Zhejiang FC vs Shanghai SIPG: match statistics

Zhejiang FC have a clear home advantage: they have won 54% of their home matches and score an average of 2.15 goals in them, while Shanghai SIPG have won 38% of their away matches and average 1.46 goals. The hosts also create better chances, recording an xG of 1.75 at home compared with the visitors’ 1.13 away, and their average of 6.46 shots on target is significantly higher than their opponents’ 3.54. Shanghai’s recent form is a point in their favor, with 4 wins and a draw in their last 5 matches, compared with Zhejiang’s 2 wins, a draw and 2 defeats. The visitors conceded 5 goals over that period, against 7 for the hosts, although across the season they have conceded an average of 1.54 goals away from home, more than Zhejiang’s 1.38 at home. The hosts’ advantage in chance creation and home results slightly outweighs Shanghai’s stronger recent run, making a Zhejiang win the most likely outcome.

Both teams finished their season matches with goals at both ends in 69% of cases, above the league average of 64%. Zhejiang average 1.62 goals per game and Shanghai SIPG 1.46, with each side failing to score in just 15% of their matches. Zhejiang's xG of 1.78, compared with the 1.45 xG conceded by the visitors, supports a home goal, while Shanghai could take advantage of Zhejiang conceding an average of 1.4 goals in their last five matches. Over that period, the hosts averaged 2.8 goals and the visitors 2.4, although the most recent BTTS rates were 80% and 40%, respectively. This discrepancy limits confidence in the prediction, but both teams' consistent scoring across the season supports the BTTS - Yes pick.

At least 2 goals have been scored in 85% of Zhejiang’s matches and 69% of Shanghai SIPG’s, providing the strongest signal for the Over 1.5 goals line. Both teams have scored in 85% of their matches, while Zhejiang have conceded in 77% and Shanghai in 85%. The hosts average 1.78 xG, against 1.45 xG conceded by the visitors, supporting their contribution to the scoreline. Zhejiang’s last 5 matches averaged 4.2 total goals, while Shanghai’s averaged 3.4, although the season-long shares of matches with at least 3 goals are lower, at 54% and 62%, respectively. Therefore, Over 1.5 is the safer pick than Over 2.5, despite a forecast of around 3.2 goals in the match overall.

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Zhejiang were level at the break in 46% of matches, compared with 62% for Shanghai, with average total goals in the first half of 1.15 and 1.08, respectively. After the break, the advantage shifts to the hosts, who average 1.08 goals scored and 0.38 conceded, while the visitors concede 1.08 goals. Zhejiang also have a higher average xG across the full match—1.78 compared with Shanghai’s 1.13—which supports a home win after a closely contested first half. The visitors’ form raises the risk of this pick: they have won four of their last five matches, so X/2 remains a significant alternative. The strongest individual signal, however, is the combination of frequent half-time draws and Zhejiang’s better second-half record: the hosts have not lost any second halves in the sample, while Shanghai have lost 62%.