BUL vs Police Uganda: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

BUL play Police Uganda in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 16 December 2025 at 14:00. Final score: 1:3.

Current form

BUL: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Police Uganda: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

BUL scores 1.00 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Police Uganda scores 1.40 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.09 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: BUL 43%, Police Uganda 63%. Over 2.5: BUL 33%, Police Uganda 53%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

xG, shots and style

BUL has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.54. BUL: 10.7 shots per match, Police Uganda: 10.5.

Match halves

BUL: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.40. Police Uganda: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.77.

Goals by minute

BUL: 31-45+ (12 goals). Police Uganda: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

46Possession (%)54
BULPolice Uganda
11Shots15
BULPolice Uganda
6Shots on target6
BULPolice Uganda
1.65xG2.02
BULPolice Uganda
6Corners6
BULPolice Uganda
74Dangerous attacks91
BULPolice Uganda
13Fouls11
BULPolice Uganda
0Cards0
BULPolice Uganda

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match1.4
BULPolice Uganda
1.1Goals conceded / match1.2
BULPolice Uganda
47%Average possession46%
BULPolice Uganda
4.07Shots on target / match3.73
BULPolice Uganda

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.73Shots per match10.47
BULPolice Uganda
4.07Shots on target3.73
BULPolice Uganda
9.3%Shot conversion13.4%
BULPolice Uganda
47%Possession46%
BULPolice Uganda
1.61xG for1.54
BULPolice Uganda
1.3xG against1.5
BULPolice Uganda

Shooting quality

BUL: BalancedPolice Uganda: Counter-attacking
BULPolice Uganda
Accuracy (shots on target)38%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Police Uganda is 67% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - BUL · 1 pts / match - Police Uganda

BUL
LDDDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
30% W33% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-10-11
1.23 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-6-5
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
DLLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Police Uganda
WLLDD
Season result split
43% W23% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-7-10
1.53 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-6
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LWLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.10Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Police Uganda is 40% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - BUL · 1.4 goals / match - Police Uganda

BUL is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.1 goals / match - BUL · 1.2 goals / match - Police Uganda

BUL scoring profile: strong

BUL scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).

Police Uganda scoring profile: strong

Police Uganda scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while BUL keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).

30Goals scored (season)42
BULPolice Uganda
33Goals conceded (season)36
BULPolice Uganda
2.1Average goals in match2.6
BULPolice Uganda
1Goals scored (last 5)5
BULPolice Uganda
6Goals conceded (last 5)5
BULPolice Uganda

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal83%
BULPolice Uganda
20%2 goals47%
BULPolice Uganda
7%3 goals7%
BULPolice Uganda
3%4 goals3%
BULPolice Uganda

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal77%
BULPolice Uganda
27%2 goals30%
BULPolice Uganda
13%3 goals10%
BULPolice Uganda
7%4 goals3%
BULPolice Uganda

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time23%
BULPolice Uganda
3%BTTS in both halves0%
BULPolice Uganda
10%Scored in both halves20%
BULPolice Uganda

BTTS and goal count

27%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
BULPolice Uganda
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
BULPolice Uganda
20%BTTS - last 540%
BULPolice Uganda

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
BULPolice Uganda
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
BULPolice Uganda
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
BULPolice Uganda

2nd half

47%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
BULPolice Uganda
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
BULPolice Uganda
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
BULPolice Uganda

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

BUL - half-time state
27% leading50% draw23% trailing
Police Uganda - half-time state
27% leading47% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.3Points per match (1st half)1.27
BULPolice Uganda
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.57
BULPolice Uganda
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
BULPolice Uganda
1.13Average goals (1st half)1.13
BULPolice Uganda
57%Clean sheet before half-time57%
BULPolice Uganda
53%No goal before half-time53%
BULPolice Uganda

After half-time (2nd half)

1.13Points per match (2nd half)1.47
BULPolice Uganda
0.4Goals scored (2nd half)0.77
BULPolice Uganda
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
BULPolice Uganda
0.9Average goals (2nd half)1.4
BULPolice Uganda
70%Clean sheet after half-time50%
BULPolice Uganda
70%No goal after half-time47%
BULPolice Uganda

BUL - second-half results

17% W63% R20% P
39
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding111%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Police Uganda - second-half results

40% W27% R33% P
38
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding159%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

BUL - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.80
Goals scored / match0.20.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match0.80.6
1 goal60%20%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal80%100%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Police Uganda - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

BUL
ScoredConceded
2
6
0-15
4
3
16-30
12
9
31-45
4
5
46-60
3
5
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Police Uganda
ScoredConceded
6
5
0-15
9
4
16-30
4
8
31-45
4
3
46-60
8
4
61-75
11
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.35
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-15%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

BUL

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.61
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.63
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Police Uganda

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
169%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

BULLigaPolice Uganda
Average goals in match 2.102.09 2.60
Both teams scored 43%38% 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%35% 53%
Clean sheets 40%39% 23%
Goal before half-time 67%59% 67%
Goal after half-time 47%62% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.09
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.26
Home goals / match
0.83
Away goals / match
+52%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: BUL 1 - 0 - 0 Police Uganda. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of BUL vs Police Uganda?

The Uganda Premier League match finished BUL 1:3 Police Uganda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before BUL vs Police Uganda?

BUL score 1.00 goals per game on average and Police Uganda 1.40. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 43% of BUL's matches and 63% of Police Uganda's.

What form are BUL and Police Uganda in?

Over the last 5 games BUL have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Police Uganda 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for BUL vs Police Uganda?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for BUL vs Police Uganda: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.