Zorya vs Karpaty: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Zorya play Karpaty in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The match date is 5 December 2025 at 17:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Zorya: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Karpaty: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Zorya scores 1.40 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Karpaty scores 1.33 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Zorya 60%, Karpaty 37%. Over 2.5: Zorya 53%, Karpaty 40%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Karpaty has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.42. Zorya: 12.1 shots per match, Karpaty: 13.6.

Match halves

Zorya: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.73. Karpaty: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

Zorya: 46-60 (11 goals). Karpaty: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ukrainian Premier League: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

42Possession (%)58
ZoryaKarpaty
12Shots10
ZoryaKarpaty
4Shots on target3
ZoryaKarpaty
1.24xG1.06
ZoryaKarpaty
2Corners9
ZoryaKarpaty
29Dangerous attacks30
ZoryaKarpaty
16Fouls11
ZoryaKarpaty
1Cards1
ZoryaKarpaty

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.4Goals scored / match1.33
ZoryaKarpaty
1.2Goals conceded / match1.03
ZoryaKarpaty
53%Average possession53%
ZoryaKarpaty
4.8Shots on target / match5.3
ZoryaKarpaty

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.1Shots per match13.63
ZoryaKarpaty
4.8Shots on target5.3
ZoryaKarpaty
11.6%Shot conversion9.8%
ZoryaKarpaty
53%Possession53%
ZoryaKarpaty
1.42xG for1.62
ZoryaKarpaty
1.38xG against1.43
ZoryaKarpaty

Shooting quality

Zorya: BalancedKarpaty: Balanced
ZoryaKarpaty
Accuracy (shots on target)40%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Zorya is 120% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Zorya · 1 pts / match - Karpaty

Zorya
WDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
40% W33% R27% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-10-8
1.53 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-6-3
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WLWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Karpaty
DLDWL
Season result split
33% W37% R30% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-11-9
1.37 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-5-4
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WDWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Zorya is 5% better for: goals scored per match.

1.4 goals / match - Zorya · 1.33 goals / match - Karpaty

Karpaty is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.2 goals / match - Zorya · 1.03 goals / match - Karpaty

Zorya scoring profile: strong

Zorya scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Karpaty keeps a clean sheet in 47% (14 of 30 matches).

Karpaty scoring profile: strong

Karpaty scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Zorya keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 matches).

42Goals scored (season)40
ZoryaKarpaty
36Goals conceded (season)31
ZoryaKarpaty
2.6Average goals in match2.37
ZoryaKarpaty
7Goals scored (last 5)5
ZoryaKarpaty
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
ZoryaKarpaty

How often they score at least...

77%1 goal70%
ZoryaKarpaty
43%2 goals40%
ZoryaKarpaty
13%3 goals17%
ZoryaKarpaty
7%4 goals7%
ZoryaKarpaty

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal53%
ZoryaKarpaty
33%2 goals33%
ZoryaKarpaty
17%3 goals17%
ZoryaKarpaty
0%4 goals0%
ZoryaKarpaty

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time10%
ZoryaKarpaty
7%BTTS in both halves7%
ZoryaKarpaty
23%Scored in both halves23%
ZoryaKarpaty

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%
ZoryaKarpaty
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
ZoryaKarpaty
80%BTTS - last 540%
ZoryaKarpaty

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
ZoryaKarpaty
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
ZoryaKarpaty
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
ZoryaKarpaty

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
ZoryaKarpaty
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
ZoryaKarpaty
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
ZoryaKarpaty

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Zorya - half-time state
33% leading37% draw30% trailing
Karpaty - half-time state
33% leading37% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.37Points per match (1st half)1.37
ZoryaKarpaty
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.5
ZoryaKarpaty
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
ZoryaKarpaty
1.2Average goals (1st half)1
ZoryaKarpaty
60%Clean sheet before half-time63%
ZoryaKarpaty
53%No goal before half-time60%
ZoryaKarpaty

After half-time (2nd half)

1.27Points per match (2nd half)1.7
ZoryaKarpaty
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
ZoryaKarpaty
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.53
ZoryaKarpaty
1.4Average goals (2nd half)1.37
ZoryaKarpaty
47%Clean sheet after half-time67%
ZoryaKarpaty
47%No goal after half-time47%
ZoryaKarpaty

Zorya - second-half results

23% W57% R20% P
41
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Karpaty - second-half results

47% W30% R23% P
41
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Zorya - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.402.60
Goals scored / match0.01.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal100%20%
Goal difference-3+6
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Karpaty - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Zorya
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
6
6
16-30
6
6
31-45
11
5
46-60
5
5
61-75
6
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Karpaty
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
7
7
16-30
5
5
31-45
10
5
46-60
7
7
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.48
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+21%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Zorya

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.67
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Karpaty

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).

Teams vs league

ZoryaLigaKarpaty
Average goals in match 2.602.57 2.37
Both teams scored 60%43% 37%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%47% 40%
Clean sheets 30%33% 47%
Goal before half-time 70%68% 67%
Goal after half-time 73%76% 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
43%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.29
Home goals / match
1.28
Away goals / match
+1%
Home attack advantage
+1%
Home defence advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Zorya 1 - 0 - 0 Karpaty. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Zorya vs Karpaty?

The Ukrainian Premier League match finished Zorya 1:0 Karpaty. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Zorya vs Karpaty?

Zorya score 1.40 goals per game on average and Karpaty 1.33. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Zorya's matches and 37% of Karpaty's.

What form are Zorya and Karpaty in?

Over the last 5 games Zorya have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Karpaty 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zorya vs Karpaty?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Zorya vs Karpaty: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.