Zob Ahan vs Foolad: match statistics

Foolad come into this fixture in significantly better form: they have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last five matches, remaining unbeaten, while Zob Ahan have recorded just 1 victory. The visitors scored 12 goals during this period, averaging 2.4 per game, compared with only 3 goals for Zob Ahan, highlighting a substantial difference in attacking efficiency. Foolad’s defense conceded 5 goals in five appearances, while the hosts allowed 3, meaning the visitors’ advantage is primarily based on their attacking strength rather than complete defensive dominance. Zob Ahan have drawn 3 of their last 5 matches and could keep the score level for a long period, but Foolad’s 6th-place position compared with the hosts’ 18th, along with an average of 2.6 points from their last five matches, supports an away win.

The stronger argument for BTTS - No comes from Zob Ahan’s limited attacking output: in their last 5 matches, the team scored just 3 goals, averaging 0.6 per game. BTTS landed in only 40% of the hosts’ five most recent fixtures, while their defense conceded just 0.6 goals per match. Foolad are in clearly better scoring form, averaging 2.4 goals and netting 12 times in their last 5 games, so the visitors have a strong chance of scoring. At the same time, despite Foolad recording BTTS in 80% of their matches, their average of 1.0 goal conceded and Zob Ahan’s poor finishing suggest that the most likely outcome is for at least one team not to score, particularly the hosts.

Zob Ahan have averaged just 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded over their last 5 matches, indicating a very tight profile in their games. In those five home fixtures, only 20% went Over 2.5 goals, with just 6 goals scored in total. Foolad are in significantly better attacking form, averaging 2.4 goals scored and posting a 12:5 goal record across their last 5 matches, but their games do not necessarily produce four goals on their own. Season data is unavailable, while Foolad’s very low xG figures—0.14 created and 0.33 conceded—are inconsistent with the results, so the prediction is based primarily on current form and projects 2.2 total goals. Under 3.5 has the edge, as even with the visitors’ attacking contribution, Zob Ahan’s solid defense clearly limits the probability of a match finishing with at least four goals.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Foolad victory at full-time, as Zob Ahan were level at the break in 80% of their last five matches and did not trail in any of them before half-time. Foolad won four of their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per game, while the hosts scored only 0.6. The disparity is even more pronounced after the break: the visitors averaged 1.4 goals and won the second half in 100% of cases, whereas Zob Ahan failed to score a single goal after half-time. The hosts kept a clean sheet before the break in 80% of their recent matches, further supporting the scenario of a cautious start and a half-time draw. Although Foolad led at the break in 60% of their matches, Zob Ahan’s very high tendency to draw in the first half shifts the highest probability towards X/2.