Kitara vs NEC: match statistics
Kitara vs NEC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kitara play NEC in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 9 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Kitara: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. NEC: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kitara scores 1.38 and concedes 0.72 goals per match. NEC scores 0.97 and concedes 0.76. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kitara 38%, NEC 38%. Over 2.5: Kitara 31%, NEC 21%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Kitara has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.44. Kitara: 11.3 shots per match, NEC: 8.7.
Match halves
Kitara: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 0.48. NEC: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Kitara: 0-15 (12 goals). NEC: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Kitara has a clear advantage in home metrics: at home they score 1.92 goals per game and concede only 0.42, with a 75% home win rate and 0% home losses. The hosts average 12.08 shots (5 on target) and xG 1.63 with a shooting accuracy of 16%, while NEC away averages 9.55 shots (3.64 on target) with xG 1.40 and 10% accuracy. NEC arrives in better recent form: in their last 5 matches they have 4 wins and 1 draw, scored 4 goals and conceded none, yielding 2.6 points per game; Kitara in their last 5 have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, for 1.6 points per game. The difference in failed to score and defense also favors Kitara: the hosts failed to score in only 8% of home matches and have 67% clean sheets, whereas NEC has 23% FTS and 54% clean sheets with 0.62 goals conceded away. Considering Kitara’s 75% home win rate, higher xG (1.63 vs 1.40) and greater shot volume, the hosts are the favorites; I suggest probabilities of 60% for Kitara, 25% for a draw and 15% for NEC.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kitara | NEC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
NEC is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Kitara · 1.8 pts / match - NEC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kitara is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Kitara · 0.97 goals / match - NEC
Kitara is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.72 goals / match - Kitara · 0.76 goals / match - NEC
Kitara scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 55% (16 of 29 matches).
NEC scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Kitara keeps a clean sheet in 45% (13 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Kitara
Over / Under — NEC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kitara is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.93 pts / match - Kitara · 1.41 pts / match - NEC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kitara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
NEC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kitara
NEC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Kitara | Liga | NEC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.10 | 2.09 | ▼ 1.72 |
| Both teams scored | • 38% | 38% | • 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 35% | ▼ 21% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 39% | ▲ 55% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 59% | ▼ 45% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 62% | ▲ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kitara 1 - 0 - 0 NEC. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kitara vs NEC?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Kitara 0:1 NEC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kitara vs NEC?
Kitara score 1.38 goals per game on average and NEC 0.97. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Kitara's matches and 38% of NEC's.
What form are Kitara and NEC in?
Over the last 5 games Kitara have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and NEC 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kitara vs NEC?
The statistical background for Kitara vs NEC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.