Kazakhstan - Kazakhstan Premier LeagueOrtalıq Stadion JetisuData current as of October 20, 2026

Zhetysu vs Tobol: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Zhetysu vs Tobol: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Zhetysu plays Tobol in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The game is scheduled for October 24, 2026. Venue: Ortalıq Stadion Jetisu.

Recent form

Zhetysu has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Tobol has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Zhetysu scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.64. Tobol scores 1.39 and allows 1.36. Games in this league average 2.54 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 54% of Zhetysu's games and 57% of Tobol's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 50%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Tobol has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.12 per game. Zhetysu takes 9.1 shots per game, while Tobol takes 13.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Zhetysu leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.61 goals per game after halftime. Tobol leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.64 after halftime.

When the teams score

Zhetysu's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Tobol, it is minutes 16-30 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Kazakhstan Premier League games average 2.54 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.88)
(3.50)
(2.10)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1Goals scored / game1.39
ZhetysuTobol
1.64Goals allowed / game1.36
ZhetysuTobol
51%Average possession54%
ZhetysuTobol
3.46Shots on target / game4.39
ZhetysuTobol

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.14Shots per game13.25
ZhetysuTobol
3.46Shots on target4.39
ZhetysuTobol
10.9%Shot conversion10.5%
ZhetysuTobol
51%Possession54%
ZhetysuTobol
1.12xG for1.55
ZhetysuTobol
1.33xG against1.6
ZhetysuTobol

Shooting quality

Zhetysu: BalancedTobol: Balanced
ZhetysuTobol
Accuracy (shots on target)38%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Tobol is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Zhetysu · 2.4 pts / game - Tobol

Zhetysu
WLLLW
Season result split
21% W25% D54% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-7-15
0.89 pts / game · goal difference -18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-6
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LLWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.93Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Tobol
WWLWW
Season result split
43% W14% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-4-12
1.43 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-10
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DLWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tobol is 39% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Zhetysu · 1.39 goals / game - Tobol

Tobol is 21% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.64 goals / game - Zhetysu · 1.36 goals / game - Tobol

Zhetysu scoring profile: very strong

Zhetysu scores in 68% of games (19 of 28 games), while Tobol keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 games).

Tobol scoring profile: very strong

Tobol scores in 71% of games (20 of 28 games), while Zhetysu keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 games).

28Goals scored (season)39
ZhetysuTobol
46Goals conceded (season)38
ZhetysuTobol
2.64Average goals per game2.75
ZhetysuTobol
4Goals scored (last 5)13
ZhetysuTobol
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
ZhetysuTobol

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal71%
ZhetysuTobol
29%2 goals39%
ZhetysuTobol
4%3 goals21%
ZhetysuTobol
0%4 goals7%
ZhetysuTobol

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal86%
ZhetysuTobol
50%2 goals39%
ZhetysuTobol
25%3 goals7%
ZhetysuTobol
11%4 goals4%
ZhetysuTobol

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time36%
ZhetysuTobol
0%BTTS in both halves4%
ZhetysuTobol
11%Scored in both halves29%
ZhetysuTobol

BTTS and goal count

46%Min. 3 goals and BTTS46%
ZhetysuTobol
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
ZhetysuTobol
40%BTTS - last 580%
ZhetysuTobol

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
ZhetysuTobol
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
ZhetysuTobol
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
ZhetysuTobol

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
ZhetysuTobol
46%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
ZhetysuTobol
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
ZhetysuTobol

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tobol is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.04 pts / game - Zhetysu · 1.54 pts / game - Tobol

Zhetysu - half-time state
21% leading39% draw39% trailing
Tobol - half-time state
36% leading46% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.04Points per game (1st half)1.54
ZhetysuTobol
0.39Goals scored (1st half)0.75
ZhetysuTobol
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0.61
ZhetysuTobol
1.04Average goals (1st half)1.36
ZhetysuTobol
54%Clean sheet before half-time50%
ZhetysuTobol
68%No goal before half-time43%
ZhetysuTobol

After half-time (2nd half)

0.89Points per game (2nd half)1.18
ZhetysuTobol
0.61Goals scored (2nd half)0.64
ZhetysuTobol
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.75
ZhetysuTobol
1.61Average goals (2nd half)1.39
ZhetysuTobol
39%Clean sheet after half-time46%
ZhetysuTobol
54%No goal after half-time57%
ZhetysuTobol

Zhetysu - second-half results

14% W46% D39% L
29
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.04
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Tobol - second-half results

29% W32% D39% L
43
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.54
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Zhetysu - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.40
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game0.81.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Tobol - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.002.20
Goals scored / game1.41.2
Goals allowed / game1.20.2
Average goals per game2.61.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+1+5
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Zhetysu
ScoredConceded
4
6
0-15
2
8
16-30
5
4
31-45
3
9
46-60
6
7
61-75
8
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Tobol
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
10
6
16-30
4
7
31-45
8
7
46-60
7
9
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.70
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+24%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Zhetysu

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
152%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Tobol

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
129%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.97
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).

Teams vs league

ZhetysuLigaTobol
Average goals per game▲ 2.642.54▲ 2.75
Both teams scored• 54%55%▲ 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 54%50%• 50%
Clean sheets▼ 21%26%▼ 14%
Goal before half-time• 68%68%▲ 71%
Goal after half-time• 75%76%▲ 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.54
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / game
1.08
Away goals / game
+34%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defensive advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Zhetysu's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Tobol. Games average 3.33 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Tobol
2 : 2
Zhetysu
FK Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1 : 2
FK Tobol Kostanay
FK Tobol Kostanay
2 : 1
FK Zhetysu Taldykorgan

FAQ

When do Zhetysu and Tobol play?

Zhetysu face Tobol on October 24, 2026 in Kazakhstan Premier League at Ortalıq Stadion Jetisu. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Zhetysu and Tobol?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Zhetysu won 0, Tobol won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Zhetysu vs Tobol?

Zhetysu score 1.00 goals per game on average and Tobol 1.39. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Zhetysu's matches and 57% of Tobol's.

What form are Zhetysu and Tobol in?

Over the last 5 games Zhetysu have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Tobol 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zhetysu vs Tobol?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.