Zürich vs Luzern: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced matchup between the two teams. Zürich sits in 8th place with an 8-4-12 record, while Luzern is in 9th position with a 6-9-9 result, showing a minimal class difference. A key factor is the identical home goal difference for both teams (-1), suggesting a similar level of play. Zürich displays better home form with a 42% win rate at their ground and a higher average xG (1.87 vs 1.41 for Luzern away), yet they concede an average of 1.92 goals per match. Luzern shows solidity in away fixtures with a 33% draw rate and better recent form (1.2 PPG vs 0.8 for the hosts). Given the high average goals in Zürich's home matches (3.75) and the balanced strength of both sides, a draw seems the most probable outcome, though a slight edge is given to the hosts due to the home advantage and superior xG statistics.
Zürich vs Luzern: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Zürich played against Luzern in Super League (Switzerland). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Recent form
Zürich has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Luzern has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Zürich scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.88. Luzern scores 1.83 and allows 1.92. Games in this league average 3.31 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Zürich's games and 75% of Luzern's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 75%, compared with league averages of 67% for BTTS and 66% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Zürich has the higher season xG average, 1.64 to 1.53 per game. Zürich takes 14.3 shots per game, while Luzern takes 14.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Zürich leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Luzern leads at halftime in 29% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Zürich's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). For Luzern, it is minutes 61-75 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Super League games average 3.31 goals. Both teams score in 67% of games, and 66% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced matchup between the two teams. Zürich sits in 8th place with an 8-4-12 record, while Luzern is in 9th position with a 6-9-9 result, showing a minimal class difference. A key factor is the identical home goal difference for both teams (-1), suggesting a similar level of play. Zürich displays better home form with a 42% win rate at their ground and a higher average xG (1.87 vs 1.41 for Luzern away), yet they concede an average of 1.92 goals per match. Luzern shows solidity in away fixtures with a 33% draw rate and better recent form (1.2 PPG vs 0.8 for the hosts). Given the high average goals in Zürich's home matches (3.75) and the balanced strength of both sides, a draw seems the most probable outcome, though a slight edge is given to the hosts due to the home advantage and superior xG statistics.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Zürich | Luzern | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Luzern is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Zürich · 1.2 pts / game - Luzern
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Luzern is 22% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Zürich · 1.83 goals / game - Luzern
Zürich scores in 75% of games (18 of 24 meczów), while Luzern keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 meczów).
Luzern scores in 88% of games (21 of 24 meczów), while Zürich keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Zürich
Over / Under - Luzern
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Luzern is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / game - Zürich · 1.38 pts / game - Luzern
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Zürich - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Luzern - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 25%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Zürich
Luzern
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Zürich | Liga | Luzern | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.38 | 3.31 | ▲ 3.75 |
| Both teams scored | • 67% | 67% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 66% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 19% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 76% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 83% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Zürich's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Luzern. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Zürich vs Luzern?
The Super League match finished Zürich 1:4 Luzern. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Zürich and Luzern?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Zürich won 1, Luzern won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Zürich vs Luzern?
Zürich score 1.50 goals per game on average and Luzern 1.83. The Super League average is 3.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Zürich's matches and 75% of Luzern's.
What form are Zürich and Luzern in?
Over the last 5 games Zürich have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Luzern 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zürich vs Luzern?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.