Lugazi Municipal vs Kitara: match statistics
Lugazi Municipal vs Kitara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lugazi Municipal play Kitara in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Lugazi Municipal: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Kitara: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lugazi Municipal scores 0.63 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Kitara scores 1.38 and concedes 0.72. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lugazi Municipal 30%, Kitara 38%. Over 2.5: Lugazi Municipal 37%, Kitara 31%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Kitara has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.28. Lugazi Municipal: 8.2 shots per match, Kitara: 11.3.
Match halves
Lugazi Municipal: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.30. Kitara: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Lugazi Municipal: 76-90+ (9 goals). Kitara: 0-15 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
The statistical favorite is the away side: Kitara sit 3rd in the table vs Lugazi’s 13th, with 14 wins this season compared to the hosts’ 4, have scored 31 goals vs Lugazi’s 16 and conceded 13 vs the hosts’ 32. Recent form also favors Kitara — Lugazi have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses (0.4 points per game) and just 1 goal in five matches, while Kitara have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss (1.6 points per game) and have scored 5 while conceding 1 in their last five. In terms of chance quality the visitors perform better: on average 4.27 SOT per away match vs 3.27 SOT for the hosts, xG for Kitara away is 1.63 vs 1.50 xG for Lugazi at home, and xG against is 1.48 for Kitara vs 1.79 for Lugazi, suggesting the hosts allow opponents more valuable opportunities. Defensively Kitara’s advantage is clear — the visitors concede 0.67 goals per away game and keep 42% clean sheets, while Lugazi at home concede 1.17 goals and have 25% clean sheets; although Kitara average only 0.83 goals away, their higher xG (1.63) and greater SOT with a slightly higher conversion rate (8% vs 7%) indicate potential for improved finishing. Given the table advantage, better defense (0.67 vs 1.17), higher xG and SOT and form (1.6 vs 0.4 pts per game in the last 5), I forecast an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lugazi Municipal | Kitara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kitara is 119% better for: goals scored per match.
0.63 goals / match - Lugazi Municipal · 1.38 goals / match - Kitara
Kitara is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Lugazi Municipal · 0.72 goals / match - Kitara
Lugazi Municipal scores in 37% of matches (11 of 30 matches), while Kitara keeps a clean sheet in 45% (13 of 29 matches).
Kitara scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Lugazi Municipal keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Lugazi Municipal
Over / Under — Kitara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kitara is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / match - Lugazi Municipal · 1.93 pts / match - Kitara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lugazi Municipal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 17%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kitara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lugazi Municipal
Kitara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Lugazi Municipal | Liga | Kitara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.83 | 2.09 | • 2.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 38% | • 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 37% | 35% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 39% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 59% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 62% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lugazi Municipal 0 - 0 - 1 Kitara. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lugazi Municipal vs Kitara?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Lugazi Municipal 1:2 Kitara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lugazi Municipal vs Kitara?
Lugazi Municipal score 0.63 goals per game on average and Kitara 1.38. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Lugazi Municipal's matches and 38% of Kitara's.
What form are Lugazi Municipal and Kitara in?
Over the last 5 games Lugazi Municipal have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Kitara 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lugazi Municipal vs Kitara?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lugazi Municipal vs Kitara: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.