Buhimba United Saints vs NEC: match statistics
Analysis points to a close contest with a slight leaning towards a draw. Buhimba United Saints present solid home form with 50% wins and an impressive goal difference of 0 in home matches, yet the last 5 games overall yielded only 0.8 points per match. NEC has better current form with 1.6 points per match in the last 5 games and won their last two encounters, but their away record is poor - a mere 14% away wins and 43% draws. A key factor is NEC's high away draw rate and the similar xG values of both teams (1.2 vs 1.28), suggesting an even game. NEC's possession advantage (52% vs 51%) and better form in recent matches increase their chances, but their poor away efficiency argues for a draw as the most probable scenario.
Buhimba United Saints vs NEC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Buhimba United Saints play NEC in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 27 January 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Buhimba United Saints: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. NEC: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Buhimba United Saints scores 0.55 and concedes 2.17 goals per match. NEC scores 0.97 and concedes 0.76. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Buhimba United Saints 24%, NEC 38%. Over 2.5: Buhimba United Saints 45%, NEC 21%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
NEC has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.07. Buhimba United Saints: 6.3 shots per match, NEC: 8.7.
Match halves
Buhimba United Saints: half-time lead 3%, second-half goals 0.34. NEC: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Buhimba United Saints: 46-60 (5 goals). NEC: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Analysis points to a close contest with a slight leaning towards a draw. Buhimba United Saints present solid home form with 50% wins and an impressive goal difference of 0 in home matches, yet the last 5 games overall yielded only 0.8 points per match. NEC has better current form with 1.6 points per match in the last 5 games and won their last two encounters, but their away record is poor - a mere 14% away wins and 43% draws. A key factor is NEC's high away draw rate and the similar xG values of both teams (1.2 vs 1.28), suggesting an even game. NEC's possession advantage (52% vs 51%) and better form in recent matches increase their chances, but their poor away efficiency argues for a draw as the most probable scenario.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Buhimba United Saints | NEC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
NEC is 76% better for: goals scored per match.
0.55 goals / match - Buhimba United Saints · 0.97 goals / match - NEC
NEC is 186% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.17 goals / match - Buhimba United Saints · 0.76 goals / match - NEC
Buhimba United Saints scores in 38% of matches (11 of 29 matches), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 55% (16 of 29 matches).
NEC scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Buhimba United Saints keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Buhimba United Saints
Over / Under — NEC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
NEC is 244% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.41 pts / match - Buhimba United Saints · 1.41 pts / match - NEC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Buhimba United Saints - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 3% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
NEC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Buhimba United Saints
NEC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Buhimba United Saints | Liga | NEC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.72 | 2.09 | ▼ 1.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 24% | 38% | • 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 35% | ▼ 21% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 39% | ▲ 55% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 59% | ▼ 45% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 69% | 62% | ▲ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Buhimba United Saints vs NEC?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Buhimba United Saints 0:1 NEC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Buhimba United Saints vs NEC?
Buhimba United Saints score 0.55 goals per game on average and NEC 0.97. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 24% of Buhimba United Saints's matches and 38% of NEC's.
What form are Buhimba United Saints and NEC in?
Over the last 5 games Buhimba United Saints have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and NEC 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Buhimba United Saints vs NEC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.