Zorya vs Karpaty: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Zorya played against Karpaty in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The game was played on December 5, 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

Zorya has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Karpaty has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Zorya scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 1.14. Karpaty scores 1.29 and allows 1.21. Games in this league average 2.59 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 57% of Zorya's games and 50% of Karpaty's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 36%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Karpaty has the higher season xG average, 1.80 to 1.52 per game. Zorya takes 12.9 shots per game, while Karpaty takes 15.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Zorya leads at halftime in 36% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Karpaty leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.79 after halftime.

When the teams score

Zorya's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Karpaty, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ukrainian Premier League games average 2.59 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

42Possession (%)58
ZoryaKarpaty
12Shots10
ZoryaKarpaty
4Shots on target3
ZoryaKarpaty
1.24xG1.06
ZoryaKarpaty
2Corners9
ZoryaKarpaty
29Dangerous attacks30
ZoryaKarpaty
16Fouls11
ZoryaKarpaty
1Cards1
ZoryaKarpaty

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.29Goals scored / game1.29
ZoryaKarpaty
1.14Goals allowed / game1.21
ZoryaKarpaty
53%Average possession53%
ZoryaKarpaty
5.07Shots on target / game5.57
ZoryaKarpaty

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.93Shots per game15.21
ZoryaKarpaty
5.07Shots on target5.57
ZoryaKarpaty
9.9%Shot conversion8.5%
ZoryaKarpaty
53%Possession53%
ZoryaKarpaty
1.52xG for1.8
ZoryaKarpaty
1.39xG against1.4
ZoryaKarpaty

Shooting quality

Zorya: BalancedKarpaty: Attacking
ZoryaKarpaty
Accuracy (shots on target)39%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Zorya
DWWDL
Season result split
36% W36% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-4
1.43 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-4-2
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
LDDWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.73Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Karpaty
DWWLD
Season result split
29% W50% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-7-3
1.36 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-0
Last 5 away
3-2-0
DWWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 1.21BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Zorya is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.14 goals / game - Zorya · 1.21 goals / game - Karpaty

Zorya scoring profile: mixed

Zorya scores in 64% of games (9 of 14 meczów), while Karpaty keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 meczów).

Karpaty scoring profile: very strong

Karpaty scores in 79% of games (11 of 14 meczów), while Zorya keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 meczów).

18Goals scored (season)18
ZoryaKarpaty
16Goals conceded (season)17
ZoryaKarpaty
2.43Average goals per game2.5
ZoryaKarpaty
6Goals scored (last 5)3
ZoryaKarpaty
5Goals conceded (last 5)2
ZoryaKarpaty

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal79%
ZoryaKarpaty
43%2 goals36%
ZoryaKarpaty
14%3 goals14%
ZoryaKarpaty
7%4 goals0%
ZoryaKarpaty

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal57%
ZoryaKarpaty
29%2 goals43%
ZoryaKarpaty
14%3 goals21%
ZoryaKarpaty
0%4 goals0%
ZoryaKarpaty

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time21%
ZoryaKarpaty
7%BTTS in both halves14%
ZoryaKarpaty
29%Scored in both halves29%
ZoryaKarpaty

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
ZoryaKarpaty
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
ZoryaKarpaty
40%BTTS - last 520%
ZoryaKarpaty

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
ZoryaKarpaty
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
ZoryaKarpaty
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
ZoryaKarpaty

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
ZoryaKarpaty
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
ZoryaKarpaty
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
ZoryaKarpaty

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Zorya is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / game - Zorya · 1.21 pts / game - Karpaty

Zorya - half-time state
36% leading43% draw21% trailing
Karpaty - half-time state
29% leading36% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per game (1st half)1.21
ZoryaKarpaty
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.5
ZoryaKarpaty
0.43Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
ZoryaKarpaty
1.14Average goals (1st half)1.21
ZoryaKarpaty
71%Clean sheet before half-time50%
ZoryaKarpaty
57%No goal before half-time57%
ZoryaKarpaty

After half-time (2nd half)

0.93Points per game (2nd half)1.79
ZoryaKarpaty
0.57Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
ZoryaKarpaty
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
ZoryaKarpaty
1.29Average goals (2nd half)1.29
ZoryaKarpaty
36%Clean sheet after half-time71%
ZoryaKarpaty
50%No goal after half-time36%
ZoryaKarpaty

Zorya - second-half results

7% W71% R21% P
21
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Karpaty - second-half results

50% W29% R21% P
17
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Zorya - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.20
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.01.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Karpaty - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.20
Goals scored / game0.40.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.2
Average goals per game0.60.4
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Zorya
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
4
4
31-45
4
2
46-60
2
3
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Karpaty
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
4
5
16-30
2
3
31-45
3
4
46-60
4
1
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.46
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
51%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Zorya

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Karpaty

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).

Teams vs league

ZoryaLigaKarpaty
Average goals per game 2.432.59 2.50
Both teams scored 57%47% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%46% 36%
Clean sheets 29%32% 43%
Goal before half-time 57%71% 71%
Goal after half-time 71%74% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.59
Average goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.22
Home goals / game
1.37
Away goals / game
+-11%
Home attack advantage
+-12%
Home defensive advantage
+-5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. KarpatySubstitutionOn: Yaroslav KarabinOff: Oleh Fedor
  2. ZoryaSubstitutionOn: Navin MalyshOff: Roman Vantukh
  3. ZoryaSubstitutionOn: Jakov BašićOff: Petar Mićin
  4. KarpatyYellow cardVladislav Baboglo
  5. ZoryaYellow cardPylyp Budkivskyi

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Zorya vs Karpaty?

The Ukrainian Premier League match finished Zorya 1:0 Karpaty. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Zorya vs Karpaty?

Zorya score 1.29 goals per game on average and Karpaty 1.29. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Zorya's matches and 50% of Karpaty's.

What form are Zorya and Karpaty in?

Over the last 5 games Zorya have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Karpaty 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zorya vs Karpaty?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Zorya vs Karpaty: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.