 0.6 per match, while Al Ittihad have conceded only 3 goals in 5 appearances, also averaging 0.6. Zamalek also have a low average xG of 0.91, which reduces the credibility of a scenario in which they beat a well-organized defensive side. Al Ittihad score more frequently, averaging 1.2 goals per match, but with the two teams combining for just 1 BTTS - Yes result across their last 10 matches, BTTS - No is the more likely outcome.

In their last five matches, Zamalek scored just 3 goals, averaging 0.6 per game, while Al Ittihad conceded 3 goals during that period. The visitors have been slightly more effective, averaging 1.2 goals, but Zamalek’s defense allowed only 4 goals across those five appearances. Zamalek’s matches exceeded 2.5 goals in just 20% of cases, with both teams scoring in 0% of matches; for Al Ittihad, the corresponding figures are 40% and 20%. Although the xG against both teams was higher, at 1.39 and 1.70 respectively, the actual results remained notably low-scoring. A projected total of 1.80 goals gives a clear edge to the Under 3.5 goals option, as at least four goals would be required for it to lose.

Al Ittihad have shown better balance in their last five matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, while Zamalek have managed just 0.6 goals scored and conceded 0.8. The visitors held a lead at the break in 60% of those matches and were never behind at half-time, whereas the hosts led at the break in only 40%. At the same time, a draw after 45 minutes occurred in 40% of matches for both teams, while first-half averages stood at just 0.8 goals for Zamalek and 1.0 for Al Ittihad. A cautious draw at half-time therefore appears the most likely outcome, after which the more clinical and defensively reliable visitors should turn the result in their favor.