Zhetysu vs Yelimay Semey: match statistics
Zhetysu vs Yelimay Semey: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Zhetysu played against Yelimay Semey in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The game was played on April 11, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Zhetysu has 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.25 points per game. Yelimay Semey has 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Zhetysu scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.50. Yelimay Semey scores 1.75 and allows 0.75. Games in this league average 2.09 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Zhetysu's games and 75% of Yelimay Semey's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 25%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 30% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Yelimay Semey has the higher season xG average, 1.69 to 0.96 per game. Zhetysu takes 8.3 shots per game, while Yelimay Semey takes 15.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Zhetysu leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Yelimay Semey leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.25 after halftime.
When the teams score
Zhetysu's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). For Yelimay Semey, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kazakhstan Premier League games average 2.09 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 30% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back an away win (2) because Yelimay Semey sit 3rd while Zhetysu are 9th. This season Yelimay have scored 7 goals vs Zhetysu 4; in the last 5 matches the visitors have 11 goals compared to the hosts’ 5, clearly showing an attacking edge (11>5). Away, Yelimay average 2.5 goals, 17.5 shots and 7 shots on target per game with a conversion rate around 14%, whereas Zhetysu at home average 2 shots, 0 shots on target and 0 goals — the proportion of home matches without a goal is 100%. xG reinforces this disparity: away xG for the visitors is 1.97 versus home xG for the hosts 0.3, and average points in the last 5 are 2.2 for Yelimay and 1.6 for Zhetysu. Although Zhetysu’s home stats show 0 goals conceded at home, their lack of attacking efficiency and Yelimay’s superior chance generation justify backing the visitors — implied probabilities: home 10%, draw 25%, away 65%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal comes from Yelimay: season BTTS indicator is 100% (last 5 matches 80%), they score on average 2.5 goals per season (last 5: 2.2) with xG 1.97. Zhetysu at home has season BTTS 50% and last 5 matches 40%, scoring 1.0 goals per season (last 5: 1.0), but recently concede on average 1.2 goals and their recent xG against is 1.53. The offensive gap is visible: Yelimay averages 7.0 shots on target versus Zhetysu's 3.5 and has a higher conversion rate 14% vs 8%, which increases the probability of a goal by the visitors. Additionally Zhetysu has 50% clean sheets in the season, while Yelimay has 0% clean sheets, suggesting the visitors rarely keep a match without conceding. Considering xG 1.97 vs 1.19 (visitors vs home defense), goal results 11 vs 5 in the last five matches and the visitors' offensive advantage, I assess BTTS at 78% 'Yes' vs 22% 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The averaged xG yields 1.42 for Zhetysu (1.40 xG_for vs 1.43 xG_against_away) and 1.58 for Yelimay (1.97 vs 1.19), giving a combined 3.00 expected goals. Yelimay clearly has greater attacking potential: on average 2.5 goals, 17.5 shots and 7.0 shots on target at a 14% conversion rate, while Zhetysu records 1.0 goal, 12.5 shots and 3.5 on target with an 8% conversion. Season-long both teams have had a goal in 100% of matches, and both-teams-to-score occurrences are 100% for Yelimay and 50% for Zhetysu, which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. A Poisson model with lambda=3.00 gives roughly an 80% chance for Over 1.5, ~58% for Over 2.5 and ~35% for Over 3.5, therefore the strongest and most confident signal is Over 1.5. I recommend backing Over 1.5 given the high xG for both sides (1.42 and 1.58) and the 80% probability for that market.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics clearly favor the visitors offensively: Yelimay Semey averages 2.5 goals scored per season versus 1.0 for Zhetysu, higher xG 1.97 vs 1.40, more shots (17.5 vs 12.5) and shots on target (7.0 vs 3.5), and a better conversion rate 14% vs 8%, indicating more scoring opportunities and greater efficiency from the away side. The visitors also dominate after the break: average second-half goals are 2.5 for Yelimay versus 1.0 for the home team, with the visitors themselves scoring an average of 2.0 goals after half-time, which supports a scenario where they secure a decisive lead in the second 45 minutes. At half-time over the last five matches the visitors have the edge — Yelimay led in 60% of cases versus 40% for Zhetysu, and the away average goals at the break is 0.8 vs 0.4 for the hosts; although Zhetysu officially has 100% clean sheets at home at half-time this season, in the last five matches the hosts conceded an average of 0.6 goals by the break, so that seasonal stat may be misleading. Taking this into account, the strongest and most probable scenario is 2/2 (visitors lead at the break and win), therefore I recommend this pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Zhetysu | Yelimay Semey | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Yelimay Semey is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.25 pts / game - Zhetysu · 2 pts / game - Yelimay Semey
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Yelimay Semey is 75% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Zhetysu · 1.75 goals / game - Yelimay Semey
Yelimay Semey is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.5 goals / game - Zhetysu · 0.75 goals / game - Yelimay Semey
Zhetysu scores in 75% of games (3 of 4 meczów), while Yelimay Semey keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).
Yelimay Semey scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 meczów), while Zhetysu keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Zhetysu
Over / Under - Yelimay Semey
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Yelimay Semey is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - Zhetysu · 1.75 pts / game - Yelimay Semey
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Zhetysu - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Yelimay Semey - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Zhetysu
Yelimay Semey
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Zhetysu | Liga | Yelimay Semey | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.50 | 2.09 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 30% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 35% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 64% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Zhetysu's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Yelimay Semey. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Zhetysu vs Yelimay Semey?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Zhetysu 0:1 Yelimay Semey. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Zhetysu and Yelimay Semey?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Zhetysu won 0, Yelimay Semey won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Zhetysu vs Yelimay Semey?
Zhetysu score 1.00 goals per game on average and Yelimay Semey 1.75. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Zhetysu's matches and 75% of Yelimay Semey's.
What form are Zhetysu and Yelimay Semey in?
Over the last 5 games Zhetysu have a 1-2-1 record (1.25 points per game) and Yelimay Semey 2-2-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zhetysu vs Yelimay Semey?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Zhetysu vs Yelimay Semey: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.