Bahardar vs Arba Minch Kenema: match statistics
Bahardar displays solid home form with 70% clean sheets and only 10% losses at their home stadium, making them a tough opponent on their own turf. The hosts remain unbeaten in their last five matches (1 win, 4 draws), demonstrating defensive stability with only 3 goals conceded. Arba Minch Kenema sits at the bottom of the table with just 10% away wins and a negative goal difference of -5, indicating serious offensive and defensive issues on the road. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.32 vs 1.11), and the difference in shot conversion (10% vs 8%) confirms Bahardar's advantage. Considering the hosts' high tendency to draw (60%) and the visitors' poor away form, the most likely scenario is a Bahardar win, though a draw remains a viable option. Arba Minch Kenema has minimal chances of taking points in this clash, as confirmed by all key statistical indicators.
Bahardar vs Arba Minch Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bahardar play Arba Minch Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 27 February 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Bahardar: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Arba Minch Kenema: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bahardar scores 0.74 and concedes 0.74 goals per match. Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 1.21. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bahardar 32%, Arba Minch Kenema 42%. Over 2.5: Bahardar 18%, Arba Minch Kenema 29%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Bahardar has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.12. Bahardar: 8.3 shots per match, Arba Minch Kenema: 7.3.
Match halves
Bahardar: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.53. Arba Minch Kenema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Bahardar: 46-60 (8 goals). Arba Minch Kenema: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Bahardar displays solid home form with 70% clean sheets and only 10% losses at their home stadium, making them a tough opponent on their own turf. The hosts remain unbeaten in their last five matches (1 win, 4 draws), demonstrating defensive stability with only 3 goals conceded. Arba Minch Kenema sits at the bottom of the table with just 10% away wins and a negative goal difference of -5, indicating serious offensive and defensive issues on the road. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.32 vs 1.11), and the difference in shot conversion (10% vs 8%) confirms Bahardar's advantage. Considering the hosts' high tendency to draw (60%) and the visitors' poor away form, the most likely scenario is a Bahardar win, though a draw remains a viable option. Arba Minch Kenema has minimal chances of taking points in this clash, as confirmed by all key statistical indicators.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bahardar | Arba Minch Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arba Minch Kenema is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Bahardar · 1.2 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arba Minch Kenema is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
0.74 goals / match - Bahardar · 0.79 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Bahardar is 64% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.74 goals / match - Bahardar · 1.21 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Bahardar scores in 47% of matches (18 of 38 matches), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
Arba Minch Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 53% (20 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Bahardar
Over / Under — Arba Minch Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arba Minch Kenema is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Bahardar · 1.05 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bahardar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bahardar
Arba Minch Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Bahardar | Liga | Arba Minch Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.47 | 1.78 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 28% | • 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 40% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 39% | 56% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 47% | 59% | • 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bahardar 0 - 1 - 0 Arba Minch Kenema. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bahardar vs Arba Minch Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Bahardar 0:2 Arba Minch Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bahardar vs Arba Minch Kenema?
Bahardar score 0.74 goals per game on average and Arba Minch Kenema 0.79. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Bahardar's matches and 42% of Arba Minch Kenema's.
What form are Bahardar and Arba Minch Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Bahardar have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Arba Minch Kenema 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahardar vs Arba Minch Kenema?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.