England - EFL League OneCherry Red Records StadiumData current as of 07 October 2026

AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage: match statistics

Reasoning:

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AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

AFC Wimbledon play Stevenage in EFL League One (England). The match date is 3 October 2026. Venue: Cherry Red Records Stadium.

Current form

AFC Wimbledon: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Stevenage: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

AFC Wimbledon scores 0.75 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Stevenage scores 1.57 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.89 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: AFC Wimbledon 25%, Stevenage 71%. Over 2.5: AFC Wimbledon 25%, Stevenage 57%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

xG is very similar for both teams. AFC Wimbledon: 10.6 shots per match, Stevenage: 10.4.

Match halves

AFC Wimbledon: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.25. Stevenage: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 1.29.

Goals by minute

AFC Wimbledon: 16-30 (2 goals). Stevenage: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.89 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.92)
(3.10)
(2.48)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

AFC WimbledonStevenage
0.75Goals scored / match1.57
AFC WimbledonStevenage
1Goals conceded / match1.14
AFC WimbledonStevenage
45%Average possession44%
AFC WimbledonStevenage
2.63Shots on target / match3.86
AFC WimbledonStevenage

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.63Shots per match10.43
AFC WimbledonStevenage
2.63Shots on target3.86
AFC WimbledonStevenage
7.1%Shot conversion15.1%
AFC WimbledonStevenage
45%Possession44%
AFC WimbledonStevenage
1.2xG for1.2
AFC WimbledonStevenage
1.49xG against1.16
AFC WimbledonStevenage

Shooting quality

AFC Wimbledon: BalancedStevenage: Counter-attacking
AFC WimbledonStevenage
Accuracy (shots on target)25%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

AFC Wimbledon
LWWDD
Season result split
38% W38% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-2
1.50 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-0
Last 5 at home
2-2-0
DWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Stevenage
DDWWL
Season result split
29% W43% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-2
1.29 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Last 5 away
1-2-1
DDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Stevenage is 109% better for: goals scored per match.

0.75 goals / match - AFC Wimbledon · 1.57 goals / match - Stevenage

AFC Wimbledon is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - AFC Wimbledon · 1.14 goals / match - Stevenage

AFC Wimbledon scoring profile: very strong

AFC Wimbledon scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Stevenage keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

Stevenage scoring profile: mixed

Stevenage scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while AFC Wimbledon keeps a clean sheet in 63% (5 of 8 matches).

6Goals scored (season)11
AFC WimbledonStevenage
8Goals conceded (season)8
AFC WimbledonStevenage
1.75Average goals in match2.71
AFC WimbledonStevenage
5Goals scored (last 5)9
AFC WimbledonStevenage
5Goals conceded (last 5)5
AFC WimbledonStevenage

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal71%
AFC WimbledonStevenage
13%2 goals43%
AFC WimbledonStevenage
0%3 goals14%
AFC WimbledonStevenage
0%4 goals14%
AFC WimbledonStevenage

How often they concede at least...

38%1 goal86%
AFC WimbledonStevenage
25%2 goals29%
AFC WimbledonStevenage
25%3 goals0%
AFC WimbledonStevenage
13%4 goals0%
AFC WimbledonStevenage

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time14%
AFC WimbledonStevenage
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AFC WimbledonStevenage
13%Scored in both halves29%
AFC WimbledonStevenage

BTTS and goal count

13%Min. 3 goals and BTTS57%
AFC WimbledonStevenage
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
AFC WimbledonStevenage
40%BTTS - last 560%
AFC WimbledonStevenage

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time29%
AFC WimbledonStevenage
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
AFC WimbledonStevenage
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
AFC WimbledonStevenage

2nd half

63%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
AFC WimbledonStevenage
13%Min. 2 goals after half-time71%
AFC WimbledonStevenage
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time43%
AFC WimbledonStevenage

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AFC Wimbledon is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - AFC Wimbledon · 1.29 pts / match - Stevenage

AFC Wimbledon - half-time state
38% leading38% draw25% trailing
Stevenage - half-time state
14% leading86% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.29
AFC WimbledonStevenage
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.29
AFC WimbledonStevenage
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.14
AFC WimbledonStevenage
1Average goals (1st half)0.43
AFC WimbledonStevenage
75%Clean sheet before half-time86%
AFC WimbledonStevenage
50%No goal before half-time71%
AFC WimbledonStevenage

After half-time (2nd half)

1.13Points per match (2nd half)1
AFC WimbledonStevenage
0.25Goals scored (2nd half)1.29
AFC WimbledonStevenage
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)1
AFC WimbledonStevenage
0.75Average goals (2nd half)2.29
AFC WimbledonStevenage
63%Clean sheet after half-time29%
AFC WimbledonStevenage
75%No goal after half-time29%
AFC WimbledonStevenage

AFC Wimbledon - second-half results

25% W38% D38% L
12
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Stevenage - second-half results

14% W57% D29% L
9
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding207%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.9

Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

AFC Wimbledon - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.00
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Stevenage - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.62.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

AFC Wimbledon
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Stevenage
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
3
0
46-60
2
4
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.23
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
77%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-78%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

AFC Wimbledon

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
49%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Stevenage

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

AFC WimbledonLigaStevenage
Average goals in match▼ 1.752.89▼ 2.71
Both teams scored▼ 25%60%▲ 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 25%54%▲ 57%
Clean sheets▲ 63%25%▼ 14%
Goal before half-time• 63%64%▼ 29%
Goal after half-time▼ 63%82%▲ 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.89
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.36
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): AFC Wimbledon 0 - 1 - 1 Stevenage. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do AFC Wimbledon and Stevenage play?

AFC Wimbledon face Stevenage on 3 October 2026 in EFL League One at Cherry Red Records Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between AFC Wimbledon and Stevenage?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches AFC Wimbledon won 0, Stevenage won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage?

AFC Wimbledon score 0.75 goals per game on average and Stevenage 1.57. The EFL League One average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 25% of AFC Wimbledon's matches and 71% of Stevenage's.

What form are AFC Wimbledon and Stevenage in?

Over the last 5 games AFC Wimbledon have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Stevenage 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.