Mbarara City vs Lugazi Municipal: match statistics
Mbarara City holds a clear advantage in this clash, even though both teams occupy neighboring positions in the table. The hosts present significantly better home form with 17% wins and a goal difference of -2, whereas Lugazi Municipal has not achieved a single victory in away matches (0% Win%) and holds a disastrous balance of -11 goals. Particularly worrying for the visitors is the Failed To Score rate amounting to 83% away and an average of merely 0.17 goals per away match. Additionally, the form of the last five matches clearly favors the hosts (1 point per match vs 0.2 points), and Lugazi has lost four of their last five meetings. Considering the hosts' xG advantage (1.54 vs 1.37 for guests) and better efficiency in home matches, Mbarara City has a real chance of claiming victory, although the poor efficiency of both squads could also lead to a draw.
Mbarara City vs Lugazi Municipal: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mbarara City play Lugazi Municipal in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 22 January 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Mbarara City: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Lugazi Municipal: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mbarara City scores 0.87 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Lugazi Municipal scores 0.63 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mbarara City 57%, Lugazi Municipal 30%. Over 2.5: Mbarara City 40%, Lugazi Municipal 37%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Mbarara City has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.28. Mbarara City: 8.2 shots per match, Lugazi Municipal: 8.2.
Match halves
Mbarara City: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.47. Lugazi Municipal: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.30.
Goals by minute
Mbarara City: 61-75 (6 goals). Lugazi Municipal: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Mbarara City holds a clear advantage in this clash, even though both teams occupy neighboring positions in the table. The hosts present significantly better home form with 17% wins and a goal difference of -2, whereas Lugazi Municipal has not achieved a single victory in away matches (0% Win%) and holds a disastrous balance of -11 goals. Particularly worrying for the visitors is the Failed To Score rate amounting to 83% away and an average of merely 0.17 goals per away match. Additionally, the form of the last five matches clearly favors the hosts (1 point per match vs 0.2 points), and Lugazi has lost four of their last five meetings. Considering the hosts' xG advantage (1.54 vs 1.37 for guests) and better efficiency in home matches, Mbarara City has a real chance of claiming victory, although the poor efficiency of both squads could also lead to a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mbarara City | Lugazi Municipal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mbarara City is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Mbarara City · 1 pts / match - Lugazi Municipal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mbarara City is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
0.87 goals / match - Mbarara City · 0.63 goals / match - Lugazi Municipal
Lugazi Municipal is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - Mbarara City · 1.2 goals / match - Lugazi Municipal
Mbarara City scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Lugazi Municipal keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
Lugazi Municipal scores in 37% of matches (11 of 30 matches), while Mbarara City keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mbarara City
Over / Under — Lugazi Municipal
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lugazi Municipal is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Mbarara City · 1.1 pts / match - Lugazi Municipal
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mbarara City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lugazi Municipal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 17%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mbarara City
Lugazi Municipal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mbarara City | Liga | Lugazi Municipal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.43 | 2.09 | ▼ 1.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 38% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 35% | ▲ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 39% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | • 60% | 59% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 62% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mbarara City 1 - 0 - 0 Lugazi Municipal. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mbarara City vs Lugazi Municipal?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Mbarara City 0:0 Lugazi Municipal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mbarara City vs Lugazi Municipal?
Mbarara City score 0.87 goals per game on average and Lugazi Municipal 0.63. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Mbarara City's matches and 30% of Lugazi Municipal's.
What form are Mbarara City and Lugazi Municipal in?
Over the last 5 games Mbarara City have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Lugazi Municipal 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mbarara City vs Lugazi Municipal?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mbarara City vs Lugazi Municipal: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.