Harrogate Town vs Swindon Town: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Harrogate Town vs Swindon Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Harrogate Town play Swindon Town in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 3 February 2026 at 20:45.
Current form
Harrogate Town: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Swindon Town: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Harrogate Town scores 0.85 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Swindon Town scores 1.52 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Harrogate Town 43%, Swindon Town 59%. Over 2.5: Harrogate Town 37%, Swindon Town 63%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Swindon Town has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.27. Harrogate Town: 11.4 shots per match, Swindon Town: 11.7.
Match halves
Harrogate Town: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.41. Swindon Town: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Harrogate Town: 16-30 (10 goals). Swindon Town: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Harrogate Town | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Harrogate Town is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Harrogate Town · 0.8 pts / match - Swindon Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Swindon Town is 79% better for: goals scored per match.
0.85 goals / match - Harrogate Town · 1.52 goals / match - Swindon Town
Swindon Town is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Harrogate Town · 1.28 goals / match - Swindon Town
Harrogate Town scores in 61% of matches (28 of 46 matches), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 28% (13 of 46 matches).
Swindon Town scores in 85% of matches (39 of 46 matches), while Harrogate Town keeps a clean sheet in 20% (9 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Harrogate Town
Over / Under — Swindon Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Swindon Town is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Harrogate Town · 1.28 pts / match - Swindon Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Harrogate Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Swindon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Harrogate Town
Swindon Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Harrogate Town | Liga | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.57 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 48% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 27% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 67% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Harrogate Town 0 - 0 - 1 Swindon Town. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Harrogate Town and Swindon Town play?
Harrogate Town face Swindon Town on 3 February 2026 in EFL League Two. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Harrogate Town vs Swindon Town?
Harrogate Town score 0.85 goals per game on average and Swindon Town 1.52. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Harrogate Town's matches and 59% of Swindon Town's.
What form are Harrogate Town and Swindon Town in?
Over the last 5 games Harrogate Town have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Swindon Town 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Harrogate Town vs Swindon Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Harrogate Town vs Swindon Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.