Iran - Persian Gulf Pro LeagueData current as of 24 July 2026

Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Persepolis: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Persepolis: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Esteghlal Khuzestan play Persepolis in Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran). The match date is 15 March 2026 at 17:00.

Current form

Esteghlal Khuzestan: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Persepolis: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Esteghlal Khuzestan scores 0.73 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Persepolis scores 1.05 and concedes 0.86. League average: 1.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Esteghlal Khuzestan 36%, Persepolis 50%. Over 2.5: Esteghlal Khuzestan 23%, Persepolis 36%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Persepolis has higher xG: 1.13 vs 0.86. Esteghlal Khuzestan: 2.5 shots per match, Persepolis: 1.9.

Match halves

Esteghlal Khuzestan: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.36. Persepolis: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.59.

Goals by minute

Esteghlal Khuzestan: 46-60 (5 goals). Persepolis: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Persian Gulf Pro League: 1.79 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
0.73Goals scored / match1.05
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
1.05Goals conceded / match0.86
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
21%Average possession19%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
0.68Shots on target / match0.41
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

2.55Shots per match1.95
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
0.68Shots on target0.41
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
28.6%Shot conversion53.5%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
21%Possession19%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
0.86xG for1.13
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
1.12xG against0.72
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis

Shooting quality

Esteghlal Khuzestan: Counter-attackingPersepolis: Counter-attacking
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
Accuracy (shots on target)27%21%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.340.58
Finishing (goals per shot on target)1.072.56

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Esteghlal Khuzestan is 133% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Esteghlal Khuzestan · 0.6 pts / match - Persepolis

Esteghlal Khuzestan
LDWWL
Season result split
27% W32% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-7-9
1.14 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-4-3
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
LWDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.00Opponent xG: 0.00BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Persepolis
LWLLL
Season result split
41% W32% R27% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-7-6
1.55 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-5
Last 5 away
1-0-4
WLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 0.00Opponent xG: 0.00BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Persepolis is 44% better for: goals scored per match.

0.73 goals / match - Esteghlal Khuzestan · 1.05 goals / match - Persepolis

Persepolis is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.05 goals / match - Esteghlal Khuzestan · 0.86 goals / match - Persepolis

Esteghlal Khuzestan scoring profile: mixed

Esteghlal Khuzestan scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Persepolis keeps a clean sheet in 45% (10 of 22 matches).

Persepolis scoring profile: very strong

Persepolis scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Esteghlal Khuzestan keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).

16Goals scored (season)23
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
23Goals conceded (season)19
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
1.77Average goals in match1.91
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
4Goals scored (last 5)4
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
5Goals conceded (last 5)9
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis

How often they score at least...

59%1 goal82%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
14%2 goals18%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
0%3 goals5%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
0%4 goals0%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal55%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
27%2 goals23%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
14%3 goals9%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
0%4 goals0%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

36%
Esteghlal Khuzestan - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.8 of 22 matches
38%
League average

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time14%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
9%Scored in both halves14%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis

BTTS and goal count

18%Min. 3 goals and BTTS32%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
40%BTTS - last 560%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
23%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis

2nd half

55%Min. 1 goal after half-time64%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
23%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Persepolis is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.14 pts / match - Esteghlal Khuzestan · 1.36 pts / match - Persepolis

Esteghlal Khuzestan - half-time state
27% leading32% draw41% trailing
Persepolis - half-time state
32% leading41% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.14Points per match (1st half)1.36
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
0.36Goals scored (1st half)0.45
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0.41
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
1Average goals (1st half)0.86
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
50%Clean sheet before half-time64%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
64%No goal before half-time55%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis

After half-time (2nd half)

1.23Points per match (2nd half)1.36
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
0.36Goals scored (2nd half)0.59
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
0.41Goals conceded (2nd half)0.45
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
0.77Average goals (2nd half)1.05
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
68%Clean sheet after half-time59%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis
68%No goal after half-time50%
Esteghlal KhuzestanPersepolis

Esteghlal Khuzestan - second-half results

23% W55% R23% P
25
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Persepolis - second-half results

27% W55% R18% P
30
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Esteghlal Khuzestan - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Persepolis - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.00
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-4-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Esteghlal Khuzestan
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
3
6
16-30
4
5
31-45
5
1
46-60
0
2
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Persepolis
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
3
4
16-30
5
1
31-45
1
3
46-60
2
2
61-75
10
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.84
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+63%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Esteghlal Khuzestan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Persepolis

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
133%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.95
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Persian Gulf Pro League).

Teams vs league

Esteghlal KhuzestanLigaPersepolis
Average goals in match 1.771.79 1.91
Both teams scored 36%38% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 23%28% 36%
Clean sheets 36%41% 45%
Goal before half-time 77%54% 68%
Goal after half-time 55%62% 64%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.79
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
41%
Clean sheets
1.01
Home goals / match
0.79
Away goals / match
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
54%
1 goal
19%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Esteghlal Khuzestan 0 - 0 - 1 Persepolis. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Persepolis
3 : 0
Esteghlal Khuzestan

FAQ

When do Esteghlal Khuzestan and Persepolis play?

Esteghlal Khuzestan face Persepolis on 15 March 2026 in Persian Gulf Pro League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Persepolis?

Esteghlal Khuzestan score 0.73 goals per game on average and Persepolis 1.05. The Persian Gulf Pro League average is 1.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Esteghlal Khuzestan's matches and 50% of Persepolis's.

What form are Esteghlal Khuzestan and Persepolis in?

Over the last 5 games Esteghlal Khuzestan have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Persepolis 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Persepolis?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.

Esteghlal Khuzestan - Persepolis - statistical preview | NoFluffPicks Stats