Gorilla vs Rutsiro: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very tightly contested match between two teams from the bottom of the table. Gorilla sits in 13th place with disastrous home form (20% win rate, 50% loss rate) and just 0.7 goals per game at home, making them one of the weakest hosts in the league. Rutsiro, in 15th position, presents slightly better efficiency in away matches (30% win rate, higher shot conversion 20% vs 16%) and averages more goals on the road (1.0 vs 0.7 for the hosts). Both teams have identical form in the last 5 matches (0.8 PPG) and similar goal records, suggesting a draw as the most likely result. The low xG values of both teams (0.81 vs 0.93) and the high percentage of matches where Gorilla failed to score at home (50% FTS) point to a low-scoring encounter where neither side will have a distinct advantage.
Gorilla vs Rutsiro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gorilla play Rutsiro in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 6 February 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Gorilla: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Rutsiro: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gorilla scores 0.91 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Rutsiro scores 0.88 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gorilla 56%, Rutsiro 53%. Over 2.5: Gorilla 47%, Rutsiro 47%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Rutsiro has higher xG: 1.12 vs 0.88. Gorilla: 5.1 shots per match, Rutsiro: 6.7.
Match halves
Gorilla: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.35. Rutsiro: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Gorilla: 31-45+ (8 goals). Rutsiro: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates a very tightly contested match between two teams from the bottom of the table. Gorilla sits in 13th place with disastrous home form (20% win rate, 50% loss rate) and just 0.7 goals per game at home, making them one of the weakest hosts in the league. Rutsiro, in 15th position, presents slightly better efficiency in away matches (30% win rate, higher shot conversion 20% vs 16%) and averages more goals on the road (1.0 vs 0.7 for the hosts). Both teams have identical form in the last 5 matches (0.8 PPG) and similar goal records, suggesting a draw as the most likely result. The low xG values of both teams (0.81 vs 0.93) and the high percentage of matches where Gorilla failed to score at home (50% FTS) point to a low-scoring encounter where neither side will have a distinct advantage.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gorilla | Rutsiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gorilla is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Gorilla · 0.8 pts / match - Rutsiro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gorilla is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.24 goals / match - Gorilla · 1.38 goals / match - Rutsiro
Gorilla scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Rutsiro keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
Rutsiro scores in 53% of matches (18 of 34 matches), while Gorilla keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Gorilla
Over / Under — Rutsiro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gorilla is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Gorilla · 0.91 pts / match - Rutsiro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gorilla - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rutsiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gorilla
Rutsiro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Gorilla | Liga | Rutsiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.15 | 2.12 | ▲ 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 46% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 38% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Gorilla 0 - 1 - 0 Rutsiro. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gorilla vs Rutsiro?
The National Soccer League match finished Gorilla 2:1 Rutsiro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gorilla vs Rutsiro?
Gorilla score 0.91 goals per game on average and Rutsiro 0.88. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Gorilla's matches and 53% of Rutsiro's.
What form are Gorilla and Rutsiro in?
Over the last 5 games Gorilla have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Rutsiro 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gorilla vs Rutsiro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.